Fake-Mangle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$274

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved (90d)

930

Trades (90d)

1,127

1,646 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.5K

$14.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-13 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 42% +$189

Other

1% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$89	105	+105	Up	+$16	11-11 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$83	103	+103	Down	-$83	11-11 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$80	100	+100	Up	-$80	11-11 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$80	119	+119	Up	+$39	11-11 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$77	104	+104	Up	+$27	11-11 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$77	104	+104	Up	+$27	11-11 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$73	153	+153	Down	+$5	11-06 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$72	113	+113	Up	-$72	11-12 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$70	106	+106	Down	+$36	11-11 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$69	79	+79	Down	-$69	11-08 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$69	77	+77	Up	+$8	11-08 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$66	77	+77	Up	+$11	11-08 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$65	76	+76	Up	+$11	11-08 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$65	80	+80	Up	+$15	11-07 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$65	77	+77	Up	+$12	11-08 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$65	153	+153	Down	+$11	11-10 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$65	104	+104	Up	+$40	11-11 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$65	76	+76	Up	+$11	11-07 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$64	75	+75	Down	+$11	11-06 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$64	76	+76	Up	+$12	11-08 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$63	76	+76	Up	+$13	11-08 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$62	76	+76	Down	+$14	11-07 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$62	76	+76	Up	+$14	11-08 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$61	76	+76	Up	+$14	11-07 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$61	76	+76	Up	+$15	11-07 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$59	76	+76	Down	+$17	11-06 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$59	75	+75	Up	+$16	11-12 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$59	144	+144	Up	+$85	11-10 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$59	101	+101	Down	-$59	11-11 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$58	89	+89	Up	+$31	11-08 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x28cf3e…
11-13 19:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	60¢	$28	0xdf8984…
11-13 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xd9694c…
11-13 17:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x3a2b0a…
11-13 15:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x157985…
11-13 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x3f8105…
11-13 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xcd1139…
11-12 22:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	128	5¢	$6	0xb74189…
11-12 18:50:10	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xb61e9f…
11-12 18:35:24	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1890ff…
11-12 18:00:15	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x0bf312…
11-12 17:50:18	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xfc09f2…
11-12 17:41:37	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x18cd6e…
11-12 17:22:10	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xbe2eec…
11-12 17:07:40	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x57bec4…
11-12 16:05:37	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcbf6b6…
11-12 15:22:07	BNB Up or Down - November 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xc25916…
11-12 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0x16bb24…
11-12 11:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0xa2229f…
11-12 09:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x815843…
11-12 07:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	113	64¢	$72	0xe82cec…
11-12 06:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x01cf1c…
11-12 06:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	138	4¢	$6	0x24775f…
11-12 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	79¢	$59	0x29671c…
11-12 00:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	24¢	$23	0xcab45b…
11-11 23:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xd60592…
11-11 13:15:57	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xb4eb79…
11-11 13:15:49	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x4ea36f…
11-11 12:19:00	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa83b73…
11-11 12:19:00	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x136430…
11-11 12:15:10	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	34¢	$8	0x3469eb…
11-11 12:11:49	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x78fd5c…
11-11 11:47:51	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf16a05…
11-11 11:47:49	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6ac888…
11-11 11:41:40	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xb3b2d0…
11-11 11:20:10	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x2ccaf0…
11-11 11:07:31	BNB Up or Down - November 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x25742c…
11-11 09:12:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-11 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x596982…
11-11 09:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x23afdf…
11-11 08:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x2f6d69…
11-11 08:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x88c556…
11-11 07:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	114	27¢	$31	0x40e191…
11-11 06:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x98a411…
11-11 06:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0x73f4e0…
11-11 05:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	85¢	$89	0x65d113…
11-11 05:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0xf222b7…
11-11 05:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0xdeec27…
11-11 03:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	62¢	$65	0xe57a0c…
11-11 02:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0xf79bd0…
11-11 00:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	103	81¢	$83	0xc360a8…
11-11 00:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0xfce84d…
11-11 00:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	65	81¢	$53	0x26ef43…
11-11 00:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0x3e3f75…
11-11 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	58¢	$59	0xbad0a0…
11-10 23:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x74cd90…
11-10 23:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x4f123a…
11-10 22:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0x21993b…
11-10 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	24¢	$24	0xd1f7a6…
11-10 15:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	144	41¢	$59	0x1b58a6…
11-10 15:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	139	3¢	$4	0xbd622f…
11-10 14:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xbb12d8…
11-10 14:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xd4aa9e…
11-10 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	30¢	$31	0x6c1254…
11-10 12:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xe5d819…
11-10 10:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	57	15¢	$9	0xb36ba8…
11-10 10:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0x941e28…
11-10 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0xe81ba9…
11-10 07:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	25¢	$21	0x160dfa…
11-10 03:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	29¢	$23	0xaaf2a8…
11-10 02:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	22¢	$18	0xd64fc5…
11-10 01:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x958628…
11-10 00:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0x52413b…
11-10 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	81¢	$61	0x8da321…
11-09 21:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0x795254…
11-09 21:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	70¢	$55	0x37d6e0…
11-09 20:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	40¢	$32	0x9e44ae…
11-09 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xcd2451…
11-09 12:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xb13e58…
11-09 07:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xad2f96…
11-08 23:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	77	89¢	$69	0x835cb1…
11-08 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xbc7860…
11-08 20:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	87¢	$69	0x11767f…
11-08 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0xcc7419…
11-08 18:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0x757f86…
11-08 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	18¢	$14	0x9de9fa…
11-08 13:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0x14844c…
11-08 11:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x5d4a53…
11-08 11:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0xad3747…
11-08 08:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	76	84¢	$64	0xbf6ee9…
11-08 07:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	76	81¢	$62	0xa04e23…
11-08 07:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	89	65¢	$58	0xf915c5…
11-08 05:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	41¢	$33	0x77508b…
11-08 03:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	83¢	$63	0x2f6d52…
11-08 03:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0xd067cb…
11-08 02:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	86¢	$66	0xf24bf7…
11-08 02:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0xd4c808…
11-08 01:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	84¢	$65	0xda8ed9…
11-08 01:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	85	38¢	$32	0x311a4a…
11-08 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	82	69¢	$57	0xecad7a…
11-07 22:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	76	81¢	$61	0x05b22b…