Wilted-Wonder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

136

Trades

1,669

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-09 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

38% 0% $-3

Crypto

31% 97% +$8

Other

17% 100% +$1

Tech

11% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	20	$1.6K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	06-09 20:47
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	41	$1.2K	1,593	1,593	+0	open	—	06-09 14:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	21	$1.1K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	06-07 20:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	24	$1.0K	1,877	1,877	+0	open	—	05-10 22:26
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet	2	$873	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 02:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$676	600	600	+0	open	—	06-07 06:57
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	18	$648	628	628	+0	open	—	06-09 13:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	27	$624	650	600	+50	open	—	05-22 15:03
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	7	$616	424	424	+0	open	—	06-09 00:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$432	400	400	+0	open	—	06-08 17:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$422	460	660	-200	open	—	06-07 06:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	10	$395	400	400	+0	open	—	05-21 13:19
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$389	480	480	+0	open	—	04-22 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$370	400	400	+0	open	—	06-07 19:59
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 17:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 09:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$345	600	600	+0	open	—	05-10 21:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$343	400	400	+0	open	—	05-10 21:46
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$341	480	480	+0	open	—	04-30 05:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	6	$340	400	400	+0	open	—	06-06 03:01
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$326	305	305	+0	open	—	06-08 14:40
israel closes its airspace by june 8	8	$313	242	242	+0	open	—	06-08 09:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 10:37
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	5	$283	1,163	837	+326	open	—	05-16 13:02
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$239	196	196	+0	open	—	06-03 20:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	2	$222	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 01:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$219	400	400	+0	open	—	05-20 15:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$214	239	239	+0	open	—	04-26 02:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	3	$170	274	274	+0	open	—	05-01 02:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$154	240	240	+0	open	—	04-24 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:47:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0xa80589…
06-09 20:42:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	203	19¢	$38	0xb70ba7…
06-09 19:41:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	240	21¢	$50	0x093c5d…
06-09 15:49:10	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x975592…
06-09 15:47:19	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xd08d54…
06-09 15:34:10	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x3cb8a6…
06-09 15:33:42	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x808f3f…
06-09 14:19:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	81	27¢	$22	0x64236d…
06-09 14:14:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	393	39¢	$153	0xa3e1e3…
06-09 14:07:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x237fb9…
06-09 13:39:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x2e6bdf…
06-09 13:39:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xecb2c4…
06-09 13:38:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xcad0f7…
06-09 13:37:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	250	38¢	$95	0x3dd68c…
06-09 13:36:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	700	38¢	$266	0x9a76d1…
06-09 13:14:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1262a8…
06-09 13:14:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc7d6a4…
06-09 13:12:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcca724…
06-09 13:08:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa83182…
06-09 13:07:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x8d1976…
06-09 13:01:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xcf3e87…
06-09 12:55:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x428532…
06-09 12:46:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xae0abb…
06-09 12:42:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x24c612…
06-09 12:40:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x72b488…
06-09 12:31:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x193c89…
06-09 12:27:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x10951a…
06-09 12:26:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	198	28¢	$55	0xeaeb2e…
06-09 12:25:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x459244…
06-09 12:24:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x59751d…
06-09 12:23:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x0929d8…
06-09 12:22:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	195	28¢	$55	0xc5c8b3…
06-09 12:19:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x842cf6…
06-09 12:15:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4627be…
06-09 12:11:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe9e7dc…
06-09 12:05:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x2e8fca…
06-09 11:56:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x7f362e…
06-09 11:56:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x65d65d…
06-09 11:35:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	218	25¢	$54	0x83775c…
06-09 11:34:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x47bc0a…
06-09 11:34:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa57244…
06-09 11:34:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	42	25¢	$11	0xc2feb6…
06-09 11:34:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	170	25¢	$42	0x061164…
06-09 10:53:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x5e0b1b…
06-09 10:51:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xea0aa3…
06-09 10:38:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	SELL	221	14¢	$31	0xd2f4fa…
06-09 10:35:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	180	14¢	$25	0x6fde0f…
06-09 10:34:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0xf8693d…
06-09 10:27:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x2fd6a4…
06-09 10:23:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x174da4…
06-09 09:59:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x030cb1…
06-09 09:59:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x243b1f…
06-09 09:58:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xdd5c7e…
06-09 09:56:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x99106e…
06-09 09:50:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x2098d5…
06-09 09:50:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x20e65b…
06-09 09:50:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x72ede1…
06-09 09:48:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	189	29¢	$55	0x8b867b…
06-09 09:47:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xea735c…
06-09 09:45:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x10512a…
06-09 09:45:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x37bfba…
06-09 09:44:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	111	28¢	$31	0x95a27f…
06-09 09:42:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x39da11…
06-09 09:41:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0xb43ec7…
06-09 09:41:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	230	88¢	$202	0x410990…
06-09 09:40:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7a80e8…
06-09 09:37:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x024a12…
06-09 09:36:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xe831b9…
06-09 09:35:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x2b9a73…
06-09 09:33:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0291c6…
06-09 09:33:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0x0291c6…
06-09 09:29:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	83	28¢	$23	0x04a879…
06-09 09:28:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x33b048…
06-09 09:27:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x335e4c…
06-09 09:25:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc158a9…
06-09 00:45:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	321	70¢	$225	0x3b7a74…
06-09 00:15:06	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xd15073…
06-09 00:14:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x993950…
06-08 23:44:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x8b22a8…
06-08 22:56:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xd1f6db…
06-08 22:55:52	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x0497ed…
06-08 21:50:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x188dc4…
06-08 21:14:54	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0xff30d1…
06-08 20:52:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x7586d4…
06-08 17:50:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xb4e1ab…
06-08 17:46:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x8ff30c…
06-08 17:05:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x472d16…
06-08 16:40:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xc93805…
06-08 14:40:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	305	53¢	$161	0xf474e3…
06-08 13:57:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	305	54¢	$164	0x39d0ed…
06-08 12:16:51	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	39	83¢	$33	0xfcb727…
06-08 12:12:36	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x4a2b54…
06-08 09:09:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	81	72¢	$58	0x3b0f66…
06-08 09:06:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	81	72¢	$58	0x762c4e…
06-08 08:21:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	54	66¢	$35	0xc177fb…
06-08 08:14:09	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	54	67¢	$36	0x6f7a10…
06-08 04:23:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	47	68¢	$32	0xc95e12…
06-08 03:27:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0x4c7d5e…
06-08 03:07:49	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	61	50¢	$31	0x4ee966…
06-08 03:06:30	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0x0f5a25…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	828	$558	2,448	06-09 21:27
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	727	$45.5K	7,447	06-04 11:11
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	692	$229.7K	16,945	06-03 00:04
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	635	$15.2K	1,695	05-16 21:40
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	618	$523.1K	10,530	06-09 18:00
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	595	$82.5K	7,229	06-04 11:13
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	580	$295.9K	47,510	06-04 11:12
Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09	576	$4.08K	1,903	05-12 06:03