Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.95K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

117

Trades

736

lifetime

Volume

$56.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

78% 48% -$1,888

Politics

18% 46% -$429

Sports

4% 33% -$635

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	Yes		+163	$5	2¢	$2	-$2	11-07 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	19	$4.7K	4,844	4,844	+0	No	-$1,191	01-20 03:21
lol edg nip 2026 01 19	6	$3.3K	2,572	1,672	+900	Ninjas in Pyjamas	-$450	01-19 14:17
lol th shft 2026 01 18	11	$2.2K	1,566	1,366	+200	Shifters	+$347	01-18 16:47
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	14	$2.0K	4,358	4,358	+0	No	-$896	01-15 03:03
lol kcb kc 2026 01 17	6	$1.9K	1,046	1,046	+0	Karmine Corp	+$126	01-17 20:35
lol vit sk 2026 01 17	9	$1.9K	1,514	1,514	+0	Team Vitality	+$146	01-17 19:38
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	8	$1.7K	2,140	614	+1,526	Yes	-$116	01-10 22:03
lol lr fnc 2026 01 17	10	$1.6K	1,010	1,010	+0	Fnatic	+$254	01-17 16:33
nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	4	$1.6K	1,350	1,350	+0	Spurs	-$444	01-01 01:53
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	1	$1.5K	0	1,543	-1,543	Yes	-$14	01-01 19:53
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	26	$1.4K	1,989	1,989	+0	Yes	+$83	01-25 03:21
lol kt hle1 2026 08 02	5	$1.1K	900	900	+0	KT Rolster	+$11	08-02 13:43
lol fnc shft 2026 08 22 game2	3	$1.1K	621	621	+0	Fnatic	+$87	08-22 16:35
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	6	$1.1K	796	796	+0	No	+$371	08-12 04:05
lol edg nip 2026 01 19 game2	12	$969	600	853	-253	Ninjas in Pyjamas	-$82	01-19 13:39
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	24	$963	7,588	2	+7,586	No	-$963	01-26 08:25
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	12	$950	592	592	+0	No	+$64	10-02 13:16
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	2	$941	0	1,384	-1,384	No	-$443	01-01 03:33
lol mkoi kc 2026 01 18	13	$937	2,005	615	+1,390	Movistar KOI	-$558	01-18 21:38
will trump and robert fico not shake hands	4	$829	915	0	+915	Yes	+$86	01-18 05:02
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$825	705	705	+0	Yes	+$35	01-19 21:59
lol al jdg 2026 01 18	18	$772	685	485	+200	JD Gaming	+$148	01-18 14:05
lol shft gx 2026 01 17	11	$770	941	443	+498	GIANTX	-$160	01-17 17:38
lol th navi 2026 01 17	21	$744	0	853	-853	Natus Vincere	-$109	01-17 18:27
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	7	$700	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	01-17 23:36
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	2	$674	416	416	+0	Yes	+$126	09-25 03:08
lol g2 gx 2026 01 18	11	$661	668	375	+293	GIANTX	+$82	01-18 20:45
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	4	$624	547	205	+342	No	+$103	10-05 00:08
lol sk fnc 2026 01 18	3	$616	800	200	+600	SK Gaming	$0	01-18 19:32
lol sk g2 2026 01 19	3	$601	2,032	461	+1,571	G2 Esports	-$537	01-19 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 19:05:16	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	Yes	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x969273…
11-07 18:57:33	Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x7d9e7b…
11-07 18:57:27	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	2¢	$3	0xd17835…
10-15 23:55:04	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xafda3f…
10-15 23:54:46	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x13074d…
10-15 23:54:45	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe1e830…
10-15 23:54:07	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8be120…
10-15 23:54:04	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb44d8f…
10-15 23:54:00	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	85	38¢	$32	0xa87691…
10-15 23:51:36	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	919	5¢	$46	0xb33dee…
10-15 21:04:05	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	125	42¢	$52	0xac3b8f…
10-12 21:57:15	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	723	8¢	$54	0x8b18d5…
10-05 20:02:26	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	689	8¢	$55	0x1ec311…
10-05 20:00:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xe57843…
10-05 20:00:43	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x5f1de3…
10-05 04:54:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x8f8466…
10-05 01:32:47	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	634	36¢	$231	0x1abf7c…
10-05 00:08:05	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x45ef5c…
10-05 00:08:05	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	145	94¢	$136	0x153e6f…
10-04 20:05:34	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	33¢	$56	0xd6d048…
10-04 18:14:08	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	45¢	$59	0x6b6113…
10-04 18:08:35	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	38¢	$128	0x82386c…
10-04 17:55:32	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	884	29¢	$255	0x2b8259…
10-04 17:46:25	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	252	78¢	$196	0xe8ac59…
10-04 15:41:35	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	295	80¢	$236	0x65566a…
10-04 00:18:34	will trump say joe 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xd35186…
10-04 00:17:04	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x54d5e7…
10-04 00:00:46	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0xc123f5…
10-03 20:46:05	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	SELL	92	82¢	$75	0xc939e8…
10-03 02:14:32	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x05542e…
10-03 02:13:48	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0xc9bc1e…
10-03 01:54:57	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	378	93¢	$352	0xc0e9d3…
10-02 21:18:23	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0x37c568…
10-02 14:33:26	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x33ced0…
10-02 13:16:33	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x992bcd…
10-02 13:16:33	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x78a6d3…
10-02 13:16:33	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4ba33b…
10-02 13:16:33	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x06174b…
10-02 07:20:11	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xed8646…
10-02 07:20:11	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x4ee9a2…
10-02 07:20:11	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x35c56c…
10-02 01:47:06	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x0ed6f7…
10-01 02:57:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	103	65¢	$67	0x533062…
10-01 02:57:48	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	SELL	103	34¢	$35	0x9f0f2f…
09-30 21:40:02	trump names ai czar by october 3 2026 20260928	No	BUY	142	66¢	$94	0x42201d…
09-30 21:39:15	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	49	42¢	$21	0xb10fc0…
09-30 21:39:00	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x7a12c8…
09-30 21:01:47	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	534	32¢	$171	0xb0ef18…
09-30 19:50:00	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x9d7d47…
09-30 19:50:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x761f12…
09-30 18:41:51	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	133	73¢	$97	0x92ae8c…
09-30 18:41:11	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	114	79¢	$90	0x39116e…
09-30 17:10:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	303	62¢	$188	0x32c31c…
09-30 17:10:27	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	BUY	303	31¢	$94	0x81dcdf…
09-30 17:08:14	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	SELL	375	80¢	$301	0xc6a863…
09-30 15:15:06	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	177	77¢	$136	0xe51f7a…
09-30 15:13:50	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x505ba8…
09-30 14:12:17	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8829d9…
09-30 13:57:02	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x1c490d…
09-30 13:36:33	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x8f9af3…
09-30 12:40:45	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0x8a22a3…
09-30 12:01:20	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	70	81¢	$56	0xc4cfd2…
09-29 14:13:02	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	99	75¢	$74	0x2bbb14…
09-29 14:09:53	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x7f765e…
09-29 14:09:35	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	183	74¢	$135	0x68522d…
09-29 13:46:57	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	378	75¢	$286	0x31997b…
09-28 01:07:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x31a3fb…
09-28 00:52:47	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	350	36¢	$127	0xd10595…
09-28 00:38:32	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	105	67¢	$70	0x2a803e…
09-26 04:37:45	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	118	32¢	$38	0xaa454d…
09-25 11:38:24	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	36	71¢	$25	0xf721e4…
09-25 11:38:24	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x008161…
09-25 11:37:39	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x9feae6…
09-25 11:20:23	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x6b4922…
09-25 05:40:42	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	60	71¢	$42	0x1a2f14…
09-25 03:08:53	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	472	72¢	$339	0x1a40dc…
09-25 03:08:27	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	SELL	416	96¢	$400	0xac8e3b…
09-25 03:07:50	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	346	36¢	$124	0xcaafc4…
09-23 22:12:29	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x8a1554…
09-20 17:57:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	56¢	$43	0xa97918…
09-20 17:13:25	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	57¢	$154	0x5feb41…
09-20 17:06:19	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x585e55…
09-14 22:40:25	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	383	42¢	$161	0x722fc4…
09-06 13:39:27	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xafb556…
09-04 23:56:54	lindsay clancy convicted of murder	Yes	BUY	191	8¢	$15	0xc9180d…
09-04 23:51:06	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	420	12¢	$52	0x54e5c5…
09-04 23:50:27	Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xe0caec…
09-04 23:49:24	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	BUY	344	12¢	$43	0x2baf55…
09-04 19:59:00	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0xda48ce…
09-03 22:45:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	117	4¢	$5	0x85edd6…
09-03 22:45:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	91	4¢	$4	0x65278f…
09-03 22:45:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	190	4¢	$8	0x1a8779…
09-03 22:44:48	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	526	5¢	$24	0x872d40…
09-03 21:54:54	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	694	4¢	$28	0xb5f7c2…
09-03 21:53:37	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xb813bb…
09-03 21:53:36	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	208	4¢	$8	0xea26f7…
09-03 21:53:34	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x962a64…
09-03 21:51:30	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x09a1d7…
09-03 12:07:07	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0x12a14f…
09-02 08:33:42	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	55¢	$60	0x1edde3…