Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.5%

Resolved

112

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$692

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-28

last 10-17 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

79% 4% -$44

Politics

13% 18% -$5

Tech

7% 0% -$6

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	6	$14	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-05 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 29?	3	$11	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-28 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	2	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-05 04:17
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-02 09:13
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-02 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 5?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-04 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-17 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 6?	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-05 07:39
will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-28 07:45
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 01:33
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	09-16 04:26
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	09-05 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 17?	2	$10	18	18	+0	No	$0	09-16 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?	2	$9	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-16 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	4	$9	28	28	+0	No	+$0	09-05 11:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$9	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-02 10:31
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	2	$9	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-02 05:31
Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	09-05 12:42
will xauusd dip to 4050 by september 28 2026	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-28 05:51
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	09-06 02:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-03 03:45
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-04 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 3?	2	$8	15	15	+0	No	+$0	09-02 07:47
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-16 10:45
will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-28 09:15
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-02 07:14
Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	3	$8	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-28 07:31
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-29 10:07
will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	4	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-28 07:44
will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 8	2	$7	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-29 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 02:00:23	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x85442f…
10-17 01:41:30	will chinas cpi increase by at least 1pt3 over the 12 month period ending in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x441080…
10-17 01:41:18	will chinas cpi increase by at least 1pt3 over the 12 month period ending in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x76c3a3…
10-17 01:33:05	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xeaceab…
10-17 01:32:54	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe00cc7…
10-17 01:29:32	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xe82a9c…
10-10 13:01:01	Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x11700f…
10-10 13:00:21	Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x16ce12…
10-10 10:13:28	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x1954a7…
10-10 10:03:42	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xbb1a5b…
10-10 09:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x243b0a…
10-10 09:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x1763dc…
10-10 04:02:33	ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x59342d…
10-10 03:25:53	ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xdbfb63…
10-10 02:51:54	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.5B?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x09dd30…
10-10 01:53:58	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xb4ad3e…
10-10 01:53:53	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xca1531…
10-10 01:53:50	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xef4d9c…
10-10 01:53:50	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe99ca5…
10-10 01:41:37	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe1842b…
10-04 14:21:32	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xab9e17…
10-04 08:34:31	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf6dc68…
10-04 06:46:28	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x25ad65…
10-04 06:46:17	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3516da…
10-03 08:33:05	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x33032b…
10-03 08:32:59	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa870b2…
10-03 05:31:56	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7c6057…
10-03 05:31:48	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2cd71b…
10-03 04:26:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x35b827…
10-03 04:26:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf7d5b3…
10-03 03:45:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x900b85…
10-03 03:45:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xfbc118…
09-29 11:50:15	will coin reach 197 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x50ead9…
09-29 11:49:51	will coin reach 197 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf717bf…
09-29 11:23:12	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x5598eb…
09-29 08:19:42	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x516358…
09-29 08:19:33	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x08a242…
09-29 05:19:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x36ac31…
09-29 05:19:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xf03eab…
09-29 05:19:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x1ff43c…
09-29 04:21:57	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0641ac…
09-29 04:21:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x9dcca5…
09-29 03:13:17	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x12f1f2…
09-29 03:13:06	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa88361…
09-29 02:30:50	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xedf6e1…
09-28 11:43:05	will pltr reach 204 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xc64c65…
09-28 11:42:54	will pltr reach 204 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc5d70e…
09-28 11:30:06	will coin reach 195 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe87fad…
09-28 09:15:23	will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xe3cc46…
09-28 09:15:11	will ewy dip to 181 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc4a97b…
09-28 08:29:59	will msft reach 540 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x3340f7…
09-28 08:24:48	will msft reach 540 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xb32d7d…
09-28 07:45:38	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x95e334…
09-28 07:44:32	will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xe058b4…
09-28 07:44:30	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x7800e7…
09-28 07:44:24	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x951cee…
09-28 06:34:45	will hood dip to 115 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xbc6acd…
09-28 06:34:39	will hood dip to 115 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x641fb2…
09-28 06:28:41	will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x8dc7a0…
09-28 06:17:11	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x2ef143…
09-28 06:02:11	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x23d9cb…
09-28 06:02:02	will xauusd dip to 4150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xdff197…
09-28 05:51:11	will xauusd dip to 4050 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x277de0…
09-28 04:46:59	will amzn reach 264 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xfc3527…
09-28 04:31:38	will xauusd dip to 4050 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x503a1c…
09-28 03:57:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x6a2dcb…
09-28 03:56:29	will xagusd reach 66 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xed4adc…
09-28 03:56:26	will rklb dip to 72 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xbcabd5…
09-28 03:55:57	will rklb dip to 72 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xaea56c…
09-28 03:54:23	will amzn reach 264 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x44d1c5…
09-28 03:50:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0ace1f…
09-28 03:50:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x33ffc2…
09-28 03:49:44	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x534e6a…
09-28 03:49:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x8d7b94…
09-28 03:49:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x980792…
09-28 03:49:05	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x03a353…
09-25 16:08:41	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfaa1ee…
09-25 13:44:00	Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x05a7f5…
09-25 13:43:54	Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x66848e…
09-25 12:10:09	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x131661…
09-25 08:37:09	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x5202e0…
09-25 07:01:42	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0a15e5…
09-25 05:53:59	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd472f4…
09-25 05:49:44	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x7d2ae9…
09-17 12:21:10	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1b3993…
09-17 09:07:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xe30fd9…
09-17 08:23:58	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe3fc5d…
09-17 08:10:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xddd977…
09-17 07:26:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xab6db3…
09-17 06:01:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd8e72b…
09-17 04:24:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x301ecb…
09-17 04:24:46	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x2e6b6d…
09-17 04:24:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x13ab81…
09-17 04:09:13	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7a3b54…
09-17 03:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc64a68…
09-17 03:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x793006…
09-17 03:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x1162eb…
09-17 03:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x299c85…
09-16 12:23:48	anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x517261…
09-16 12:23:46	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x286cca…