Defensive-Trigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

17 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$34

$34 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-12 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 50% $-1

Sports

21% 0% $-0

Other

13% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$10	19	10	+9	Up	+$4	05-10 05:18
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$7	0	7	-7	Sean Strickland	$-0	05-10 04:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$4	0	27	-27	No	+$4	05-07 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$3	1	4	-2	Up	$-3	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$3	13	0	+13	Up	$-3	05-10 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	0	4	-4	Down	+$1	05-06 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-12 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-10 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-10 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$0	0	11	-11	Up	+$0	05-05 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 08:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x84b93c…
05-12 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3a6f50…
05-10 05:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x20cf0f…
05-10 05:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8fc3d7…
05-10 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1fba0d…
05-10 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x19c8da…
05-10 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x044e82…
05-10 05:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c56b4…
05-10 05:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf12de5…
05-10 05:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfdb4b4…
05-10 04:49:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc9ca03…
05-07 11:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x3de65c…
05-06 22:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xee5a9a…
05-06 22:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x3907b4…
05-06 01:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x99349a…
05-06 01:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x38a12a…
05-05 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x7d29fb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$2.35K	140	05-12 08:12
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$2.22K	21	05-12 08:07
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$829	64	05-12 08:12
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$1.46K	110	05-10 05:38
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$952	36	05-12 08:07
Authentic-Kingdom 0xf186…7a27	4	$624	6	05-10 05:37
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	4	$515	7	05-10 05:38
Emotional-Fob 0x368a…3057	3	$1.01K	4	05-12 08:07