Improbable-Eel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,387

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-06 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 606 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	15	$545	480	465	+15	open	—	04-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$473	334	321	+13	open	—	04-25 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$418	304	294	+10	open	—	04-25 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET	15	$307	260	249	+12	open	—	04-25 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	12	$267	310	154	+156	open	—	04-25 23:05
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 8am et	5	$255	313	140	+173	open	—	04-23 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	16	$252	261	156	+106	open	—	04-25 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$223	389	47	+343	open	—	04-25 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12PM ET	5	$219	313	108	+206	open	—	04-25 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	18	$195	300	100	+200	open	—	04-25 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$188	433	20	+413	open	—	04-25 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$184	100	99	+1	open	—	04-26 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	18	$176	341	0	+341	open	—	04-25 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	12	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	9	$163	326	0	+326	open	—	04-25 10:08
btc updown 5m 1776977400	3	$156	172	132	+40	open	—	04-23 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$155	115	112	+4	open	—	04-26 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	9	$148	510	0	+510	open	—	04-25 04:54
btc updown 5m 1777005900	6	$147	170	162	+8	open	—	04-24 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$144	370	0	+370	open	—	04-25 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$143	292	0	+292	open	—	04-25 23:34
btc updown 5m 1777053300	2	$139	96	93	+3	open	—	04-24 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$139	672	0	+672	open	—	04-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$139	97	95	+2	open	—	04-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$137	200	0	+200	open	—	04-25 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$128	250	0	+250	open	—	04-25 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$122	100	97	+3	open	—	04-26 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	21	$120	501	191	+311	open	—	04-25 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$120	192	0	+192	open	—	04-25 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$115	94	91	+3	open	—	04-25 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 04:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x0a418d…
05-06 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xf1299f…
05-06 04:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x03303f…
05-06 04:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbc9e5d…
05-06 03:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3c2041…
05-06 02:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd5899b…
05-06 02:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x416d98…
05-05 11:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf986d7…
05-05 11:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0a5f9e…
05-05 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x0f175c…
05-05 08:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe1235d…
05-05 08:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x579000…
05-05 08:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x65f2a7…
05-05 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa01cc0…
05-05 08:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6d823d…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe7e5f8…
05-05 08:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x995566…
05-05 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5585fc…
05-05 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xdfd427…
05-05 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd47375…
05-05 08:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x142da4…
05-05 08:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x028c62…
05-05 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x783a7f…
05-05 08:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x34cafc…
05-05 08:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x64d4a8…
05-05 08:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x877f5e…
05-05 08:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3622f0…
05-05 08:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6222aa…
05-05 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x22cc06…
05-05 08:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x48242f…
05-05 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xebfc98…
05-05 08:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x13780e…
05-05 07:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0xd5e8fb…
05-05 07:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x66fd3e…
05-05 07:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3007ce…
05-05 07:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x283c4d…
05-05 07:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x58172f…
05-05 07:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x7233d0…
05-05 07:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x14d3fc…
05-05 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x74432d…
05-05 07:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x235a84…
05-05 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaf83d5…
05-05 06:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xf31d06…
05-05 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2f0cdf…
05-05 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xbc011e…
05-05 06:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb6d200…
05-05 02:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x3852af…
05-05 02:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xf800b8…
05-05 02:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb92809…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0xe2e06c…
05-05 02:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xae74d8…
05-05 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf0bb4e…
05-05 02:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd62653…
05-05 02:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x4af22d…
05-05 02:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeefaf8…
05-05 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9cccf0…
05-05 01:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x251e2e…
05-05 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1bd7f4…
05-05 01:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb91c15…
05-05 01:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xab2d02…
05-05 01:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x25a3c0…
05-05 01:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x709f53…
05-05 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5804e1…
05-05 00:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd73e7b…
05-05 00:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0b83b8…
05-05 00:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfba5d7…
05-04 23:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xcedcc3…
05-04 23:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xc85210…
05-04 23:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3a4428…
05-04 23:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc38aec…
05-04 23:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2f189e…
05-04 22:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcda3e7…
05-04 22:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x1cfee0…
05-04 22:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x65746e…
05-04 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf83d83…
05-04 22:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd73959…
05-04 22:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8f45ba…
05-04 22:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x8db183…
05-04 22:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb79a3b…
05-04 08:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5b7900…
05-04 08:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xea3479…
05-04 08:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x91ce5a…
05-04 08:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa52dcb…
05-04 08:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xf93693…
05-04 08:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf6e884…
05-04 07:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x726c1b…
05-04 07:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb36327…
05-04 07:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfe98f8…
05-04 07:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7e2451…
05-04 07:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x704b03…
05-04 07:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xace3da…
05-04 07:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb16217…
05-04 07:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd0d4cc…
05-04 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4aca0b…
05-04 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd4e66c…
05-04 07:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x971df0…
05-03 23:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x731d27…
05-03 23:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1b407e…
05-03 23:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4f54dc…
05-03 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc507a6…