Flawless-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-08 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% 100% +$4

Crypto

18% — —

Other

17% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	23	$7.5K	4,360	4,190	+170	open	—	03-29 04:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$4.8K	3,027	2,454	+574	open	—	04-04 08:41
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	03-23 13:23
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	03-24 11:20
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$266	134	134	+0	open	—	02-27 13:36
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	01-31 04:12
lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	7	$227	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 11:29
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$220	115	115	+0	open	—	01-21 07:19
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$180	182	0	+182	open	—	03-17 14:26
bitcoin above 84k on february 6	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	02-06 12:57
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	1	$162	162	0	+162	open	—	02-12 05:31
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	2	$161	161	0	+161	open	—	02-13 03:51
Over $10M committed to the Foresee public sale?	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	02-09 05:33
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-23 06:02
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	01-15 12:26
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	02-03 03:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$130	132	0	+132	open	—	05-13 05:01
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-22 14:48
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-23 07:31
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	01-31 04:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	05-23 02:37
lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	1	$122	125	0	+125	open	—	03-01 09:53
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	01-13 06:56
Elsa FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	01-21 07:19
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-22 13:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-30 08:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	04-24 06:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$115	119	0	+119	No	+$4	05-09 12:52
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$111	112	0	+112	open	—	02-17 08:08
over 180m committed to the ranger public sale 427 827 792 766 618	1	$110	113	0	+113	open	—	01-10 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:14:52	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x02d2f0…
06-07 09:17:36	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x83b5e6…
05-23 02:37:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x7b871e…
05-22 14:48:41	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xeb4a6e…
05-13 05:01:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x527408…
05-09 12:52:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$115	0xc80447…
05-06 12:32:22	LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x0f5fba…
05-06 12:32:18	LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xafaafa…
04-30 08:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5ae8a9…
04-30 05:23:56	LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb4e320…
04-24 06:25:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x8ecffb…
04-22 13:55:38	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x435582…
04-15 11:29:08	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	SELL	29	64¢	$19	0x8dc5ac…
04-15 11:28:14	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	SELL	113	60¢	$68	0x346df7…
04-15 11:28:04	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	SELL	58	56¢	$32	0xcdb4bf…
04-15 11:21:06	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x577a12…
04-15 11:21:02	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xdc95d4…
04-15 11:20:54	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0473dc…
04-15 11:20:16	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x35bd2a…
04-04 08:41:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0xf1eefd…
03-29 04:38:32	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0x0c687f…
03-27 11:16:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2bacd8…
03-27 10:16:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	66	87¢	$57	0xbc1451…
03-27 10:14:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbf6920…
03-27 10:12:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x3d2fec…
03-27 10:03:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xed1581…
03-27 09:58:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	66	86¢	$57	0xff4b3b…
03-27 09:56:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x485628…
03-27 09:55:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0x789848…
03-27 09:51:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x1f12bf…
03-27 09:48:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xeee082…
03-27 09:48:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	600	87¢	$522	0xfc8f60…
03-27 09:39:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	123	87¢	$107	0xaa7c42…
03-27 09:39:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xf83ce5…
03-27 09:33:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x17ebac…
03-27 09:31:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x4bc362…
03-27 09:31:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	400	87¢	$348	0x02fcf5…
03-27 09:28:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0x007fb4…
03-27 09:17:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	115	87¢	$100	0xabb342…
03-27 09:02:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	942	87¢	$820	0xf25ab2…
03-27 08:51:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xab3ff1…
03-27 08:50:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,651	86¢	$1,420	0xfe1863…
03-26 13:25:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	170	89¢	$151	0x926d03…
03-26 13:22:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xc5aa76…
03-26 13:21:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	878	89¢	$781	0x28e7ab…
03-26 13:20:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x70b119…
03-26 13:20:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	228	89¢	$203	0x2935f0…
03-26 13:18:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1b49c5…
03-26 13:17:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	250	89¢	$222	0x48c652…
03-26 13:17:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x598d52…
03-26 13:17:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa3ad86…
03-26 13:15:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	429	89¢	$382	0xaa8794…
03-26 12:44:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x799453…
03-26 10:07:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	485	88¢	$427	0x6a1ae2…
03-26 09:49:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xae6135…
03-26 09:48:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	417	88¢	$367	0x283506…
03-26 09:48:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x345987…
03-26 09:47:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x33282a…
03-26 09:47:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	32	88¢	$29	0xefa392…
03-26 09:46:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0xd25ff3…
03-26 09:46:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	230	88¢	$202	0x8aefc6…
03-26 09:25:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	653	87¢	$568	0xbb5de9…
03-26 09:22:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,347	87¢	$1,172	0xa39c16…
03-24 11:20:17	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,020	100¢	$2,018	0x7ef858…
03-23 13:23:37	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0xcdf91f…
03-23 13:12:11	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x53ce29…
03-21 21:10:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	190	92¢	$175	0x3f8d42…
03-17 14:26:23	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x2fbbbb…
03-14 11:25:45	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x9bdb24…
03-09 06:45:05	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d65d7…
03-05 09:22:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0xfd91fd…
03-01 09:53:09	lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	Gen.G	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x64a9e3…
02-27 13:36:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x5c7da3…
02-27 13:36:29	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4d1e50…
02-26 06:04:18	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d16ff…
02-26 06:04:10	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9038a6…
02-26 06:03:16	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x7cf9fb…
02-23 06:03:10	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x04f35c…
02-23 06:02:46	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5b8b25…
02-21 05:45:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f0306…
02-21 05:45:02	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51a2ca…
02-17 08:08:09	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x2fd1fc…
02-13 03:51:45	Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd73d9f…
02-13 03:51:21	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x502f64…
02-12 05:31:59	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c49e5…
02-12 05:31:39	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x07c575…
02-09 05:33:49	Over $5M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d126f…
02-09 05:33:31	Over $10M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xba93ea…
02-06 12:57:37	bitcoin above 84k on february 6	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x257957…
02-06 09:53:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xde6437…
02-03 03:54:06	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xbc0c89…
02-03 03:53:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd6c816…
02-03 03:53:32	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b6197…
01-31 04:13:28	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f25da…
01-31 04:13:22	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x906467…
01-31 04:12:40	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x77c172…
01-31 04:12:12	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x40a026…
01-28 04:33:19	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb74171…
01-28 04:33:15	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe8a207…
01-28 04:33:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9fd9dd…