Cultured-Shin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

349

Trades

3,785

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-19 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 93% +$32

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 533 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$53	80	0	+80	open	—	05-04 15:09
eth updown 15m 1773736200	3	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	03-17 08:39
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 tot	2	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	03-18 21:56
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	03-17 22:17
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 halftime result home	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	03-18 20:50
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$37	40	0	+40	Up	$-18	05-12 01:44
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$34	37	0	+37	Down	$-17	05-12 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$33	40	0	+40	open	—	05-04 15:04
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$33	36	0	+36	Down	$-16	05-10 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$33	37	0	+37	open	—	05-04 15:13
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	05-14 15:33
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	05-14 18:53
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$29	31	0	+31	Up	$-14	05-10 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-12 01:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	05-12 01:38
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-12 01:08
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	$-20	05-12 05:33
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-12 00:33
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	05-12 00:18
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$2	05-12 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-12 02:53
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	05-12 00:03
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-11 20:33
eth updown 5m 1773429600	4	$20	108	108	+0	open	—	03-13 19:23
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	05-12 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-11 20:13
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-12 02:13
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	$-20	05-11 15:43
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-11 19:28
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-11 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 06:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xe7e6f7…
05-19 05:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x0000ab…
05-19 05:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc92080…
05-19 05:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x7aae33…
05-19 03:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb4cb87…
05-19 02:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbdb9e8…
05-19 01:33:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3e9159…
05-18 23:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x467270…
05-18 23:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2973ad…
05-18 22:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x072cdd…
05-18 22:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x743aa3…
05-18 21:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xa83595…
05-18 21:13:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x1ed4d7…
05-18 20:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x095ba3…
05-18 20:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x182985…
05-18 20:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x560842…
05-18 20:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb5e301…
05-18 20:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6b5dd1…
05-18 20:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa01056…
05-18 19:53:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc5ef9d…
05-18 19:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb3fcfa…
05-18 19:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd76e35…
05-18 19:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xb345fa…
05-18 19:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf5de50…
05-18 19:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x6cc8ee…
05-18 19:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6a6c6c…
05-18 19:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x15a986…
05-18 19:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf594cc…
05-18 19:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xb64997…
05-18 18:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x48ddf5…
05-18 18:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9908ed…
05-18 18:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfa4bd6…
05-18 17:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8d0232…
05-18 17:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbc17e6…
05-18 17:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x24b9d2…
05-18 17:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xda58d5…
05-18 17:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xca2c23…
05-18 17:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xedc4b9…
05-18 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4b37a9…
05-18 16:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcd1db8…
05-18 16:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x68bf37…
05-18 15:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1116af…
05-18 15:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x30485f…
05-18 15:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x19483c…
05-18 15:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xd7002c…
05-18 15:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x33a59a…
05-18 15:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x33b846…
05-18 15:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4e96af…
05-18 15:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2ef2f2…
05-18 15:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf04bd3…
05-18 15:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xea0905…
05-18 15:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xfbff22…
05-18 15:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf79cd0…
05-18 14:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xffae03…
05-18 14:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x564846…
05-18 14:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x83da93…
05-18 14:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1a8917…
05-18 14:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x40b30d…
05-18 14:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x89c9b2…
05-18 14:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x61185b…
05-18 14:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x726f97…
05-18 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5f84eb…
05-18 14:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x7d653d…
05-18 14:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xc7453a…
05-18 13:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0xb2cf76…
05-18 13:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xad5b1b…
05-18 13:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xd91575…
05-18 13:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x3ffd26…
05-18 13:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xe34496…
05-18 13:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x33605d…
05-18 12:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb422c5…
05-18 12:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xdc0dbc…
05-18 12:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x3a9225…
05-18 12:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x844721…
05-18 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x431333…
05-18 12:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0b3eae…
05-18 12:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x472dc1…
05-18 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xf74d16…
05-18 07:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x8ea724…
05-18 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0x23cce6…
05-18 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x4526e4…
05-18 03:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xf5775e…
05-18 02:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xe7195b…
05-18 01:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xc69dae…
05-18 01:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x68fa31…
05-18 01:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6275ec…
05-18 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x0bb5cb…
05-18 01:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x64170c…
05-18 01:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x491a26…
05-18 00:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x419359…
05-18 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x4a121a…
05-18 00:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xe489f0…
05-18 00:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe5af71…
05-18 00:33:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x1315c8…
05-18 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x044ea2…
05-18 00:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xe35174…
05-18 00:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x992d00…
05-18 00:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x459f8b…
05-18 00:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xe07e62…
05-18 00:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x63b5d5…