Realized P&L
-$642
Unrealized P&L
-$375
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
267
Trades
823
lifetime
Volume
$53.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$2.96K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-15 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
37% 61% -$581
Tech
33% 56% -$1,038
Politics
25% 68% +$1,151
Pop-Culture
3% 43% -$48
Crypto
2% 75% -$160
Sports
0% 75% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,863 $2,023 64¢ $1.8K -$177 10-15 15:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,259 $397 30¢ $371 -$26 10-15 21:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,285 $260 18¢ $226 -$35 10-15 21:10
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +200 $174 92¢ $184 +$10 09-06 18:51
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +174 $145 91¢ $158 +$13 08-01 18:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +90 $75 92¢ $83 +$8 10-03 20:45
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +50 $37 84¢ $42 +$4 08-16 21:27
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +25 $23 90¢ $23 $0 10-03 23:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +87 -$58 21¢ $18 +$76 10-15 21:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +496 $19 2¢ $9 -$10 09-12 20:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +46 $112 3¢ $1 -$110 10-15 22:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +38 $26 2¢ $1 -$26 10-06 13:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +1 $67 65¢ $0 -$67 10-15 21:08
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $7 94¢ $0 -$7 09-21 23:18
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +20 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 09-06 17:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1 $193 12¢ $0 -$193 10-15 21:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +0 -$36 70¢ $0 +$36 09-22 00:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +0 -$130 96¢ $0 +$130 09-23 07:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +0 $21 32¢ $0 -$21 09-20 05:32
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$29 6¢ $0 +$29 09-28 23:52