Bright-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

142

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-11 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 45% -$53

Other

16% 57% -$26

Politics

1% 50% -$15

Sports

1% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$230	1,273	1,273	+0	open	—	05-09 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$173	136	136	+0	Up	+$38	05-11 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	7	$62	140	0	+140	Down	+$8	05-11 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$59	140	0	+140	Up	+$11	05-11 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$49	110	0	+110	Up	+$5	05-10 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$49	110	0	+110	Down	+$6	05-10 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	11	$49	110	0	+110	Down	+$6	05-10 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	15	$49	110	0	+110	Down	+$5	05-10 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	6	$49	70	0	+70	Down	-$49	05-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	9	$48	110	0	+110	Down	+$7	05-10 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	11	$48	106	0	+106	Up	+$5	05-10 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	21	$48	238	0	+238	Up	-$48	05-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$5	05-12 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	7	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$5	05-11 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$5	05-11 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$44	63	0	+63	Down	-$44	05-11 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	8	$43	90	0	+90	Down	+$2	05-10 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	10	$43	89	0	+89	Down	-$4	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$41	100	0	+100	Up	+$9	05-10 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	9	$40	85	0	+85	Down	+$5	05-10 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$36	80	0	+80	Down	+$4	05-11 15:34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$29	90	0	+90	Natus Vincere	-$29	05-12 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$27	60	0	+60	Up	+$3	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$23	25	25	+0	Up	$0	05-10 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	-$20	05-09 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$20	44	0	+44	Down	+$2	05-09 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$20	38	38	+0	Down	+$16	11-09 21:19
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	2	$18	10	10	+0	Team Yandex	+$2	06-07 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$18	45	0	+45	Up	+$4	05-07 14:10
cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	2	$18	10	10	+0	FUT Esports	+$2	06-07 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 13:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x24bd00…
11-11 13:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7330a0…
11-11 13:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x386600…
11-11 13:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x05928d…
11-11 13:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x807a8e…
11-11 13:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x327227…
11-10 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb2f4a2…
11-10 20:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf86a2e…
11-10 20:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8958f9…
11-10 13:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9dd505…
11-10 13:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x325f96…
11-10 13:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9be368…
11-10 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeb13da…
11-10 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfb0049…
11-10 11:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x117844…
11-10 11:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdba659…
11-10 10:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x77b4a7…
11-10 10:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2a3042…
11-10 09:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b7007…
11-10 09:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe4ded8…
11-10 09:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x042ac0…
11-10 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb6da70…
11-10 09:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8a6417…
11-10 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x80e329…
11-10 09:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbd65e0…
11-10 09:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd1a9a5…
11-09 21:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd368ed…
11-09 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa34679…
11-09 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	38	47¢	$18	0x8ea7ba…
11-09 21:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0c3ca2…
11-09 21:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x570da0…
11-09 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x02c28e…
11-09 21:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	253	0¢	$1	0xca0e42…
11-09 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd39a98…
11-09 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x943dc4…
11-09 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe5c03a…
11-09 21:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11b64c…
11-09 20:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x58ac6d…
06-08 11:55:27	cs2 mana1 step 2026 06 08	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x308932…
06-08 11:51:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6f5c62…
06-08 11:48:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf2bec7…
06-08 11:46:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x202177…
06-08 11:44:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc5942a…
06-08 08:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe65908…
06-08 08:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x58eec6…
06-08 08:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x92affd…
06-08 08:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xdc1574…
06-08 08:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x419bb7…
06-08 08:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x1e57f2…
06-08 08:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x354225…
06-08 08:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x13dc61…
06-08 08:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb99cc…
06-07 21:45:27	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	FUT Esports	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x992851…
06-07 20:17:57	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	FUT Esports	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0ea7fd…
06-07 20:17:40	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	Team Yandex	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb68556…
06-07 18:37:16	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	Team Yandex	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xfb9516…
06-06 19:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1f1261…
06-05 20:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x77500b…
06-05 19:57:42	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 05	ex-RUBY	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7f9eb9…
06-05 19:57:03	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 05	RUSTEC	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe76928…
05-15 13:49:13	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x76f12f…
05-12 22:22:56	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	90	32¢	$29	0x58354d…
05-12 22:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8c572a…
05-12 22:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x86018f…
05-12 22:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x62a6fe…
05-12 22:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x14265b…
05-12 22:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x82833e…
05-12 22:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x962553…
05-12 22:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x430a59…
05-12 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe399f2…
05-12 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd58af7…
05-12 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x67f986…
05-12 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xaf1666…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xffff99…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xfb4c0b…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0xea9230…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc33c6e…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc15506…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xba8b1e…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xb77ae8…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xb74297…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa83944…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa290c0…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x98c219…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x90a76a…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7ad1ef…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x661da2…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x606d12…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x533cc5…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x4258c7…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x28984d…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x1ac398…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x134b89…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x09ec59…
05-12 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	79	8¢	$7	0x97e670…
05-12 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0xd3a15e…
05-12 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8f3393…
05-12 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6744c7…
05-12 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeac670…
05-12 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x72ff77…