Realized P&L
+$159
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
18.3%
Resolved
187
Trades
10,945
lifetime
Volume
$25.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$47
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 32% +$229
Other
7% 36% $-70
Politics
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 830 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$3 06-09 20:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-10 11:35
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 06-09 13:45
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +5 $3 97¢ $5 +$2 06-09 11:21
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$3 06-08 07:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 06-09 09:03
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 06-07 23:25
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 06-08 08:10
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +5 $3 32¢ $2 $-2 06-10 03:18
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 06-08 09:17
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 23:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 11:20
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +5 $3 $0 $-3 06-08 10:25
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-09 12:00
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $3 $0 $-3 06-09 20:13
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 11:08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-11 12:47