Judicious-Combat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

227

Trades

2,320

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-21 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 62% $-2

Politics

5% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$42	1,189	663	+526	open	—	02-28 07:01
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$15	600	0	+600	open	—	02-10 22:45
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$15	417	0	+417	open	—	02-10 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$13	21	0	+21	Down	$-13	05-05 04:02
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	2	$12	104	0	+104	open	—	01-23 23:04
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$11	164	0	+164	open	—	02-19 13:06
eth updown 5m 1773862200	1	$9	29	0	+29	open	—	03-18 19:34
btc updown 5m 1772990100	1	$9	21	0	+21	open	—	03-08 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$8	9	0	+9	Up	$-8	05-05 01:02
btc updown 5m 1772999700	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	03-08 19:59
xrp updown 5m 1774014300	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-20 13:49
btc updown 5m 1773045900	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-09 08:49
btc updown 5m 1775677200	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-08 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	7	$7	12	0	+12	Down	$-7	05-09 10:22
btc updown 5m 1773774600	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 19:14
btc updown 5m 1775721900	3	$7	10	5	+5	open	—	04-09 08:09
btc updown 5m 1773191400	1	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	03-11 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773260700	1	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	03-11 20:29
btc updown 5m 1773280800	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 02:04
btc updown 5m 1773352500	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	03-12 21:59
btc updown 5m 1775721600	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-09 08:04
btc updown 5m 1773179700	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	03-10 21:59
btc updown 5m 1773344400	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	03-12 19:44
btc updown 5m 1773143100	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	03-10 11:49
btc updown 5m 1775720400	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-09 07:43
btc updown 5m 1775677800	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 19:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-09 09:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-09 00:18
btc updown 5m 1775256300	3	$5	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 22:48
xrp updown 5m 1774029900	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-20 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 14:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6068e5…
05-21 14:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4da7fa…
05-21 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6744cb…
05-21 14:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4adf34…
05-21 14:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbaf344…
05-21 13:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f276b…
05-21 13:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0077b7…
05-21 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2e328d…
05-21 13:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb01fe4…
05-21 13:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x300b87…
05-21 12:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf28c4…
05-21 12:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0b181b…
05-21 12:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa190a3…
05-21 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8d6b0b…
05-21 12:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1b74b2…
05-21 11:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x53d0dc…
05-21 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a5632…
05-21 11:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1ae09…
05-21 11:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x667a79…
05-21 11:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x66ba1d…
05-21 11:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4c060d…
05-21 10:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc67083…
05-21 10:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfac2e9…
05-21 10:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x20f51e…
05-21 10:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3203f4…
05-21 10:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf4a7f7…
05-21 10:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3ff04…
05-21 10:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6d6a06…
05-21 09:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x86a06b…
05-21 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6f9fd6…
05-21 09:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbbfd0f…
05-21 09:00:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd15207…
05-21 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb8f4aa…
05-21 08:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x92e9bf…
05-21 08:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbb3a21…
05-21 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x797831…
05-21 08:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x25395e…
05-21 08:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe7e401…
05-21 07:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1492d3…
05-21 07:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xed328b…
05-21 05:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc413ff…
05-21 03:47:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xca30a1…
05-21 03:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe253f5…
05-21 03:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e1c79…
05-21 02:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x885e91…
05-21 00:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcdfaf0…
05-21 00:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf72f0c…
05-20 23:30:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1dda03…
05-20 23:15:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x768c7a…
05-20 21:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9a5fda…
05-20 21:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3b72f0…
05-20 20:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x685882…
05-20 20:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3d45e9…
05-20 19:01:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8e05a1…
05-20 17:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x15d57c…
05-20 15:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x10ef32…
05-20 13:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc353cd…
05-20 12:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x18e3ce…
05-20 12:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x62ebbc…
05-20 10:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ea09d…
05-20 10:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0daab…
05-20 08:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb50ca3…
05-20 08:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x72ddcd…
05-20 07:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x34d7f1…
05-20 06:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7a9596…
05-20 04:16:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7e5403…
05-20 03:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe013f2…
05-20 03:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdfb2d9…
05-20 03:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa5ee33…
05-20 02:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd677c3…
05-20 01:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x34e258…
05-20 01:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x76d693…
05-20 00:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2944b5…
05-20 00:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x726162…
05-19 23:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd05e6…
05-19 21:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf58f83…
05-19 19:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x377894…
05-19 19:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2a32de…
05-19 18:30:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x531dee…
05-19 17:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x17ee37…
05-19 17:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x134821…
05-19 17:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a4e90…
05-19 16:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x84c114…
05-19 15:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd595ef…
05-19 14:46:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x20cb77…
05-19 14:34:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9028a…
05-19 14:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1f0415…
05-19 13:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa5eb03…
05-19 12:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcd5460…
05-19 10:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x074a24…
05-19 09:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbc4919…
05-19 09:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdff200…
05-19 08:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6e51a8…
05-19 08:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0fff27…
05-19 07:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb8eb9a…
05-19 05:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe0ea9d…
05-19 05:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc34d24…
05-19 05:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6ec678…
05-19 04:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4fdb07…
05-19 03:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd90a84…