Shimmering-Oversight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,901

lifetime

Volume

$129.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-30 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 21% $-72

Other

3% 0% $-29

Politics

2% 100% +$13

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774492200	5	$3.2K	2,776	2,644	+132	open	—	03-26 02:38
btc updown 15m 1774494000	8	$2.8K	4,193	3,933	+260	open	—	03-26 03:15
btc updown 5m 1773715800	4	$2.7K	2,104	2,075	+30	open	—	03-17 02:55
btc updown 15m 1774321200	7	$2.2K	2,187	1,875	+311	open	—	03-24 03:15
btc updown 15m 1774323900	5	$2.0K	3,055	2,393	+662	open	—	03-24 03:56
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$1.9K	2,978	2,556	+422	open	—	04-06 16:01
btc updown 5m 1773713700	2	$1.9K	2,733	0	+2,733	open	—	03-17 02:18
btc updown 15m 1774319400	5	$1.6K	1,912	1,574	+339	open	—	03-24 02:39
btc updown 15m 1774491300	4	$1.5K	1,901	1,050	+850	open	—	03-26 02:19
btc updown 15m 1774485900	5	$1.4K	1,779	1,311	+467	open	—	03-26 00:52
btc updown 5m 1773714300	4	$1.4K	2,527	0	+2,527	open	—	03-17 02:29
btc updown 15m 1774485000	8	$1.3K	1,989	1,798	+191	open	—	03-26 00:42
btc updown 15m 1774318500	12	$1.3K	1,823	1,502	+321	open	—	03-24 02:29
btc updown 5m 1773715200	3	$1.3K	1,291	577	+714	open	—	03-17 02:46
btc updown 15m 1774490400	4	$1.3K	1,734	1,291	+443	open	—	03-26 02:07
btc updown 15m 1774324800	7	$1.3K	2,567	835	+1,732	open	—	03-24 04:06
btc updown 15m 1774732500	11	$1.2K	1,176	988	+188	open	—	03-28 21:29
btc updown 15m 1774322100	5	$1.2K	1,746	1,029	+716	open	—	03-24 03:28
btc updown 15m 1774819800	6	$1.1K	1,757	851	+906	open	—	03-29 21:45
btc updown 15m 1774486800	2	$1.1K	846	835	+11	open	—	03-26 01:15
btc updown 15m 1774320300	5	$1.1K	1,602	904	+698	open	—	03-24 02:58
btc updown 15m 1774817100	8	$1.0K	2,081	1,072	+1,009	open	—	03-29 21:00
btc updown 5m 1773712200	4	$1000	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	03-17 01:52
btc updown 15m 1774908900	3	$966	1,149	516	+633	open	—	03-30 22:23
btc updown 15m 1774908000	3	$905	1,131	1,115	+16	open	—	03-30 22:08
btc updown 15m 1774828800	4	$877	1,458	660	+798	open	—	03-30 00:06
btc updown 15m 1774487700	5	$853	1,073	1,057	+16	open	—	03-26 01:29
btc updown 5m 1773704100	2	$840	1,588	0	+1,588	open	—	03-16 23:35
btc updown 5m 1773708000	1	$832	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	03-17 00:43
btc updown 5m 1773784200	3	$832	657	648	+9	open	—	03-17 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:43:17	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x10f786…
06-30 16:42:58	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1c2993…
06-30 16:41:50	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1a8ee7…
06-30 16:40:46	eth updown 5m 1782837600	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x45e157…
06-30 16:38:53	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb477ff…
06-30 06:44:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6957e2…
06-30 06:43:28	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7eb51a…
06-30 02:22:56	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9e38a4…
06-30 02:18:07	btc updown 5m 1782785700	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x63b07b…
06-30 01:12:17	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd0d1a6…
06-30 01:11:02	xrp updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xf9291d…
06-28 05:48:34	xrp updown 15m 1782625500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0bb070…
06-28 05:48:07	btc updown 15m 1782625500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6f85da…
06-27 21:31:35	xrp updown 15m 1782595800	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7023c9…
06-27 21:31:26	sol updown 15m 1782595800	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5258c1…
06-27 21:31:16	eth updown 15m 1782595800	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5c52d9…
06-27 21:31:02	btc updown 15m 1782595800	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x10f0b3…
06-27 16:04:43	btc updown 15m 1782576000	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x098999…
06-27 15:03:05	btc updown 15m 1782572400	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb9074f…
06-27 06:32:59	btc updown 15m 1782541800	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbb1fcb…
06-27 02:16:22	eth updown 15m 1782526500	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x11f1ac…
06-27 02:15:49	btc updown 15m 1782526500	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7d4680…
06-27 02:14:07	btc updown 15m 1782525600	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5efaa9…
06-27 02:04:14	sol updown 15m 1782525600	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfbd00c…
06-27 02:03:52	btc updown 15m 1782525600	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xfe2d7a…
06-27 02:03:31	eth updown 15m 1782525600	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x60ac15…
06-27 01:58:50	xrp updown 15m 1782524700	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xcca1db…
06-27 01:58:50	xrp updown 15m 1782524700	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x5bcbe2…
06-27 01:58:49	xrp updown 15m 1782524700	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3689bf…
06-27 01:57:55	eth updown 15m 1782524700	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb1132b…
06-27 01:57:23	btc updown 15m 1782524700	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf2e11a…
06-26 21:22:14	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x558fc7…
06-26 21:20:07	sol updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x35cd4c…
06-26 21:19:49	btc updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0x6c6389…
06-26 19:41:26	btc updown 15m 1782502200	Up	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0xf28003…
06-26 19:40:47	xrp updown 15m 1782502200	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xaa2766…
06-26 19:39:59	eth updown 15m 1782502200	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9159f9…
06-26 19:39:23	btc updown 15m 1782502200	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe7a85a…
06-25 23:01:11	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x38116f…
06-25 22:41:58	btc updown 15m 1782426600	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4f7a6e…
06-25 22:26:50	xrp updown 15m 1782425700	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x714eee…
06-25 22:26:37	sol updown 15m 1782425700	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x16b3a5…
06-25 22:26:19	eth updown 15m 1782425700	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbde706…
06-25 22:25:50	btc updown 15m 1782425700	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdb0279…
06-25 22:01:05	sol updown 15m 1782424800	Up	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0xe00823…
06-25 22:00:22	btc updown 15m 1782424800	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x535499…
06-22 23:27:32	ethereum up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb5ede2…
06-22 23:25:38	sol updown 15m 1782170100	Down	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0xadf2d0…
06-22 23:25:07	btc updown 15m 1782170100	Down	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0x852255…
05-31 12:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3158fd…
05-30 22:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x033e10…
05-30 22:05:45	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x5640c1…
05-30 22:05:33	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xb3e073…
05-30 22:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf3876d…
05-30 22:02:46	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x42d283…
05-30 21:48:15	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x7f7bc4…
05-30 21:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x83bbb1…
05-21 12:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xb91de6…
05-21 12:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xdccd18…
05-21 01:02:49	Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	NRG	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd75a2d…
05-21 01:00:48	Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Red Feet	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9b7abd…
05-21 01:00:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5e4c0a…
05-21 00:59:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x09c7cd…
05-20 23:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x611f5f…
05-20 23:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x14f871…
05-20 23:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe3142c…
05-20 14:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbd2b48…
05-19 21:22:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x2bdfa8…
05-19 21:21:41	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x588018…
05-19 21:09:52	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xde0893…
05-19 20:30:21	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x84b4f2…
05-19 20:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xac4eda…
05-19 07:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x54ef37…
05-19 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x669f92…
05-19 07:53:18	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0037a8…
05-18 20:52:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2a1e5d…
05-18 20:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x55b4b4…
05-18 19:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa5acdf…
05-18 19:15:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xa9744a…
05-18 19:15:12	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x11fc38…
05-18 19:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0x9440c4…
05-18 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x8e4b5e…
05-18 18:21:48	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	149	3¢	$5	0xe80a4f…
05-18 18:21:36	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xb52481…
05-18 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x01ad85…
05-18 16:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x18ab17…
05-18 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1a242a…
05-18 08:02:37	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x432166…
05-18 08:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x8a38fa…
05-18 08:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x128ced…
05-18 07:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf2bc98…
05-18 07:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x60beaa…
05-18 07:12:41	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x17229d…
05-18 07:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc6844f…
05-18 07:11:15	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x75857d…
05-18 07:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4a4979…
05-17 22:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x4145e4…
05-17 22:03:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6e6dc6…
05-17 21:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbc3dad…
05-17 21:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x22fda3…