Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

641 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.34K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$66

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-06

last 09-18 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

93% 25% -$619

Politics

4% 62% +$11

Crypto

2% 0% -$46

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+40	$25	84¢	$34	+$8	08-07 14:06
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+20	$13	51¢	$10	-$3	08-07 13:03
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+20	$11	49¢	$10	-$2	08-07 13:55
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+40	$21	16¢	$6	-$15	08-23 07:59
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+5	$2	82¢	$4	+$2	08-07 13:09
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+3	$1	40¢	$1	+$1	08-06 21:34
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+5	$3	18¢	$1	-$2	08-07 11:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+20	$9	1¢	$0	-$9	08-06 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	25	$273	499	0	+499	No	-$28	08-07 14:50
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	27	$267	494	9	+486	Yes	-$10	08-15 22:37
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7?	16	$193	420	0	+420	Yes	-$13	08-06 20:37
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?	20	$192	393	0	+393	No	-$13	08-06 20:00
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	17	$187	345	0	+345	No	-$16	08-07 14:48
will tony score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107431	18	$178	318	0	+318	Yes	-$19	08-07 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?	11	$136	245	0	+245	Yes	-$14	08-07 11:35
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	14	$136	260	0	+260	No	-$6	08-07 13:47
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	15	$132	260	0	+260	No	-$2	08-07 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?	15	$126	253	0	+253	Yes	+$1	08-06 23:48
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	10	$122	230	0	+230	No	-$7	08-07 12:43
will abnb reach 158 by august 3 2026	19	$113	289	0	+289	Yes	-$11	08-06 20:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7?	18	$102	278	0	+278	No	-$13	08-06 19:25
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?	10	$101	248	0	+248	Yes	-$32	08-06 20:35
will abnb reach 156 by august 3 2026	18	$88	205	0	+205	Yes	-$26	08-06 20:16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 7?	11	$87	202	0	+202	Yes	-$15	08-06 19:39
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	11	$86	185	0	+185	No	+$4	08-07 13:46
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	10	$84	165	0	+165	Yes	$0	08-07 12:49
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	10	$80	120	40	+80	open	—	08-23 07:59
will jorge jesus attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000254153	5	$79	140	0	+140	No	-$19	08-07 02:05
will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	5	$78	100	20	+80	No	-$8	08-11 00:35
will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	6	$78	138	0	+138	Yes	-$18	08-07 12:15
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?	6	$77	156	0	+156	No	+$1	08-06 21:35
will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	5	$74	144	0	+144	Yes	-$2	08-07 12:44
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	4	$66	120	0	+120	No	-$6	08-07 13:26
spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	6	$62	160	0	+160	Up	+$18	08-07 12:48
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	5	$61	80	40	+40	Yes	-$1	08-10 18:12
will trump say clean coal or beautiful coal during friday roundtable 20260805211427282	5	$60	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	08-07 13:51
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	5	$59	110	0	+110	Yes	-$34	08-07 11:50
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	4	$53	37	37	+0	No	-$2	08-18 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 20:15:04	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xb54048…
09-18 18:28:07	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x85a1af…
09-01 13:05:39	Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	53	44¢	$23	0xfaf643…
09-01 01:13:04	Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbe4226…
08-29 10:03:19	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xcd1c47…
08-26 17:23:54	StripChain FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4ae978…
08-23 07:59:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x05f2a0…
08-18 20:52:58	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0xfa2160…
08-18 11:29:48	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x4f725f…
08-18 04:25:07	stripchain fdv above 80m one day after launch 20260805194717736	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x02880d…
08-17 12:22:15	Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0xe38c50…
08-15 22:37:06	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x14a10f…
08-15 18:39:42	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x930b79…
08-11 08:47:46	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xf61cb6…
08-11 00:35:52	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x6f306f…
08-10 23:37:30	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x5fc4f0…
08-10 18:12:39	Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xe3a2e8…
08-10 16:54:12	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xc9eee6…
08-07 14:53:54	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x28b33c…
08-07 14:52:58	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0f9f13…
08-07 14:52:33	Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x67ccfe…
08-07 14:52:22	Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xd71ff0…
08-07 14:50:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd52519…
08-07 14:49:45	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x02f9ab…
08-07 14:48:31	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7e13ba…
08-07 14:47:46	Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x770c8c…
08-07 14:43:16	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3ac2ce…
08-07 14:41:27	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x19a40f…
08-07 14:39:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x24729b…
08-07 14:39:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xfc5751…
08-07 14:38:01	Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7e38ad…
08-07 14:35:43	Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x517b22…
08-07 14:35:33	Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x5c5a1b…
08-07 14:35:31	Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xfe46ff…
08-07 14:35:13	Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x58591a…
08-07 14:35:01	Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf8f5e5…
08-07 14:33:58	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x69d8ce…
08-07 14:30:16	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x1ae7d3…
08-07 14:30:13	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1eff13…
08-07 14:29:28	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb47ade…
08-07 14:28:49	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x1fb131…
08-07 14:28:46	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x7a874d…
08-07 14:27:10	Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x14d75b…
08-07 14:26:58	Will New People win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc66900…
08-07 14:26:58	Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc22810…
08-07 14:24:57	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcc5bca…
08-07 14:21:37	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	19	67¢	$12	0x855bd5…
08-07 14:21:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x1bf92e…
08-07 14:20:33	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x95171b…
08-07 14:19:30	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa6bd84…
08-07 14:17:31	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbc3b6d…
08-07 14:17:07	Will New People win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x65f4de…
08-07 14:15:30	will trump say gold or silver during friday roundtable 20260805211427288	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xfcc9c0…
08-07 14:10:31	Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75eba3…
08-07 14:09:30	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x567e3d…
08-07 14:06:30	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x49517c…
08-07 14:06:12	Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x1f74af…
08-07 14:06:01	Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xbc674a…
08-07 14:04:12	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4f5f2b…
08-07 14:04:10	Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$6	0x8b893e…
08-07 14:02:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x649212…
08-07 14:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7e30f7…
08-07 14:02:42	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0xd57aa5…
08-07 14:02:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5729c3…
08-07 14:02:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xaf0c5e…
08-07 14:01:39	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x37dee6…
08-07 14:01:36	Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7691ac…
08-07 14:01:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x934705…
08-07 14:00:24	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc0f69d…
08-07 14:00:07	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x86bedf…
08-07 13:58:33	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x573efd…
08-07 13:58:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1cde6e…
08-07 13:57:51	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x9e84d7…
08-07 13:57:07	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x620d12…
08-07 13:55:46	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4081a5…
08-07 13:55:24	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x928544…
08-07 13:53:52	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x548b8e…
08-07 13:52:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4877e3…
08-07 13:51:21	will trump say clean coal or beautiful coal during friday roundtable 20260805211427282	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x857531…
08-07 13:50:09	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x275723…
08-07 13:49:54	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x830a98…
08-07 13:47:49	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9aeb0c…
08-07 13:47:21	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x28f3e2…
08-07 13:46:36	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc2b498…
08-07 13:46:31	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb49a95…
08-07 13:46:28	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xeed93d…
08-07 13:46:28	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xed6dc2…
08-07 13:46:12	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xffc4d4…
08-07 13:46:10	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xdf4d7a…
08-07 13:45:10	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb8e3b8…
08-07 13:43:07	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x234369…
08-07 13:41:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf26e7e…
08-07 13:41:55	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x04162d…
08-07 13:41:16	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x029577…
08-07 13:32:40	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x87b2a9…
08-07 13:29:43	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x9ecbba…
08-07 13:29:42	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3b8888…
08-07 13:27:51	Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xf8f47a…
08-07 13:26:48	Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x850807…
08-07 13:26:33	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x58c62d…