Improbable-Eel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

6 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$82

$82 lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$58	0	64	-64	Up	$-5	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	Down	$-7	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	+$12	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	+$9	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-05 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe7e5f8…
05-05 02:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb92809…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0xe2e06c…
05-05 02:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeefaf8…
05-04 22:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x65746e…
05-04 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf83d83…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$1.45K	30	05-05 08:51
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	5	$1.39K	18	05-05 08:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$1.17K	27	05-05 08:51
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	4	$549	18	05-05 02:10
General-School 0x01ca…200d	3	$2.61K	13	05-05 02:10