Parallel-Grit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-17 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

34% — —

Crypto

28% 0% $-33

Politics

26% 33% +$74

Tech

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$445	255	255	+0	open	—	04-23 09:26
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	2	$169	149	149	+0	open	—	06-18 20:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	1	$118	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 09:32
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	3	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 08:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$86	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 09:25
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$71	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 16:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$55	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 13:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$54	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 16:06
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$47	80	0	+80	open	—	05-11 17:31
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	3	$43	200	100	+100	open	—	05-11 17:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	05-06 09:26
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$41	48	0	+48	open	—	04-23 16:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$38	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 11:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	3	$37	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 13:04
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	1	$30	64	0	+64	open	—	05-30 10:38
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	05-30 10:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	06-15 10:55
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 11-17?	1	$18	100	0	+100	Yes	$-18	05-11 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$15	333	0	+333	Up	$-15	05-07 12:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$14	100	0	+100	open	—	05-09 10:16
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$13	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 17:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$11	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 09:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$11	100	0	+100	No	$-11	04-30 11:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	Yes	+$90	04-30 09:32
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	05-11 17:32
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	1	$5	100	0	+100	Yes	$-5	05-10 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-30 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-30 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 20:34:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	149	46¢	$69	0xab5ba7…
06-17 06:51:44	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xd967db…
06-15 10:55:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xde84e1…
05-30 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x864b86…
05-30 10:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa488ab…
05-30 10:50:32	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x25c7be…
05-30 10:38:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x2a1d98…
05-26 08:40:21	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x9330ae…
05-17 16:58:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xf736c5…
05-15 11:33:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	98	38¢	$37	0x3533d8…
05-15 11:32:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x11c17a…
05-15 11:22:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xf97cee…
05-15 09:10:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x833c3a…
05-11 17:34:29	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x07c09d…
05-11 17:34:05	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xe3787e…
05-11 17:33:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x88673d…
05-11 17:32:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa4bc2e…
05-11 17:31:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0x5d25e3…
05-11 15:27:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x79b9a7…
05-10 11:38:26	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x9e4af5…
05-10 10:37:46	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3d72a8…
05-10 10:36:43	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3c26a1…
05-09 10:16:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x104e19…
05-07 13:53:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x4e70dc…
05-07 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x84a3aa…
05-07 12:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe270aa…
05-07 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xeff404…
05-06 09:27:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x2f82fa…
05-06 09:26:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x202f8e…
05-06 09:25:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xdfd9b9…
05-06 07:36:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x156751…
05-04 16:09:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2f092c…
05-04 16:05:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x7a8195…
05-04 06:53:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x29b8cc…
05-04 06:49:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x98d922…
05-02 13:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x3decfa…
05-02 13:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0x19f6a1…
05-02 10:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0c14f7…
05-02 10:44:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf1eab9…
04-30 11:25:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xb4d2b2…
04-30 09:32:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1bd9c1…
04-23 16:24:22	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0xe5f3d6…
04-23 16:17:02	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x09b5e0…
04-23 16:16:54	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8b2af3…
04-23 16:16:44	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe84f21…
04-23 16:16:42	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0xd126bd…
04-23 16:06:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x334c2f…
04-23 09:33:42	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x528eac…
04-23 09:32:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x6e444f…
04-23 09:26:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	255	96¢	$246	0xd1963c…
04-09 17:03:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	255	78¢	$199	0x4beff3…