Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$853

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

346

Trades

2,398

lifetime

Volume

$6.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 10-24 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 47% -$305

Other

23% 32% -$104

Politics

7% 36% -$209

Tech

5% 0% -$229

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Sports

0% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 484 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No		+37	$36	99¢	$37	+$2	08-06 00:35
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	14¢	$0	-$1	09-20 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	879	$664	940	346	+595	No	+$36	08-05 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	100	$353	696	116	+580	Up	+$196	10-03 06:44
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	2	$269	150	150	+0	open	—	09-24 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	11	$262	499	0	+499	Up	-$262	10-03 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	207	$233	18,578	0	+18,578	Up	-$233	10-03 09:10
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	6	$228	300	0	+300	No	-$228	09-21 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	11	$218	265	76	+189	Down	+$35	10-24 13:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	6	$214	279	279	+0	open	—	10-11 03:03
will warsh say productivity during july press conference 20260720204109042	2	$136	70	70	+0	Yes	-$3	07-29 18:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	43	$134	272	0	+272	Yes	-$134	08-02 03:32
will spotify say premium 20 times during earnings call 20260730163821615	2	$130	66	66	+0	Yes	+$1	08-04 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	44	$111	654	0	+654	Up	-$92	10-03 07:59
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?	166	$109	335	72	+264	No	-$73	08-05 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	7	$100	125	0	+125	Down	+$25	10-23 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	5	$94	194	0	+194	Up	-$94	10-17 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:40 UTC	48	$82	611	0	+611	Up	-$82	07-22 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$73	113	0	+113	Up	+$40	10-23 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	25	$71	203	19	+184	Up	+$23	10-03 06:26
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	1	$58	62	0	+62	No	+$3	09-21 14:08
will warsh say restrictive during july press conference 20260720204109047	3	$55	29	29	+0	Yes	-$3	07-29 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	11	$53	117	0	+117	Down	+$12	10-03 07:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 09:45 UTC	2	$52	96	0	+96	Up	+$45	10-03 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	5	$47	89	0	+89	Down	+$42	10-16 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	8	$45	676	0	+676	Up	+$23	10-03 09:14
will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	-$1	07-31 15:44
will spacex say tesla during earnings call 20260730164309242	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:35 UTC	22	$41	54	0	+54	Up	+$13	07-22 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	11	$39	245	0	+245	Up	+$36	10-03 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$39	62	0	+62	Up	+$22	10-24 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$36	53	0	+53	Up	+$18	10-21 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x95da37…
10-24 13:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x43eda0…
10-24 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xe4469d…
10-24 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xd21d33…
10-24 13:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x579653…
10-24 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0xd7d9cc…
10-24 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	126	71¢	$90	0xd6bb74…
10-24 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0x4fd96c…
10-24 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xe5a5eb…
10-24 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xc1b9e6…
10-24 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbc9c19…
10-24 13:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf2740e…
10-24 13:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x07e464…
10-24 13:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0xd38ede…
10-24 05:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0x049abe…
10-23 22:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xcc4fe2…
10-23 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac2ee7…
10-23 22:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x914f82…
10-23 22:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x614248…
10-23 22:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0xfb85f0…
10-23 22:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x7505fd…
10-23 21:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x7b399d…
10-23 20:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x98b8ff…
10-23 20:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xac372c…
10-23 20:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb86869…
10-23 20:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xea1e0d…
10-23 20:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x78e977…
10-23 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	89	81¢	$71	0x0e757a…
10-23 20:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0cdc38…
10-21 21:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0x92713f…
10-21 00:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x4924ce…
10-21 00:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf183ab…
10-21 00:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0xefa568…
10-20 16:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x22da96…
10-17 03:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0f1551…
10-17 03:31:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x394843…
10-17 03:22:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe0c5ff…
10-17 03:20:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xc2f878…
10-17 03:16:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c9ac8…
10-17 00:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0x6477b9…
10-17 00:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x6f07bb…
10-17 00:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xfcc8b2…
10-17 00:12:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0xa9ac2d…
10-17 00:12:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0xa7720c…
10-16 23:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x6506a3…
10-16 23:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xec895f…
10-16 23:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xcc319f…
10-16 23:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x443ba1…
10-16 23:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0xd9d419…
10-16 22:57:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x748817…
10-16 13:34:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x26159c…
10-16 11:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xca19de…
10-16 11:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x83d645…
10-14 09:23:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe95de6…
10-14 09:23:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x718f68…
10-14 09:21:10	wta volynet guo 2026 10 13	Katie Volynets	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xf34b3e…
10-12 14:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x70f452…
10-12 13:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4d2e8f…
10-12 12:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf07213…
10-12 12:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfdefcf…
10-12 11:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x716a05…
10-11 09:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xfa9748…
10-11 03:36:48	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Suns	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x27a59a…
10-11 03:35:14	Spurs vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x183c7e…
10-11 03:33:29	Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x9908f8…
10-11 03:32:44	Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x251e4d…
10-11 03:28:45	Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb02f58…
10-11 03:27:41	Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa94a22…
10-11 03:26:59	Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xe90bc8…
10-11 03:26:09	Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x91d783…
10-11 03:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe64377…
10-11 03:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x9b7e51…
10-11 03:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbf8457…
10-11 03:14:15	Spurs vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4261eb…
10-11 03:13:44	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf8d6c9…
10-11 03:13:20	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb315cf…
10-11 03:12:59	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3a3aeb…
10-11 03:09:35	Tormo vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xcc5999…
10-11 03:08:02	Tormo vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf02615…
10-11 03:08:02	Tormo vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xb03c1c…
10-11 03:05:42	Tormo vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x759aeb…
10-11 03:03:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	279	28¢	$79	0x0a329e…
10-11 01:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xb1a6da…
10-11 00:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb19123…
10-09 13:35:07	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x11a059…
10-09 13:32:10	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd7ff6d…
10-09 13:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5d336d…
10-09 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x301096…
10-09 12:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb43f4a…
10-09 12:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe4425d…
10-09 12:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9900c9…
10-09 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x950316…
10-09 12:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d5a13…
10-09 06:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa3f785…
10-09 06:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x465146…
10-05 23:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd38f49…
10-05 23:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa4339d…
10-05 23:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xedc32f…
10-05 23:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x0da145…
10-05 23:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0xef8790…