Realized P&L
+$159
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
18.3%
Resolved
187
Trades
7,519
lifetime
Volume
$17.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 32% +$229
Other
8% 36% $-70
Politics
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 830 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$1 06-09 20:12
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 06-07 23:25
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Yes +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$2 06-09 07:23
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-09 13:45
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 06-09 11:21
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-08 08:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $-0 06-09 09:03
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-08 10:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-0 06-10 02:34
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $-0 06-10 03:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $3 24¢ $2 $-1 06-09 20:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:34
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +5 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 06-08 07:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 06-08 11:20
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-08 09:17
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 06-09 12:00
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-09 11:08
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +5 $3 18¢ $1 $-2 06-09 08:15
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 23:25