Real-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

35 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$429

$707 lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-163

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$22	46	+46	open	—	05-05 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$22	43	+43	open	—	05-05 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$22	40	+40	open	—	05-05 07:55
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$21	40	+40	open	—	05-05 09:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$21	37	+37	open	—	05-05 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$21	36	+36	open	—	05-05 07:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$21	33	+33	open	—	05-05 08:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$21	29	+29	open	—	05-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$21	30	+30	Up	$-21	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$20	40	+40	Up	$-20	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$20	42	+42	open	—	05-05 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$20	37	+37	Up	$-20	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	37	+37	Up	+$17	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$20	33	+33	Down	+$13	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$20	54	+54	Up	$-20	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$20	45	+45	Up	$-20	05-05 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$20	50	+50	Up	$-20	05-05 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$20	38	+38	Up	$-20	05-04 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$20	39	+39	Up	+$19	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$20	39	+39	Up	$-20	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$20	38	+38	Down	+$18	05-04 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$20	36	+36	Up	+$16	05-04 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$20	36	+36	Up	$-20	05-04 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	36	+36	Down	$-20	05-04 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$20	36	+36	Down	$-20	05-04 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$20	37	+37	Down	+$17	05-05 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$20	34	+34	Down	+$14	05-05 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$20	40	+40	Down	$-20	05-05 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	37	+37	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$20	37	+37	Down	$-20	05-04 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x611877…
05-05 10:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	58¢	$21	0x2f150c…
05-05 10:35:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x254ed9…
05-05 09:25:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xa1903b…
05-05 09:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x65ffea…
05-05 08:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x580fa8…
05-05 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xa595d9…
05-05 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0xdcbb27…
05-05 07:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x775566…
05-05 07:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xe9912c…
05-05 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x1eb4de…
05-05 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x45f346…
05-05 04:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xaa6177…
05-05 04:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x4828d7…
05-05 03:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4ffcb2…
05-05 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xbe3d38…
05-05 02:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf32990…
05-05 01:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xf664bd…
05-05 01:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x8b74b9…
05-05 01:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb3a82e…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8763b5…
05-04 23:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0992c3…
05-04 23:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x02914f…
05-04 22:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8540c2…
05-04 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x652b3f…
05-04 22:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x87c263…
05-04 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3a1adf…
05-04 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x81c06f…
05-04 21:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2d5c57…
05-04 21:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x626542…
05-04 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x720d98…
05-04 21:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xff6719…
05-04 21:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6579a7…
05-04 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xe1718c…
05-04 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xa14d1e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$2.85K	118	05-05 17:24
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$2.81K	57	05-05 17:24
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	6	$825	66	05-05 08:10
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	6	$738	54	05-05 17:22
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	6	$645	46	05-05 17:22
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	5	$979	22	05-05 17:24
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	4	$596	5	05-05 07:40
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	3	$2.83K	3	05-05 08:05