Tough-Crystal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$170

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-07 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-06 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-07 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$4	05-06 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$4	05-06 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	$-5	05-07 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	$-5	05-06 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-06 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	13	+13	Down	$-5	05-06 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-07 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	Up	$-5	05-05 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	Down	$-5	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	$-5	05-06 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-05 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	$-5	05-06 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	$-5	05-05 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-07 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	$-5	05-06 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-07 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-07 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-06 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 15:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x247b11…
05-07 15:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x65ce80…
05-07 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd15c12…
05-07 13:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbf2b9f…
05-07 11:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8eb8f3…
05-07 09:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc48b72…
05-07 02:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8cbb57…
05-06 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbce354…
05-06 19:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x00e176…
05-06 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5993c4…
05-06 17:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x162df9…
05-06 16:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x00b97a…
05-06 16:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x597137…
05-06 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc1f843…
05-06 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb8f5f6…
05-06 10:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe1cb63…
05-06 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5be7c7…
05-06 08:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x909435…
05-06 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c3f79…
05-06 08:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe7ef12…
05-06 01:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa1a2b0…
05-06 01:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x581d1a…
05-05 23:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x843619…
05-05 23:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e8e54…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x39e495…
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x258b7c…
05-05 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x484fc3…
05-05 14:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0843f1…
05-05 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x01cb09…
05-05 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xedce33…
05-05 11:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf44a2e…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfc073f…
05-05 04:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x55de7a…
05-05 04:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb000f0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	33	$6.82K	236	05-07 15:36
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	32	$7.14K	295	05-07 15:39
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	32	$4.21K	406	05-07 15:39
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	32	$2.37K	228	05-07 15:39
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	32	$2.29K	182	05-07 15:39
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	32	$941	289	05-07 15:36
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	30	$2.18K	190	05-07 15:36
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	30	$1.20K	162	05-07 15:39