Candid-Notoriety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

473

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 11-13 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

88% 55% -$126

Crypto

11% 73% -$7

Sports

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-11-02?	2	$56	35	35	+0	Yes	+$6	11-02 13:57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	2	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$8	11-04 19:43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	1	$50	76	0	+76	BetBoom Team	-$50	11-06 08:38
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?	2	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	11-02 16:52
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	2	$41	26	26	+0	Yes	+$9	09-17 18:55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	1	$40	67	0	+67	Yes	+$27	11-05 17:19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$32	38	17	+20	No	-$12	05-19 04:49
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	05-16 15:53
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	1	$30	91	0	+91	No	-$30	11-03 16:49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	2	$28	22	22	+0	Yes	+$8	10-31 16:42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	05-17 13:35
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$26	16	16	+0	FC Barcelona	+$6	09-09 18:50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	2	$25	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	10-31 16:24
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$25	34	0	+34	Yes	+$9	10-26 17:45
Will FC København win on 2026-11-02?	1	$24	35	0	+35	Yes	+$11	11-02 16:53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 21:11
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	05-18 04:56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	1	$20	30	0	+30	No	-$20	11-04 14:44
Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	1	$20	35	0	+35	Over	+$15	11-01 10:26
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	1	$20	38	0	+38	Venezia FC	-$20	11-01 10:29
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	1	$20	32	0	+32	Yes	+$12	10-30 16:03
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	1	$20	31	0	+31	No	-$20	11-02 08:41
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	1	$20	35	0	+35	Yes	+$15	10-30 16:01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 20:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$19	49	0	+49	No	-$19	05-30 15:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	1	$18	31	0	+31	Yes	+$13	11-03 16:50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	1	$15	32	0	+32	No	-$15	10-31 18:12
Netherlands leading at halftime?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	09-27 18:00
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-07-25?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	07-25 16:01
Netherlands vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	11-13 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:22:49	Will Moldova win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xfa894e…
11-13 11:05:09	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xdb2ce4…
11-13 11:03:43	Netherlands vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x1a2664…
11-13 11:03:39	Netherlands vs. Greece: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x551a33…
11-13 03:48:09	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x97ee20…
11-13 02:29:31	Netherlands vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x4c0e69…
11-13 02:28:58	Netherlands vs. Greece: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x60aa50…
11-12 18:32:18	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcd8925…
11-12 11:52:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdd3441…
11-12 06:19:07	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb81eed…
11-10 18:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8812ab…
11-10 18:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xfdef6f…
11-10 18:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8525eb…
11-10 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x165a1e…
11-10 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x429b33…
11-10 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9d39d…
11-10 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x131dc0…
11-10 17:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0x1ddb04…
11-10 17:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0c198e…
11-10 17:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcc0de5…
11-10 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4acdb…
11-10 17:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a73ea…
11-10 17:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xeec3ed…
11-10 17:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xeb440a…
11-10 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x864643…
11-10 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd0cf8…
11-10 17:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf44e93…
11-10 17:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5a94c0…
11-10 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8363f…
11-10 16:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa3dba4…
11-10 16:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x609f32…
11-10 16:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x4446b7…
11-10 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4e5cfc…
11-10 16:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x34cf74…
11-10 16:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcda2d0…
11-10 16:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0eb675…
11-10 16:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x39d6e5…
11-10 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7fe970…
11-10 16:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd3f134…
11-10 16:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x93e1c7…
11-10 16:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x119867…
11-10 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfd9f52…
11-10 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0xe03404…
11-10 16:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe2cb4c…
11-09 14:35:06	Kristiansund BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x98d67e…
11-09 14:33:55	CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xb0d922…
11-08 19:33:04	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xb4d8c5…
11-08 17:16:13	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xe7b19e…
11-08 16:22:22	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd15175…
11-07 11:29:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa63b76…
11-06 08:38:42	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x7be8ae…
11-05 17:19:49	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x9a1041…
11-04 19:54:13	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcdd7b7…
11-04 19:43:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe3ee52…
11-04 18:41:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x46c907…
11-04 14:51:58	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x43f711…
11-04 14:44:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8ecf0f…
11-03 16:50:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x221f6e…
11-03 16:49:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x030215…
11-03 16:42:19	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xabf64b…
11-02 16:54:39	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xc54498…
11-02 16:53:36	Will FC København win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x286c18…
11-02 16:52:01	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3c3a13…
11-02 16:51:40	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8bc59f…
11-02 16:51:12	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4e71b5…
11-02 13:57:25	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x53a6dc…
11-02 13:57:01	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x1e4190…
11-02 08:51:12	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xbd0cd1…
11-02 08:41:52	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9ba838…
11-01 18:52:15	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Toulouse FC 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8135ce…
11-01 18:48:21	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x605b92…
11-01 18:46:34	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x62c857…
11-01 10:30:45	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfbd45f…
11-01 10:29:57	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb6b441…
11-01 10:28:52	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3f80cb…
11-01 10:26:33	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xfea46e…
11-01 10:17:49	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc4cff4…
10-31 18:12:55	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x22ed1f…
10-31 17:32:39	Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4583bc…
10-31 16:42:52	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x9a0d31…
10-31 16:24:39	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0xd9676e…
10-31 15:10:13	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb77171…
10-31 15:09:39	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6f38b4…
10-31 12:35:19	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x12419a…
10-30 16:03:27	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x309871…
10-30 16:01:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x235b88…
10-28 17:11:34	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x70d8cd…
10-28 17:10:26	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xeed9b8…
10-27 16:59:36	AS Roma leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe72129…
10-26 17:45:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0x9fe520…
10-25 19:14:45	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6250f5…
10-25 16:25:18	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xae35d6…
10-25 14:05:33	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5257fb…
10-24 14:10:26	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x280320…
10-24 13:58:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x81b762…
10-22 19:01:38	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb1f802…
10-22 16:42:59	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xed5d4a…
10-22 16:39:27	Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x614890…
10-22 16:35:18	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdd7a01…
10-21 18:48:20	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1ef316…