Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$120

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

460

Trades

3,938

lifetime

Volume

$266.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$4.00K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Politics

81% 69% +$8,451

Other

19% 65% +$3,995

Crypto

0% 50% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	+3,870	$3,584	97¢	$3.7K	+$154	10-30 20:39
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	-198	-$204	95¢	$-188	+$16	08-28 23:31
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	+256	$59	12¢	$31	-$28	10-26 15:15
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+667	$40	4¢	$27	-$13	09-18 18:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	+333	$23	4¢	$15	-$8	09-18 19:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 50 and 52	92	$17.1K	18,944	7,812	+11,132	Yes	+$3,005	02-17 10:36
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 48 and 50	121	$12.3K	14,408	19,782	-5,374	No	-$419	02-15 21:17
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	37	$7.9K	7,200	1,127	+6,073	open	—	09-27 12:04
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	21	$7.1K	4,272	4,371	-99	Yes	+$683	02-08 19:23
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 68 and 70	33	$6.9K	7,753	0	+7,753	Yes	+$63	02-14 13:51
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$6.8K	7,155	0	+7,155	Yes	+$333	03-09 02:12
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 64 and 66	30	$5.7K	2,933	2,933	+0	No	+$10	02-20 17:40
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	68	$5.5K	4,298	6,186	-1,888	Yes	-$846	01-15 21:45
will antnio jos seguro win the first round	10	$5.2K	5,204	571	+4,633	Yes	+$7	01-19 02:02
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	69	$4.2K	5,147	5,583	-436	No	+$340	01-16 20:49
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	22	$4.1K	4,199	329	+3,870	open	—	10-30 20:39
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$3.6K	2,424	2,690	-266	No	+$1,107	02-08 07:57
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 70 and 72	18	$3.6K	2,773	2,755	+18	No	-$270	02-27 18:04
will lilo and stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025	4	$3.4K	3,362	0	+3,362	Yes	+$7	01-04 21:24
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be at least 72	42	$3.3K	1,932	1,829	+103	No	+$3	02-10 13:52
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by at least 6	23	$3.2K	1,645	1,645	+0	Yes	+$78	02-23 04:04
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	10	$2.9K	3,036	0	+3,036	open	—	10-29 17:31
will lvaro roberto ramos chaves win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	7	$2.8K	2,048	1,024	+1,024	No	+$9	02-02 04:12
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	50	$2.7K	4,337	2,532	+1,805	Yes	+$355	01-16 19:04
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	79	$2.6K	7,362	8,202	-841	No	+$172	01-16 21:09
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	26	$2.6K	3,124	1,024	+2,100	Yes	+$823	03-07 13:35
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 66 and 68	21	$2.6K	2,354	1,227	+1,127	No	+$26	02-27 11:43
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	6	$2.6K	2,833	333	+2,500	No	-$54	02-12 14:00
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	6	$2.4K	1,288	1,288	+0	open	—	10-26 23:18
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be at least 50	35	$2.4K	1,500	1,482	+18	Yes	+$500	01-18 18:27
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	24	$2.3K	2,594	2,103	+491	No	+$0	01-18 19:44
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	11	$2.3K	1,170	1,170	+0	Yes	+$7	10-25 12:13
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	15	$2.1K	3,320	0	+3,320	No	+$1,201	03-27 16:52
will antnio jos seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	41	$2.1K	2,661	2,792	-131	Yes	-$443	01-18 18:49
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	3	$2.0K	2,048	0	+2,048	Yes	+$30	01-16 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:49:31	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xc3e2bf…
10-31 22:48:15	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x5ae453…
10-31 22:47:34	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x885e2e…
10-31 22:38:57	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6e722f…
10-31 22:35:21	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x60f1f1…
10-31 22:35:03	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb3dac3…
10-31 22:33:58	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd6d1f7…
10-31 22:29:07	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x95f47b…
10-31 22:15:49	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbb2733…
10-31 21:11:37	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xcaad47…
10-31 18:07:04	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x17fb3f…
10-31 18:06:45	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfb6c49…
10-31 18:06:37	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe07f06…
10-31 18:05:52	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xe34eb7…
10-31 17:20:51	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef687b…
10-31 16:52:03	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xa6e8cc…
10-31 16:50:48	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x8b0859…
10-31 16:49:39	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xfa766f…
10-31 16:14:16	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x759c83…
10-31 16:06:04	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xc83f5e…
10-30 20:39:25	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0x3eff87…
10-30 19:17:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5b86c9…
10-30 00:45:54	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0xf52a3b…
10-29 23:28:43	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x25162e…
10-29 23:28:27	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xb95b47…
10-29 23:27:33	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x9cfe47…
10-29 23:26:43	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x35284a…
10-29 23:18:31	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	600	98¢	$586	0x9a8cc9…
10-29 22:00:19	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xe0f6d9…
10-29 17:31:25	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	244	97¢	$237	0x6d6ef0…
10-29 17:31:20	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	423	97¢	$411	0x2d6856…
10-29 17:31:14	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	667	95¢	$633	0x5e2167…
10-29 16:16:40	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xc9b9ff…
10-29 16:15:23	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0xe73676…
10-29 15:32:07	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	171	1¢	$2	0x5569b8…
10-29 14:45:52	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd56136…
10-29 14:45:44	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0xad0a51…
10-29 03:26:40	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x24fe71…
10-29 02:59:08	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x558b32…
10-29 02:51:29	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xebb0c7…
10-29 02:44:23	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xfd07ac…
10-29 02:28:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	1,063	99¢	$1,052	0xa4f716…
10-29 02:17:50	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	116	99¢	$114	0xee71f5…
10-29 01:31:28	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	191	0¢	$1	0xa18687…
10-29 00:47:55	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xbc7e3c…
10-29 00:44:05	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x032f3d…
10-29 00:26:40	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x9d26d3…
10-29 00:26:22	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x136573…
10-29 00:24:19	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xdd7c71…
10-29 00:23:52	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xcb758d…
10-28 23:46:59	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xcc5250…
10-28 23:19:01	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	SELL	68	66¢	$45	0x6819c7…
10-28 21:44:07	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5b57ea…
10-28 21:00:46	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x2526cf…
10-28 20:46:16	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x41143f…
10-28 20:44:50	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x18b66c…
10-28 20:44:49	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xcd5d5d…
10-28 20:44:49	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xac01cc…
10-28 20:44:49	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x3a7ce2…
10-28 18:20:31	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xfa9e4a…
10-28 18:20:25	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0xeca091…
10-28 11:29:50	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x2c0e7b…
10-28 10:45:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x28aa2d…
10-28 04:33:22	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0xa3e137…
10-28 04:26:44	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xae380b…
10-28 04:01:05	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0x13a431…
10-28 03:36:21	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x9a8fa4…
10-28 03:20:57	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0x4d7c5f…
10-28 02:53:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	268	93¢	$249	0x6c3f3a…
10-28 02:51:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xe7b3d7…
10-28 02:51:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	93	93¢	$86	0x8d2bb6…
10-28 02:51:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xa5cb36…
10-28 00:43:24	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	235	97¢	$229	0xa9f176…
10-28 00:40:12	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	128	82¢	$105	0xf97313…
10-28 00:23:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x224c5d…
10-28 00:19:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	215	84¢	$181	0x0d77a7…
10-27 23:49:56	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcf577d…
10-27 23:19:14	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	302	95¢	$287	0x3aacd6…
10-27 20:08:00	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	172	95¢	$164	0x9a0297…
10-27 19:40:41	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	56	95¢	$54	0xd2cad0…
10-27 18:28:45	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x81db89…
10-27 13:56:06	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	405	95¢	$385	0x7f67e5…
10-27 13:48:21	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf3fe35…
10-27 12:24:41	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	352	95¢	$335	0xe0357b…
10-27 09:28:05	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xca8325…
10-27 00:08:50	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x499a53…
10-26 23:59:17	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x948d4b…
10-26 23:18:41	Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	782	97¢	$763	0xb94bce…
10-26 18:30:06	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xf073a7…
10-26 18:29:59	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x7fb60c…
10-26 15:48:14	Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2d5568…
10-26 15:38:08	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	217	95¢	$206	0x376b8e…
10-26 15:15:36	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	256	23¢	$59	0x48d42d…
10-26 14:51:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	SELL	814	99¢	$806	0x5f8ae4…
10-26 13:33:06	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	977	95¢	$929	0xe34aa6…
10-26 12:13:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	104	88¢	$91	0x186aea…
10-26 12:12:06	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xff6225…
10-26 11:25:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x47c8a1…
10-26 11:25:06	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	185	93¢	$172	0x46b7de…
10-26 11:25:05	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$0	0xb3ac60…