Wilted-Wonder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

136

Trades

1,876

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$279

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-30 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

35% 0% $-3

Crypto

28% 97% +$8

Other

21% 100% +$1

Tech

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes		-900	$-249	31¢	$-279	$-30	06-11 10:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	22	$1.6K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	06-11 17:54
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	41	$1.2K	1,593	1,593	+0	open	—	06-09 14:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	21	$1.1K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	06-07 20:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	24	$1.0K	1,877	1,877	+0	open	—	05-10 22:26
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet	2	$873	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 02:07
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	18	$701	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	06-11 10:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$676	600	600	+0	open	—	06-07 06:57
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	18	$648	628	628	+0	open	—	06-09 13:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	27	$624	650	600	+50	open	—	05-22 15:03
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	7	$616	424	424	+0	open	—	06-09 00:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$542	640	640	+0	open	—	06-10 23:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$422	460	660	-200	open	—	06-07 06:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	10	$395	400	400	+0	open	—	05-21 13:19
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$389	480	480	+0	open	—	04-22 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$370	400	400	+0	open	—	06-07 19:59
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 17:52
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	10	$361	493	469	+24	open	—	06-16 14:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 09:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$345	600	600	+0	open	—	05-10 21:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$343	400	400	+0	open	—	05-10 21:46
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$341	480	480	+0	open	—	04-30 05:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	6	$340	400	400	+0	open	—	06-06 03:01
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$326	305	305	+0	open	—	06-08 14:40
israel closes its airspace by june 8	8	$313	242	242	+0	open	—	06-08 09:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 10:37
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	5	$283	1,163	837	+326	open	—	05-16 13:02
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$239	196	196	+0	open	—	06-03 20:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	2	$222	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 01:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$219	400	400	+0	open	—	05-20 15:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$214	239	239	+0	open	—	04-26 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:09:20	btc updown 5m 1782813900	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad1b53…
06-30 10:08:53	btc updown 5m 1782813900	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe16d5b…
06-30 10:08:11	btc updown 5m 1782813900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x709b2e…
06-29 17:51:50	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x9fc04e…
06-29 17:51:40	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xd0834c…
06-29 17:51:29	will cap dip to 0pt02 before 2027	No	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x847001…
06-29 15:32:32	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4c146c…
06-29 14:42:19	will cap dip to 0pt02 before 2027	No	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x9dc258…
06-29 13:42:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x46b645…
06-29 11:12:49	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	No	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x472bd7…
06-29 11:12:40	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xec1b56…
06-29 10:32:13	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	No	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xee421f…
06-29 10:24:28	will amzn reach 236 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0xfef566…
06-29 10:24:10	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt70 20260618172009453	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x46c677…
06-29 10:24:01	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x1f1852…
06-29 10:23:52	will pltr reach 117 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xbd2443…
06-29 08:40:46	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x37fa5f…
06-29 03:57:31	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc20416…
06-29 03:53:01	will pltr reach 117 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x702feb…
06-29 03:05:23	will amzn reach 236 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xc1bf20…
06-28 22:23:40	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7d934b…
06-28 22:23:10	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xb1fdda…
06-28 21:12:43	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt70 20260618172009453	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x2c98b6…
06-28 13:43:25	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xa0c510…
06-28 12:27:52	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xed150d…
06-28 08:16:29	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0xdefe53…
06-28 02:41:53	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	41	52¢	$21	0x0eb0a8…
06-28 01:29:58	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xcd91a9…
06-28 01:23:28	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x931d8a…
06-28 01:23:28	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8483e7…
06-28 00:54:04	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x6d5c42…
06-28 00:39:22	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x9ce431…
06-27 22:37:14	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x50674b…
06-27 22:37:14	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x30b524…
06-27 12:58:05	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	No	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x875156…
06-27 12:57:41	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in july 20260626154217434	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x9d8da5…
06-27 09:14:43	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in july 20260626154217434	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x8aae65…
06-27 06:48:55	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	No	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xc7abcd…
06-27 00:21:13	will wyatt cullen be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348106	No	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x07d23c…
06-26 21:09:16	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x5faf12…
06-26 16:27:20	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x3294b3…
06-26 14:38:05	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf6d841…
06-26 14:37:10	Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x6f623d…
06-26 14:36:28	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x29826e…
06-26 13:14:25	Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0xf22740…
06-26 09:11:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x947b8c…
06-26 08:54:53	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xd85d70…
06-26 08:25:53	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x9e1806…
06-26 08:25:53	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x7ecdb0…
06-26 08:20:41	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xf12213…
06-26 08:20:40	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x9f8166…
06-26 07:27:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xc7e82e…
06-25 20:34:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x08367e…
06-25 20:34:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x48638f…
06-25 17:53:22	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x952d77…
06-25 16:42:50	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x10981b…
06-25 14:16:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xca455b…
06-25 12:34:41	will russia capture kindrativka by september 30	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x563562…
06-25 12:19:22	will russia capture kindrativka by september 30	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xbd1e87…
06-25 12:13:56	will russia capture serhiivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x3789ea…
06-25 11:44:58	will ink launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x87cd3f…
06-25 11:44:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x3bdca5…
06-25 11:44:23	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0xd90915…
06-25 10:31:23	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x091489…
06-25 10:27:49	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x71c8c7…
06-25 10:06:28	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0x82525e…
06-25 07:46:28	will ink launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xc11a33…
06-25 07:28:17	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0x4fe60c…
06-25 00:02:43	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x6419b5…
06-24 17:51:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0xf4f5a7…
06-24 17:49:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	120	62¢	$74	0x2d319c…
06-24 17:43:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0xaeb0d2…
06-24 16:57:05	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0x01332a…
06-24 16:35:59	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x144bfc…
06-24 16:23:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xb6b795…
06-24 15:04:59	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xa0768d…
06-24 15:04:29	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x5e3fc5…
06-24 15:02:53	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x8ffbab…
06-24 11:55:19	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xa07a5a…
06-24 11:23:38	Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x001357…
06-24 11:15:44	Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0xe64291…
06-24 11:15:44	Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4126c0…
06-24 11:14:20	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x7eb9f5…
06-24 11:05:50	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xbfffed…
06-24 10:47:25	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x843e08…
06-24 10:09:43	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xccbe08…
06-24 10:09:20	trump approval up or down this week 20260619212033704	Down	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xe98c8c…
06-23 21:54:08	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x2eae65…
06-23 21:09:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xfdb9e2…
06-23 21:08:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xb0825f…
06-23 21:07:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xfbc6cb…
06-23 21:07:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xbf9e89…
06-23 17:51:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xf3f4e0…
06-23 17:28:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x3b2879…
06-23 14:49:41	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe585a7…
06-23 12:37:23	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	60	79¢	$48	0x9396af…
06-23 12:16:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x20d77b…
06-23 11:38:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x5005b9…
06-23 11:38:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0xab31c9…
06-23 11:37:32	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x9c5bd3…