Ornery-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$371

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-11 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

87% 67% $-1

Politics

10% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	03-08 20:29
highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 19c	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-05 16:45
will iran strike syria in march	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 11:00
highest temperature in atlanta on march 10 2026 78forhigher	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 00:45
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 22:35
nba cha por 2026 03 10	4	$4	3	3	+1	open	—	03-11 01:59
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	03-09 19:30
highest temperature in seattle on march 9 2026 44 45f	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-08 20:31
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 8 2026 27c	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-07 16:00
highest temperature in dallas on march 10 2026 82forhigher	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-10 10:02
highest temperature in dallas on march 9 2026 82 83f	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-08 21:02
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	03-11 16:02
will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	03-07 23:24
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-01 11:01
will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-06 12:53
Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-06 05:33
will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-06 13:58
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 10 2026 28c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:45
will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-06 07:18
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-07 23:24
highest temperature in atlanta on march 9 2026 76 77f	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-08 19:01
LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner	1	$2	2	0	+2	T1 Academy	+$0	05-11 08:19
cbb msvlst jackst 2026 03 05	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-06 02:18
cbb grmbst alast 2026 03 05	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-06 02:19
nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-06 02:18
cbb howrd norfst 2026 03 05	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-06 02:18
cbb wkent msrst 2026 03 05	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	03-06 02:20
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-10 05:41
nba chi phx 2026 03 05	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-06 02:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	1	$2	2	0	+2	Coco Gauff	$-2	05-11 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 12:28:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0ca7fb…
05-11 12:17:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5c56e4…
05-11 08:19:01	LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner	T1 Academy	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x05aca5…
05-09 07:32:22	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe7af06…
04-28 09:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xffc908…
04-28 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0aff96…
04-28 01:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9cdfdd…
04-27 20:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6e0e87…
04-27 13:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3f87de…
04-27 01:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc103d7…
04-26 22:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe797a9…
04-26 21:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0909b6…
04-26 11:01:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x589173…
04-26 08:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1a0624…
04-25 16:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8c873b…
04-25 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0599fa…
04-24 22:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf6f146…
04-24 17:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 25?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdebaaa…
04-24 16:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdbcbee…
04-24 14:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x27e5ee…
04-24 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdd0870…
04-23 18:06:58	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x789fcc…
04-23 15:00:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 12c	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xac3a5b…
04-23 10:00:50	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 12c	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x186b85…
04-23 09:05:56	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x13e4f4…
04-23 02:33:54	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4001e8…
04-22 18:17:28	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x54a0b8…
04-22 12:51:22	highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1a036c…
04-22 09:01:44	highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 15c	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c6510…
04-22 06:47:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x133bfd…
04-22 06:01:30	highest temperature in wellington on april 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3ae6c9…
04-22 04:14:30	highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7050c7…
04-21 16:00:40	highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7285db…
04-21 08:27:24	highest temperature in ankara on april 22 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0c4675…
04-21 03:25:16	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4c848b…
04-21 02:00:28	highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x057435…
04-20 14:00:28	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 28c	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe7cafe…
04-20 12:00:34	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4b84fe…
04-20 08:52:18	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 22c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd173b7…
04-20 00:56:06	highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x266631…
04-20 00:18:00	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 13c	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf7ab0f…
04-19 21:15:54	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x72469a…
04-19 15:00:28	highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1fb7a7…
04-19 15:00:26	highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 45forbelow	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa01ac4…
04-19 07:31:38	highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 22c	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x486dcb…
04-19 00:24:16	highest temperature in san francisco on april 19 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb75d89…
04-18 22:10:42	highest temperature in los angeles on april 19 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfd12d7…
04-18 21:46:36	highest temperature in houston on april 19 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8d507…
04-18 10:50:30	highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 21c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa46051…
04-18 10:45:46	highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 22c	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdb82de…
04-18 09:01:14	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xac1cdc…
04-18 08:00:52	highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x65d869…
04-17 20:33:24	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4cd3ca…
04-17 19:31:56	highest temperature in chengdu on april 18 2026 27c	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x14ebde…
04-17 15:00:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x26edf9…
04-17 15:00:24	highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd9e8b2…
04-17 09:48:16	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a6f67…
04-16 16:07:40	highest temperature in miami on april 17 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcac7ea…
04-16 15:06:06	highest temperature in atlanta on april 17 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdc83ff…
04-16 15:00:52	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 17 2026 28c	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6c9a30…
04-16 13:54:48	highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd53e29…
04-16 13:36:24	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf13f63…
04-16 13:30:40	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xe0b549…
04-16 13:28:30	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf24a6e…
04-16 13:25:34	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x04edf1…
04-16 13:24:50	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x7fbcf1…
04-16 13:24:32	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x141921…
04-16 13:20:30	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x386b6c…
04-16 13:13:22	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xab2f85…
04-16 13:11:16	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x2fabe6…
04-16 13:09:50	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x2618e8…
04-16 13:05:58	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x30f9e7…
04-16 13:05:54	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x657d25…
04-16 13:04:38	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x6a3dc6…
04-16 11:28:58	highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xad24f2…
04-16 05:54:28	highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x638aca…
04-16 05:01:06	highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2597b2…
04-16 04:05:10	highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6de9ab…
04-15 13:02:46	highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a4ee9…
04-15 10:36:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x585a7b…
04-15 10:08:36	highest temperature in milan on april 16 2026 22c	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8f6ff3…
04-15 09:53:28	highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcb2dbc…
04-15 09:33:50	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76de47…
04-15 06:07:10	highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 30c	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x10ee5a…
04-15 04:07:46	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5f6282…
04-14 20:57:12	highest temperature in seattle on april 15 2026 43forbelow	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f294c…
04-14 14:33:23	highest temperature in ankara on april 15 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x35a517…
04-14 06:01:23	highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc22e61…
04-14 06:01:23	highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac8c7a…
04-14 01:35:19	highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad125d…
04-13 23:03:49	highest temperature in los angeles on april 14 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0769f3…
04-13 22:55:21	highest temperature in los angeles on april 14 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa65798…
04-13 15:00:23	highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf948c…
04-13 09:00:27	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x60ead2…
04-13 08:10:39	highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4971c4…
04-13 08:10:03	highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x33ce0e…
04-13 08:09:43	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1ef3e9…
04-12 20:06:53	highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 25corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x24bd4d…
04-12 17:00:39	highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffec35…
04-12 12:10:01	highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcdfa60…