Crafty-Civilization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

625

Trades

1,333

lifetime

Volume

$9.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-14 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 96% $-26

Other

17% 96% $-24

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$53	55	0	+55	Down	$-53	05-09 11:48
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	05-08 15:08
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	05-08 14:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	05-08 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	05-09 05:48
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	05-09 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-08 17:28
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	05-08 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	05-09 04:38
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	05-08 16:38
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	05-08 23:38
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$39	39	0	+39	Down	+$1	05-08 16:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	05-09 00:38
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-08 23:48
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	05-08 17:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$38	39	0	+39	Up	+$1	05-09 02:08
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$36	37	0	+37	Down	+$1	05-13 17:08
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$36	37	0	+37	Down	$-36	05-14 01:33
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	05-13 12:33
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-13 10:03
btc updown 15m 1776497400	4	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$33	35	0	+35	Up	+$2	05-13 12:28
btc updown 15m 1776472200	4	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 00:45
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	05-13 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	05-12 17:53
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	05-12 22:18
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	05-13 00:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	05-13 03:08
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-13 23:28
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-08 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:43:25	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc1b76f…
05-14 01:33:37	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x180383…
05-13 23:28:40	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x707739…
05-13 17:08:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xd6b860…
05-13 12:33:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xf9a3bd…
05-13 12:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x4e1d1f…
05-13 10:03:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xeec0d8…
05-13 03:38:36	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9ce51d…
05-13 03:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x6abc80…
05-13 00:38:37	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x27945e…
05-12 22:18:39	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x387325…
05-12 17:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xe35512…
05-12 14:53:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x3e12f2…
05-12 14:28:36	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x044b1c…
05-12 13:43:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a6bda…
05-12 13:33:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8e0e4…
05-12 13:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8b5130…
05-12 09:13:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x480b0f…
05-12 08:53:41	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x315b63…
05-12 05:28:38	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x7beb61…
05-12 02:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x79e578…
05-12 01:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6a53da…
05-12 00:18:37	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8a212d…
05-12 00:03:40	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xaf15e8…
05-11 23:48:35	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9e4b7b…
05-11 22:18:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6fcdd8…
05-11 17:08:48	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc5f724…
05-11 16:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3963b8…
05-11 14:13:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x95a567…
05-11 11:13:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf1252e…
05-11 10:48:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x325bb4…
05-11 07:28:38	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd99198…
05-11 04:43:42	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1ac794…
05-11 03:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x70117d…
05-11 02:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a5643…
05-11 00:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x689687…
05-11 00:08:38	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3def1…
05-10 23:33:38	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x066170…
05-10 23:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0f6a05…
05-10 22:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb73c99…
05-10 21:38:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xffac39…
05-10 20:43:41	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x89c07f…
05-10 07:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0c10a7…
05-10 07:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1756ee…
05-10 07:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x953e5c…
05-09 14:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf9ca57…
05-09 14:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa3a92c…
05-09 14:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5baa14…
05-09 14:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf0aa38…
05-09 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xb7c444…
05-09 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x643ce2…
05-09 12:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x62b5eb…
05-09 12:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x41f6bd…
05-09 12:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc037f4…
05-09 12:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x92f4d6…
05-09 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9b2475…
05-09 11:48:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xc40ca1…
05-09 07:58:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x8b507f…
05-09 05:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa76634…
05-09 04:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x461bc7…
05-09 02:08:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xa19874…
05-09 00:38:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9fd602…
05-08 23:48:48	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xae6625…
05-08 23:38:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf0f502…
05-08 21:48:34	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x322e4f…
05-08 18:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6c86e7…
05-08 17:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xab4ac7…
05-08 17:03:35	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xdf2164…
05-08 16:38:54	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb2ae0a…
05-08 16:03:46	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0x505fa0…
05-08 15:08:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x77c48b…
05-08 14:33:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6d3368…
05-08 13:28:38	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x298d43…
05-08 12:28:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9a14c6…
05-08 09:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xfcc4e1…
05-08 08:33:42	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x93f56c…
05-08 07:33:42	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd11776…
05-08 04:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6bd77e…
05-08 03:33:38	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa4af56…
05-08 03:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf01436…
05-08 02:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa9ce8e…
05-08 01:58:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb2b890…
05-08 00:44:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x359250…
05-08 00:38:36	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x467617…
05-07 23:28:40	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xcff026…
05-07 22:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7a50c6…
05-07 21:13:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x82dca5…
05-07 20:23:34	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x717b0c…
05-07 20:03:39	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x95b1c1…
05-07 19:53:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc4c4df…
05-07 19:38:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf1bc48…
05-07 19:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x346344…
05-07 19:33:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a5ba7…
05-07 19:28:41	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8c6044…
05-07 19:28:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x67bd37…
05-07 19:18:34	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd03f95…
05-07 18:58:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x44c134…
05-07 18:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5e9186…
05-07 16:48:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d849b…
05-07 16:23:41	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x954d78…