Young-Liability — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

20,910 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$384

$101.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-01 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% -$2,210

Other

2% 76% -$62

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	42	$2.1K	2,352	0	+2,352	Up	+$165	05-13 17:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$1.4K	2,854	0	+2,854	Up	+$12	05-13 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	14	$1.3K	1,276	0	+1,276	Up	+$13	05-13 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Up	+$11	05-13 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	116	$982	3,679	0	+3,679	Up	+$54	05-14 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	10	$900	929	0	+929	Up	+$8	05-13 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	8	$874	2,225	0	+2,225	Up	-$54	05-14 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:35 UTC	2	$742	750	0	+750	Down	+$8	04-07 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:25 UTC	7	$741	748	0	+748	Down	+$7	04-07 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:10 UTC	1	$739	746	0	+746	Up	+$7	04-07 13:15
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:30 UTC	2	$731	748	0	+748	Up	-$731	04-07 13:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:15 UTC	1	$637	644	0	+644	Down	+$6	04-07 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	63	$625	949	0	+949	Up	-$580	05-14 14:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:25 UTC	16	$623	629	0	+629	Up	+$6	04-07 13:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:10 UTC	1	$621	627	0	+627	Down	+$6	04-07 13:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:00 UTC	1	$619	625	0	+625	Up	+$6	04-07 13:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC	11	$569	575	0	+575	Up	+$6	04-08 00:05
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:55 UTC	3	$534	539	0	+539	Down	+$5	04-07 16:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:45 UTC	1	$532	537	0	+537	Up	+$5	04-07 15:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:55 UTC	9	$523	528	0	+528	Up	+$5	04-07 20:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC	50	$502	1,249	0	+1,249	Up	-$51	04-15 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	9	$490	704	332	+372	Down	+$207	05-14 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	27	$458	687	0	+687	Down	+$115	05-14 17:13
solana up or down april 15 2026 6am et	14	$451	1,110	0	+1,110	Down	+$35	04-15 10:41
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:55 UTC	2	$448	453	0	+453	Down	+$5	04-07 16:00
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:45 UTC	1	$443	451	0	+451	Down	+$8	04-07 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$438	446	0	+446	Up	+$8	05-13 17:44
solana up or down april 15 2026 5am et	38	$436	968	0	+968	Up	+$326	04-15 09:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:45 UTC	5	$428	432	0	+432	Down	-$428	04-07 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	61	$421	2,527	0	+2,527	Up	+$154	05-14 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x42c43b…
11-01 05:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2a6b93…
11-01 05:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x801b08…
11-01 01:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xefd3fc…
10-31 20:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x06a191…
10-31 19:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6193a4…
10-31 19:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4463fa…
10-31 19:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x49b7df…
10-31 19:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5b75ed…
10-31 19:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9a67ee…
10-31 18:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf64bc4…
10-31 18:06:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf05da2…
10-31 18:06:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc76fe7…
10-31 18:06:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x42ff86…
10-31 14:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf2d52d…
10-31 13:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xdba557…
10-31 13:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x81141a…
10-31 13:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xee206f…
10-31 13:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x14db04…
10-31 12:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdc1d0b…
10-31 12:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xbbcb2e…
10-31 12:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x694e0b…
10-31 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x06570e…
10-31 11:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa64af5…
10-31 09:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc7c8ee…
10-31 06:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8f3395…
10-31 06:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xa71247…
10-31 06:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x766f1f…
10-31 02:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x87db92…
08-21 16:43:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x04bd9b…
08-21 11:58:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x865555…
08-21 11:28:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfb8d8b…
08-21 08:28:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x108a80…
08-21 07:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x085878…
08-21 07:29:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6aabb0…
08-21 06:58:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x23703d…
08-21 05:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7f6048…
08-21 03:13:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x907222…
08-20 22:43:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4f5574…
08-20 20:58:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x611470…
08-20 18:39:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x0d2564…
08-20 17:39:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x85a55e…
08-20 14:43:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf6ef84…
08-20 09:34:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5d22c7…
08-20 01:58:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x07e21b…
08-19 22:44:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x0a1c12…
08-19 16:13:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2a03ec…
08-19 15:44:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4d60f4…
08-19 13:28:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa30c38…
08-18 15:13:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbf27b3…
08-16 22:13:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd279e7…
08-14 21:49:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xad9073…
08-14 16:13:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x062e22…
08-13 20:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9782ec…
08-12 14:13:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x4184b1…
08-12 13:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x713158…
08-12 13:44:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x11b326…
08-12 11:13:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9cd335…
08-11 15:58:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3a4135…
08-11 14:59:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1f8532…
08-10 17:28:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x859b72…
08-10 16:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x76bf0e…
08-07 15:13:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf18033…
08-07 14:43:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x44242b…
08-07 14:14:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdf0858…
08-07 04:24:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x9347ed…
08-07 02:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x082ec5…
08-06 21:54:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x05c4c0…
08-06 16:09:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5ef3ff…
08-06 15:58:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa03b27…
08-06 14:13:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x81f028…
08-06 13:34:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb36201…
08-05 19:49:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x78e8df…
08-05 18:24:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd9e0e1…
08-05 17:04:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc6acdf…
08-05 16:58:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0461b6…
08-05 15:28:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xd67587…
08-05 00:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3fe93f…
08-04 17:43:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf54a6e…
08-04 15:43:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb5d044…
08-04 15:43:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd41238…
08-04 14:24:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6a93c7…
08-04 02:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4dce7f…
08-04 00:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x1f536f…
08-03 15:49:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf439ee…
08-03 15:43:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd429bd…
08-03 14:13:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbb5dcb…
08-03 08:34:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6eceb6…
08-03 07:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xedcd3e…
08-03 07:43:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x49acba…
08-03 01:29:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8cdf1e…
08-03 00:58:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe196da…
08-02 23:49:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xbe43ae…
08-02 11:59:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd2f4d6…
08-01 17:43:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x507212…
08-01 10:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x6f9664…
08-01 03:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x21faa8…
08-01 00:29:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x284f5f…
08-01 00:14:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeba789…
07-31 17:43:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8edfc4…