XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
open
Total volume
$322
Trades
64
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$2,142
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 00:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 97% YES on $27
vs crowd: 93% YES on $300)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $26 | $1 | +$25 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $107 | $1 | +$105 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $145 | $20 | +$125 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $26 | $1 | +$25 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $69 | — | +$69 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $93 | $19 | +$74 |
| Median | 6 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Below median | 4 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $17 | $2 | +$15 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Up | +61 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | +36 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | +32 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 05-11 23:57 |
| Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | +25 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-11 23:58 |
| Cultured-Shin 0xde0a…ef64 | Up | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Crafty-Civilization 0x9d02…810a | Up | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Elementary-Birdwatcher 0x668c…4930 | Down | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Normal-Fav 0xf51a…4eaf | Up | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Mushy-Brooch 0x1d09…42ce | Up | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | +11 | $10 | $10 | 10 | 05-12 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0900…c85a | Up | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa738…07c1 | Up | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Vicious-Crepe-Dolman 0x3693…3657 | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x14bb…b99a | Down | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Enormous-Closing 0x76e9…80d9 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xee71…eae1 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Forked-Unemployment 0x7675…2049 | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Tired-Lumber 0xd202…c39e | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Bustling-Scholar 0x2c49…ca40 | Up | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc535…3f3f | Up | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c7…943f | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Thorough-Leather 0xa89e…1f21 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Fond-Assurance 0xf7e3…4a3b | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:32 |
| Strident-Sweatshirt 0xf58c…0394 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Sentimental-Flax 0x7305…1c4b | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | +1 | $1 | $19 | 2 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Violent-Broccoli 0x0749…fd66 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Parallel-Toaster 0xe5d3…8d24 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Tricky-Route 0xbce1…0679 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Partial-Musician 0x6e19…5841 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 00:04:04 | Tricky-Route 0xbce1…0679 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc95aa7… |
| 05-12 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0xd6c7…943f | Up | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x474814… |
| 05-12 00:04:02 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x095312… |
| 05-12 00:04:02 | Parallel-Toaster 0xe5d3…8d24 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf587a8… |
| 05-12 00:04:02 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x25a44b… |
| 05-12 00:04:02 | (anonymous) 0xee71…eae1 | Up | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x37765a… |
| 05-12 00:04:01 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x07c3d8… |
| 05-12 00:03:59 | Vicious-Crepe-Dolman 0x3693…3657 | Up | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x2790e6… |
| 05-12 00:03:54 | Normal-Fav 0xf51a…4eaf | Up | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x3e3c95… |
| 05-12 00:03:52 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x8cd8d1… |
| 05-12 00:03:52 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0xd6e1a2… |
| 05-12 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x14bb…b99a | Down | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x20bd72… |
| 05-12 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x82de49… |
| 05-12 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x4fb851… |
| 05-12 00:03:43 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6a97e9… |
| 05-12 00:03:40 | Crafty-Civilization 0x9d02…810a | Up | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xaf15e8… |
| 05-12 00:03:38 | Strident-Sweatshirt 0xf58c…0394 | Up | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3f9097… |
| 05-12 00:03:38 | Cultured-Shin 0xde0a…ef64 | Up | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0x739637… |
| 05-12 00:03:36 | Tired-Lumber 0xd202…c39e | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3fefe0… |
| 05-12 00:03:36 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc96ccd… |
| 05-12 00:03:36 | Bustling-Scholar 0x2c49…ca40 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc99d57… |
| 05-12 00:03:34 | Mushy-Brooch 0x1d09…42ce | Up | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x49cd6a… |
| 05-12 00:03:34 | Bustling-Scholar 0x2c49…ca40 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe81c09… |
| 05-12 00:03:34 | Elementary-Birdwatcher 0x668c…4930 | Down | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8cee09… |
| 05-12 00:03:33 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcf996a… |
| 05-12 00:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5a5082… |
| 05-12 00:03:31 | Bustling-Scholar 0x2c49…ca40 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8b0987… |
| 05-12 00:03:24 | Unknown-Historian 0x228e…5b6d | Up | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8dae79… |
| 05-12 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf1efa8… |
| 05-12 00:03:20 | Elementary-Birdwatcher 0x668c…4930 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf47cfc… |
| 05-12 00:03:15 | Coarse-Artifact 0x8719…12ce | Down | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x874b84… |
| 05-12 00:03:13 | Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Up | BUY | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x90dcb2… |
| 05-12 00:03:13 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xdb828d… |
| 05-12 00:03:12 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2f9e33… |
| 05-12 00:03:08 | (anonymous) 0xa738…07c1 | Up | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x2881d5… |
| 05-12 00:03:05 | Forked-Unemployment 0x7675…2049 | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x160048… |
| 05-12 00:03:05 | Partial-Musician 0x6e19…5841 | Up | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x342f52… |
| 05-12 00:03:03 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x99a177… |
| 05-12 00:02:52 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x678c06… |
| 05-12 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7fa382… |
| 05-12 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x0900…c85a | Up | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x636295… |
| 05-12 00:02:51 | Ashamed-Mining 0x5800…053d | Up | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xa7409c… |
| 05-12 00:02:49 | Thorough-Leather 0xa89e…1f21 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdfd8cb… |
| 05-12 00:02:44 | Thorough-Leather 0xa89e…1f21 | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x84731d… |
| 05-12 00:02:42 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x48b784… |
| 05-12 00:02:42 | Violent-Broccoli 0x0749…fd66 | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x9c22c6… |
| 05-12 00:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf3f371… |
| 05-12 00:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x73b937… |
| 05-12 00:02:31 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x15b3cd… |
| 05-12 00:02:31 | staystilldontmove 0x98c4…5b19 | Up | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x69e676… |
| 05-12 00:02:31 | Unknown-Historian 0x228e…5b6d | Up | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf3d3c6… |
| 05-12 00:02:30 | Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Down | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x60c650… |
| 05-12 00:02:28 | Enormous-Closing 0x76e9…80d9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x96a5ba… |
| 05-12 00:02:19 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x9ad937… |
| 05-12 00:02:19 | Sentimental-Flax 0x7305…1c4b | Up | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x70e962… |
| 05-12 00:02:17 | (anonymous) 0xc535…3f3f | Up | BUY | 3 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x4695f6… |
| 05-11 23:58:25 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x2d5182… |
| 05-11 23:58:25 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x04b60b… |
| 05-11 23:57:34 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xae99b9… |
| 05-11 23:57:34 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x8f2ebc… |
| 05-11 23:57:08 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Up | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x26c146… |
| 05-11 23:56:40 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xa25694… |
| 05-11 23:56:40 | Worst-Saloon 0xd9de…608b | Down | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x207a07… |
| 05-11 21:32:54 | Fond-Assurance 0xf7e3…4a3b | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x0eea00… |