Real-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved (90d)

112

Trades (90d)

153

23,458 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.46K

$249.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$153

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-28 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$1,458

Politics

0% 100% +$96

Other

0% 40% -$72

Sports

0% 0% -$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+370	$170	42¢	$153	-$17	10-28 09:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:15 UTC	20	$769	476	465	+11	Down	+$136	04-22 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:35 UTC	4	$403	298	289	+9	Up	+$70	04-13 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	1	$400	423	0	+423	Down	+$23	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$343	887	70	+817	Up	+$500	05-10 22:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$336	264	264	+0	Yes	+$96	06-06 02:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:15 UTC	3	$307	200	194	+6	Down	+$73	04-22 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	22	$307	377	330	+47	Down	+$37	05-15 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	2	$294	194	194	+0	Down	+$94	05-13 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	18	$264	306	278	+28	Down	+$25	05-13 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$186	338	80	+258	Down	+$144	05-02 00:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 03:15 UTC	16	$185	125	121	+4	Down	+$49	04-22 03:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$170	370	0	+370	open	—	10-28 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	8	$165	253	109	+144	Down	+$29	05-05 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$157	222	44	+178	Up	+$55	05-04 01:56
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$150	194	194	+0	Yes	-$150	07-08 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$147	188	36	+152	Up	+$20	05-14 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:05 UTC	3	$140	180	55	+126	Up	+$4	04-17 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$128	165	50	+115	Up	-$8	05-02 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$127	177	44	+132	Up	+$19	05-10 23:06
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$126	119	119	+0	Spain	+$26	07-14 19:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Up	+$98	06-04 07:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$120	153	0	+153	Down	+$33	05-14 21:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	9	$108	74	72	+2	Down	+$31	04-23 12:27
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	15	$106	78	75	+3	Down	+$29	04-27 01:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	4	$102	79	76	+3	Up	+$23	04-23 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$100	134	67	+67	Down	+$57	05-01 23:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$100	183	0	+183	Up	+$83	05-13 11:12
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$100	247	0	+247	Spain	-$100	07-19 21:08
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	Up	+$85	05-13 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Down	-$100	05-13 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:01:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	370	46¢	$170	0xa9e4bc…
08-28 22:45:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x2d73c6…
08-28 22:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7b353b…
08-28 22:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x67ebcb…
08-28 22:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3d626d…
08-28 22:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x17e9b4…
08-28 22:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08b935…
08-28 22:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd97135…
08-28 22:44:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7c6c24…
08-28 14:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb41eed…
08-28 14:34:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x6f360d…
08-28 13:54:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0xbe4835…
08-28 11:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x181bff…
08-28 10:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2f246f…
08-28 02:30:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xad20e8…
08-28 02:30:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x857f15…
08-28 02:29:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x118830…
08-27 19:14:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x308fe7…
08-27 14:39:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x71176f…
08-27 13:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe369b2…
08-27 08:29:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x71829f…
08-27 08:09:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd444e2…
08-27 08:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f7a63…
08-27 08:04:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xd4ccc4…
08-27 08:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x392c6a…
08-27 06:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb61b7b…
08-27 01:00:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xebb951…
08-27 01:00:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x687ebb…
08-27 00:59:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0b1f26…
08-26 23:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6e11f4…
08-26 17:29:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbc2096…
08-26 17:24:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xdcd7bd…
08-26 15:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb427a1…
08-26 15:29:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x82fadc…
08-26 14:45:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x57f28d…
08-26 14:45:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3ef320…
08-26 14:44:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x4abc6b…
08-26 13:34:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8e3705…
08-26 10:39:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x52fa4a…
08-26 00:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6a4ecb…
08-25 20:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x578c42…
08-25 15:59:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3ba058…
08-25 12:30:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x94aaac…
08-25 12:29:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb2503d…
08-25 05:29:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xef6d4c…
08-25 00:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x1ef39c…
08-25 00:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x870662…
08-24 18:15:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe68d9b…
08-24 11:44:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xb83a3c…
08-24 11:34:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x08999d…
08-24 06:49:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1a06c2…
08-24 06:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x77eb79…
08-24 05:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x034992…
08-24 03:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x517d95…
08-24 03:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x244679…
08-24 03:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x11a014…
08-24 02:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x7922e8…
08-24 02:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe96be4…
08-24 02:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x215cae…
08-24 02:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x322264…
08-24 01:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0ac5db…
08-24 00:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x2266db…
08-24 00:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3586fe…
08-23 21:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x0219fa…
08-23 21:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8d6d7f…
08-23 15:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe39a6a…
08-23 14:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd39126…
08-23 11:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x70b640…
08-23 11:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc70a63…
08-23 08:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe8d6fe…
08-23 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x2372d3…
08-23 08:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc38fc7…
08-23 08:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe860e9…
08-23 08:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3bd7ab…
08-23 06:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x5133b5…
08-23 06:19:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x1f721f…
08-23 05:24:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4d824c…
08-23 05:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2a45b8…
08-22 22:09:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3d69bc…
08-22 10:44:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x955cb6…
08-22 10:14:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa12004…
08-22 10:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x63066d…
08-22 09:14:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x3dc8a2…
08-22 07:29:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb5afa0…
08-22 07:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfd9a70…
08-22 05:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf683d5…
08-22 04:34:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x14f904…
08-22 03:04:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc84aa3…
08-22 02:29:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6daca1…
08-22 02:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0fd6d2…
08-22 01:00:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3ca295…
08-22 00:59:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa3b203…
08-22 00:15:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x938d5d…
08-22 00:14:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x84ee6c…
08-21 22:09:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe33cda…
08-21 21:54:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x8ac8ac…
08-21 21:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xd571be…
08-21 21:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x882a70…
08-21 21:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2163aa…
08-21 21:24:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x02e64b…