Studious-Lout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$902

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

306

Trades

470

lifetime

Volume

$9.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-06-02

last 08-07 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

68% 75% -$794

Politics

19% 86% +$4

Sports

6% 76% -$1

Crypto

4% 67% -$115

Tech

3% 43% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+24	$22	56¢	$14	-$8	06-02 20:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$1.6K	3,828	0	+3,828	No	-$1,608	07-16 09:50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	5	$504	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$1,096	07-15 10:54
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$174	430	0	+430	No	-$174	07-14 13:18
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	6	$117	70	67	+3	Yes	-$4	06-14 13:00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	4	$81	46	36	+10	No	$0	06-03 08:08
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	3	$79	45	35	+10	No	$0	06-03 08:08
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$76	45	34	+10	No	+$0	06-03 08:08
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	06-03 08:08
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	3	$73	43	33	+10	No	-$1	06-03 08:08
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	06-03 08:08
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	2	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$1	06-03 08:33
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$70	36	36	+0	Yes	$0	06-03 08:08
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	2	$68	69	0	+69	Yes	+$1	06-03 09:08
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	06-03 08:08
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	3	$66	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	06-03 08:08
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$64	70	0	+70	No	+$6	06-23 03:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	06-03 08:08
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	-$1	06-03 08:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	4	$62	35	35	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 16:58
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$60	62	0	+62	No	+$2	06-03 08:54
Will Chan Kim win the 2026 ISCO Championship?	2	$58	32	31	+1	No	+$0	07-12 19:48
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?	3	$57	35	33	+1	No	-$10	06-03 08:08
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$57	42	23	+19	No	+$2	06-03 08:08
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$57	61	0	+61	No	+$5	06-07 02:23
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-03 08:09
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$1	07-26 21:52
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	2	$54	33	33	+0	No	-$1	06-03 08:09
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in May?	3	$54	58	0	+58	Yes	-$54	06-05 12:49
2026 us open top10 brian harman	2	$52	57	0	+57	No	+$5	06-20 23:57
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 goals alexis vega gte2	2	$51	54	0	+54	No	+$3	06-11 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 08:56:07	Will the US lose jobs in July?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb67172…
08-06 05:49:30	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5ccc9e…
08-05 11:20:18	Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd4cd67…
08-04 03:59:21	Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x0d4c6c…
08-02 17:04:32	Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Rocket Classic?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x101575…
08-01 18:05:33	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0x61dbae…
08-01 11:13:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xea9f14…
08-01 09:08:06	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x290c13…
07-31 03:39:24	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe9b601…
07-27 22:26:58	wwd quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 27 2026 2pt42	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x0b4093…
07-26 21:52:40	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x01107a…
07-26 18:03:09	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x80ace1…
07-19 21:19:09	will mrbeast say trap during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829401	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x96650c…
07-19 12:38:21	Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9d99f…
07-16 09:50:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	3,828	42¢	$1,608	0x121662…
07-15 10:54:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	631	32¢	$199	0x50a953…
07-15 10:53:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	844	32¢	$266	0xa411b8…
07-15 10:53:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2d53ef…
07-15 10:52:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$9	0x993486…
07-15 10:52:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	90	32¢	$28	0x55f061…
07-15 07:05:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x7e305f…
07-14 14:34:07	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x72e3b8…
07-14 13:18:07	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	430	40¢	$174	0xe11c29…
07-12 23:04:41	will anyone say target during big brother e2 20260709220215497	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd474c9…
07-12 23:02:37	will anyone say facebook during love island e35 20260710151358756	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x969ccd…
07-12 20:29:08	iran successfully targets shipping on july 11	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xfe552c…
07-12 20:11:23	Will Zac Blair win the 2026 ISCO Championship?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4b956f…
07-12 19:48:56	Will Chan Kim win the 2026 ISCO Championship?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x6173d5…
07-12 08:26:37	Will Chan Kim win the 2026 ISCO Championship?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xe32860…
07-12 00:05:01	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x1225a8…
07-12 00:01:56	will mrbeast say hottest during his next youtube video 20260702154826885	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4e2db9…
07-12 00:01:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0x0740d8…
07-10 19:43:10	will nflx dip to 72 50 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x017716…
07-10 15:58:13	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x0f937b…
07-10 13:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x1ff646…
07-10 10:14:01	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 10 2026 1pt48	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x0184e4…
07-07 13:24:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x6d158f…
07-07 00:02:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x035338…
07-05 04:56:17	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xdffd8a…
07-05 00:09:56	Will Zac Blair win the 2026 John Deere Classic?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x36b33f…
07-04 23:00:58	will trump say six seven during tribute to america rally 20260630160620571	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0xce95f7…
07-04 00:08:10	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x1a1ef9…
07-03 22:36:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x0e1e8d…
07-01 10:52:59	fds quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 01 2026 4pt45	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb9d54b…
06-30 22:32:35	Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0xf064ee…
06-30 22:22:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x6e0104…
06-30 19:56:37	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x94cba7…
06-30 15:16:55	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	27	94¢	$26	0xa6fafa…
06-30 13:26:20	Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	BUY	34	93¢	$31	0x5ddecd…
06-30 05:14:56	Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x700746…
06-30 04:32:41	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd553c9…
06-30 04:21:25	will donald trump publicly insult zohran mamdani by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x3c0eb5…
06-30 04:16:31	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xe6c05a…
06-30 04:04:49	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xf82c2c…
06-30 00:16:29	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xb88a63…
06-29 23:50:46	ruben rocha out as governor of sinaloa by june 30	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb5c9f5…
06-29 23:28:07	Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x00e43f…
06-29 23:08:28	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x5554d8…
06-29 22:59:53	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x71fa10…
06-29 13:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	35	93¢	$32	0xe39309…
06-28 19:20:26	Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Travelers Championship?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$28	0x47da1c…
06-28 02:33:07	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7963d7…
06-27 03:09:37	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xbdc758…
06-26 23:42:47	Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x12f371…
06-23 12:49:40	Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xa01445…
06-23 05:41:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x32af00…
06-23 03:17:23	Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xdc31b8…
06-23 03:16:50	Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x19a469…
06-23 01:58:44	Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x23e268…
06-23 01:58:41	Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x8c000c…
06-22 19:21:41	France to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xecbba3…
06-21 23:26:07	Cabo Verde to win the second half?	No	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0xafa9b2…
06-21 18:19:55	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x5c8e0c…
06-21 05:34:16	2026 us open top10 jt poston	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xddc500…
06-21 05:14:04	2026 us open top20 chris gotterup	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc730de…
06-21 04:25:52	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xa319bc…
06-21 02:43:56	2026 us open top5 collin morikawa	No	BUY	23	79¢	$19	0xbde041…
06-21 02:43:26	2026 us open top5 collin morikawa	No	BUY	23	79¢	$19	0x6947b5…
06-21 02:13:55	2026 us open top20 xander schauffele	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0xd15a3b…
06-21 00:46:44	2026 us open top10 cameron young	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x01ca89…
06-21 00:45:16	2026 us open top10 cameron young	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xda3567…
06-20 23:57:49	2026 us open top10 brian harman	No	BUY	28	91¢	$26	0xc412e7…
06-20 23:56:52	2026 us open top10 brian harman	No	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x68c097…
06-20 15:16:14	Sweden to win the second half?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xdde887…
06-17 11:53:31	Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xcb0cf5…
06-17 11:53:31	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0x433c69…
06-14 21:20:00	Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)	Boston Red Sox	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x59c244…
06-14 13:34:46	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0xe6b4ac…
06-14 13:00:34	Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x0ac8e4…
06-14 12:20:39	Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x126523…
06-14 12:20:37	Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x98ea85…
06-14 12:19:21	Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc8cd43…
06-14 12:19:19	Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0xdd1e04…
06-14 11:45:10	Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xfb17b3…
06-14 02:30:51	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x918b17…
06-14 00:34:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x2cdf61…
06-12 16:58:18	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x3d83d1…
06-12 15:13:34	Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x4eab63…
06-12 03:25:46	lol lll los 2026 06 11 game1 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe34644…
06-12 00:22:31	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 goals patrik schick gte2	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x45e0e4…