Candid-Notoriety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

421

Trades

524

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 11-01 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

90% 55% -$47

Crypto

9% 73% +$0

Sports

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	—	+25	$10	74¢	$19	+$9	11-01 10:17
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over		+20	$10	52¢	$10	+$0	11-01 10:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	2	$41	26	26	+0	Yes	+$9	09-17 18:55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$32	38	17	+20	No	-$12	05-19 04:49
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	05-16 15:53
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	2	$28	22	22	+0	Yes	+$8	10-31 16:42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	05-17 13:35
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$26	16	16	+0	FC Barcelona	+$6	09-09 18:50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	2	$25	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	10-31 16:24
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$25	34	0	+34	Yes	+$9	10-26 17:45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 21:11
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	05-18 04:56
Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	11-01 10:26
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	1	$20	38	0	+38	Venezia FC	-$20	11-01 10:29
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	1	$20	32	0	+32	Yes	+$12	10-30 16:03
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	1	$20	35	0	+35	Yes	+$15	10-30 16:01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 20:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$19	49	0	+49	No	-$19	05-30 15:18
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	1	$15	32	0	+32	No	-$15	10-31 18:12
Netherlands leading at halftime?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	09-27 18:00
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-07-25?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	07-25 16:01
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$13	8	8	+0	Aurora Gaming	+$1	09-18 18:21
cs2 9z g2 2026 09 09	1	$13	18	0	+18	G2	+$5	09-10 02:48
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	09-20 18:27
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?	3	$13	17	11	+6	No	-$3	05-24 10:55
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-07-26?	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$5	07-26 19:16
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	09-20 13:32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	07-10 20:54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	2	$12	6	6	+0	Vitality	+$0	10-11 18:22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	09-09 20:34
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	1	$12	16	0	+16	FURIA	+$4	09-08 12:27
Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	09-26 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:30:45	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfbd45f…
11-01 10:29:57	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb6b441…
11-01 10:28:52	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3f80cb…
11-01 10:26:33	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xfea46e…
11-01 10:17:49	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc4cff4…
10-31 18:12:55	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x22ed1f…
10-31 17:32:39	Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4583bc…
10-31 16:42:52	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x9a0d31…
10-31 16:24:39	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0xd9676e…
10-31 15:10:13	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb77171…
10-31 15:09:39	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6f38b4…
10-31 12:35:19	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x12419a…
10-30 16:03:27	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x309871…
10-30 16:01:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x235b88…
10-28 17:11:34	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x70d8cd…
10-28 17:10:26	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xeed9b8…
10-27 16:59:36	AS Roma leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe72129…
10-26 17:45:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0x9fe520…
10-25 19:14:45	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6250f5…
10-25 16:25:18	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xae35d6…
10-25 14:05:33	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5257fb…
10-24 14:10:26	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x280320…
10-24 13:58:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x81b762…
10-22 19:01:38	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb1f802…
10-22 16:42:59	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xed5d4a…
10-22 16:39:27	Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x614890…
10-22 16:35:18	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdd7a01…
10-21 18:48:20	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1ef316…
10-21 16:48:21	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5b62db…
10-20 20:46:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x97ca46…
10-20 19:13:29	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xfff8bd…
10-20 19:10:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdfacf2…
10-20 19:10:32	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x837313…
10-20 19:10:00	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4fd6a3…
10-20 15:58:05	Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x181c67…
10-19 14:45:39	Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x168041…
10-19 14:11:51	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xa770c3…
10-18 20:28:44	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xa9ffad…
10-18 19:40:18	Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x625ad2…
10-18 18:57:11	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0271d1…
10-18 18:50:00	Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf119aa…
10-18 16:50:21	Map Handicap: FURIA (-2.5) vs BetBoom Team (+2.5)	FURIA	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbeb921…
10-18 15:23:35	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x55cf90…
10-18 15:21:14	ACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfc9038…
10-18 12:53:24	ACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9a2535…
10-18 10:27:29	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd76515…
10-17 16:51:30	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9389c2…
10-17 16:48:53	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4e4765…
10-17 16:36:29	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x1daa93…
10-17 03:54:35	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x076dea…
10-16 19:03:28	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x950f91…
10-16 16:08:31	cs2 lgc bb3 2026 10 16	Legacy	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xac74ee…
10-16 14:06:42	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16 map handicap away 1pt5	9z	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcf0733…
10-15 18:59:38	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x35a143…
10-15 16:35:34	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa9d9a3…
10-15 10:19:44	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	14	77¢	$10	0xc960ec…
10-14 18:53:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5c6282…
10-14 18:52:34	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5cd5e6…
10-14 03:15:28	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	Aurora Gaming	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb5edc9…
10-14 01:44:56	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6817dd…
10-11 18:40:31	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x214a84…
10-11 18:22:09	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x125184…
10-11 16:49:54	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7db392…
10-10 20:43:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3be0ee…
10-10 19:29:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x60a920…
10-10 17:54:22	Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x765027…
10-10 17:54:15	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x71cb89…
10-10 17:46:49	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x79abfe…
10-10 17:46:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x426692…
10-06 16:35:08	England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xdf3cbe…
10-06 16:30:26	Croatia vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x16e73d…
10-06 13:53:36	Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	G2	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf44590…
10-06 13:24:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x159a6d…
09-29 13:24:17	Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x43ae47…
09-28 19:09:42	Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x21a2e7…
09-28 18:29:57	Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbc2183…
09-28 18:25:18	Türkiye vs. Italy: Türkiye O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x78ef83…
09-28 09:55:20	Armenia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe05bac…
09-28 09:53:15	Türkiye vs. Italy: Türkiye O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x844864…
09-27 18:06:23	Germany vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x45993c…
09-27 18:05:53	Norway vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6fce8e…
09-27 18:00:23	Netherlands leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3cfaad…
09-27 13:15:08	Netherlands leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x58a803…
09-26 20:24:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x10f140…
09-26 18:56:36	Will Albania win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4b8fe8…
09-26 18:54:36	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xebd2bb…
09-26 17:13:05	Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xf3b6a7…
09-26 15:35:36	Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd717c4…
09-26 15:22:24	Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xbe732a…
09-26 14:34:41	Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xb3806c…
09-26 14:17:44	Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x29f1f9…
09-26 06:28:35	Slovenia vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x84e7de…
09-25 17:04:05	Hungary vs. Ukraine: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5f32bc…
09-25 17:03:30	Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x15dd00…
09-25 17:01:42	Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x70d7b3…
09-25 17:01:12	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x61f669…
09-25 17:00:59	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6a74c9…
09-24 17:52:11	Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4980a6…
09-24 14:53:17	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x69bc66…
09-24 14:52:59	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb92247…