Oval-Almanac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 05-17 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 0% $-250

Other

33% — —

Politics

26% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$4.0K	14,612	0	+14,612	open	—	03-11 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$2.7K	7,810	0	+7,810	open	—	03-10 11:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$1.6K	6,022	0	+6,022	open	—	04-08 16:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$1.0K	1,563	0	+1,563	open	—	03-10 11:42
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$1.0K	4,027	0	+4,027	open	—	03-10 11:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$1.0K	1,636	0	+1,636	open	—	03-04 06:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$1000	1,641	0	+1,641	open	—	03-11 02:37
bitcoin above 74k on march 16	3	$1000	6,020	0	+6,020	open	—	03-16 14:56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$983	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	03-19 00:16
bitcoin above 76k on march 16	2	$800	12,839	0	+12,839	open	—	03-13 22:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 16	2	$601	473	466	+7	open	—	03-16 14:55
bitcoin above 74k on march 14	2	$600	10,981	0	+10,981	open	—	03-14 03:01
ethereum above 2200 on march 16	2	$521	464	462	+2	open	—	03-16 14:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$510	3,034	0	+3,034	open	—	03-11 14:51
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	1	$400	614	0	+614	open	—	03-04 06:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$400	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	04-15 22:18
solana above 90 on march 16	2	$398	312	309	+4	open	—	03-16 14:53
bitcoin above 68k on march 10	1	$300	497	0	+497	open	—	03-09 17:40
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	2	$200	5,974	0	+5,974	open	—	03-13 04:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?	3	$200	1,974	0	+1,974	open	—	04-30 21:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 18	2	$190	667	0	+667	open	—	03-18 15:05
ethereum above 2300 on march 16	1	$150	501	0	+501	open	—	03-16 14:59
ethereum above 2300 on march 17	2	$150	684	0	+684	open	—	03-17 15:45
cbb okl ark 2026 03 13	1	$110	180	0	+180	open	—	03-14 03:17
sol updown 5m 1773380700	3	$105	149	96	+54	open	—	03-13 05:49
will bitcoin dip to 72k on march 18	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	03-18 14:05
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 18	1	$100	2,460	0	+2,460	open	—	03-17 18:24
ethereum above 2200 on march 17	1	$100	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	03-16 19:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-15 22:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	1	$100	2,717	0	+2,717	open	—	03-12 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 20:48:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xbafceb…
05-17 20:48:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0xeeae4e…
05-17 20:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xf0445f…
05-14 14:56:20	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	Yes	BUY	340	15¢	$50	0x5b201a…
05-14 14:55:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xaf6e12…
05-14 14:55:12	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xc44cf0…
05-14 14:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2,381	2¢	$50	0xa64e7b…
05-07 22:58:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,332	8¢	$100	0x12cb74…
05-05 04:08:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x1ec5f2…
05-05 04:06:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xd0be18…
05-03 22:36:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	721	1¢	$10	0x0c753b…
05-03 22:36:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	877	11¢	$100	0xafd45c…
04-30 21:05:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	745	7¢	$50	0x5a8037…
04-30 21:04:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	753	7¢	$50	0xdb4300…
04-30 21:04:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	6,587	2¢	$100	0x9aea64…
04-30 04:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x3f4d2e…
04-30 04:39:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x15d1fd…
04-30 04:32:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0xba77f6…
04-29 03:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xf3e484…
04-29 03:41:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	337	3¢	$10	0x3f075e…
04-29 03:41:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xdd1c2e…
04-29 03:41:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0xada456…
04-29 03:41:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xe608a7…
04-29 03:41:16	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xcda9e2…
04-29 03:41:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	516	10¢	$50	0x36e39a…
04-29 03:40:58	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x7ccf31…
04-17 22:38:38	eth updown 5m 1776465300	Up	BUY	239	2¢	$5	0xe376c2…
04-17 22:37:38	eth updown 5m 1776465300	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x62591f…
04-17 22:37:00	xrp updown 5m 1776465300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc91239…
04-17 22:36:24	xrp updown 5m 1776465300	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x61f695…
04-17 22:33:18	eth updown 5m 1776465000	Down	BUY	576	2¢	$10	0x6a023c…
04-17 22:31:46	eth updown 5m 1776465000	Down	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x1f9bdd…
04-17 22:29:28	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Magic	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x4f8e73…
04-17 22:27:44	eth updown 5m 1776464700	Down	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x68e83d…
04-17 22:21:46	xrp updown 5m 1776464400	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xdabc30…
04-17 22:20:54	eth updown 5m 1776464400	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb00439…
04-17 22:19:14	eth updown 5m 1776464100	Up	BUY	223	4¢	$10	0xaba06d…
04-17 22:11:22	btc updown 5m 1776463800	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3fd844…
04-17 22:09:12	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xca8f26…
04-15 22:25:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0xd035ef…
04-15 22:24:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0x9ccd3d…
04-15 22:24:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0x5da23d…
04-15 22:18:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0x2912e6…
04-14 02:07:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0xfd17eb…
04-14 02:05:49	nhl sj nsh 2026 04 13	Predators	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd6e38c…
04-10 02:00:19	nba phi hou 2026 04 09	76ers	BUY	9,486	0¢	$10	0xf7dba9…
04-08 16:19:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	6,022	27¢	$1,600	0x18fac0…
03-23 16:34:33	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc14ee2…
03-22 11:56:03	btc updown 15m 1774179900	Up	BUY	183	5¢	$10	0x3ce5bb…
03-22 11:54:15	ethereum above 2100 on march 22	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xe214aa…
03-22 11:54:05	ethereum above 2000 on march 22	No	BUY	281	4¢	$10	0x113750…
03-22 11:53:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	No	BUY	797	3¢	$20	0x370798…
03-22 11:53:09	bitcoin above 70k on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,109	2¢	$20	0xddc50a…
03-22 11:52:49	bitcoin above 68k on march 22	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x9bee26…
03-21 14:51:49	bitcoin up or down on march 21 2026	Down	BUY	1,089	1¢	$10	0x39513d…
03-21 14:51:13	xrp updown 15m 1774104300	Up	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xed84e1…
03-21 14:50:41	btc updown 15m 1774104300	Up	BUY	236	4¢	$9	0x686edc…
03-21 14:49:01	eth updown 5m 1774104300	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf1c050…
03-21 14:47:49	btc updown 5m 1774104300	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x229dad…
03-21 14:47:27	btc updown 5m 1774104300	Up	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0xc9ed31…
03-21 14:43:35	btc updown 5m 1774104000	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x169435…
03-21 14:38:33	bitcoin above 70k on march 21	No	BUY	1,165	1¢	$10	0xd845b8…
03-21 14:38:25	bitcoin above 72k on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4b1237…
03-21 04:40:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,891	5¢	$100	0x5970f1…
03-21 04:40:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 21	Yes	BUY	2,647	4¢	$100	0xa58c13…
03-19 21:39:07	atp shah pacheco 2026 03 19	Aryan Shah Shah	BUY	2,562	0¢	$10	0xb2b591…
03-19 02:38:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 19	Yes	BUY	297	30¢	$89	0x1eaae9…
03-19 02:34:09	cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	Miami (OH) RedHawks	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x079d48…
03-19 02:31:55	cbb murst nevada 2026 03 18	Murray State Racers	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x8a6142…
03-19 02:30:03	nba lal hou 2026 03 18	Rockets	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xa4d28e…
03-19 00:17:45	ethereum above 2300 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1,156	9¢	$100	0x88074a…
03-19 00:17:37	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	Yes	BUY	4,340	2¢	$100	0xef97ed…
03-19 00:16:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	1,066	45¢	$483	0xf61750…
03-18 15:05:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 18	Yes	BUY	333	27¢	$90	0xbf27a6…
03-18 14:05:37	will bitcoin dip to 72k on march 18	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xcb071b…
03-18 06:01:05	btc updown 5m 1773813600	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x60db22…
03-18 05:56:57	btc updown 5m 1773813300	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfcd011…
03-18 05:55:59	btc updown 5m 1773813300	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x5deae9…
03-18 05:51:59	xrp updown 5m 1773813000	Up	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0x619880…
03-18 05:51:23	xrp updown 5m 1773813000	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xcc12e9…
03-18 05:50:29	sol updown 5m 1773813000	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf962b9…
03-17 18:24:57	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 18	Yes	BUY	2,460	4¢	$100	0x9256ae…
03-17 18:24:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 18	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x54af33…
03-17 15:45:11	ethereum above 2300 on march 17	No	BUY	362	14¢	$50	0x4889c4…
03-17 13:20:09	ethereum above 2300 on march 17	No	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x056e98…
03-16 19:09:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	No	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xf7b18f…
03-16 14:59:55	ethereum above 2300 on march 16	Yes	BUY	501	30¢	$150	0x424844…
03-16 14:56:31	bitcoin above 74k on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,876	16¢	$300	0x39f5e9…
03-16 14:55:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 16	Yes	SELL	466	86¢	$401	0x53975a…
03-16 14:53:53	solana above 90 on march 16	Yes	SELL	309	96¢	$298	0xff1b52…
03-16 14:53:31	ethereum above 2200 on march 16	Yes	SELL	462	96¢	$442	0xf49bd0…
03-16 05:13:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 16	Yes	BUY	473	42¢	$200	0x7e6959…
03-16 05:10:49	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 16	Yes	BUY	296	34¢	$100	0x358ac7…
03-15 06:20:29	xrp updown 5m 1773555600	Up	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0xd86950…
03-15 06:19:31	xrp updown 5m 1773555300	Up	BUY	177	6¢	$10	0xc2ecdc…
03-15 06:18:01	xrp updown 5m 1773555300	Up	BUY	53	14¢	$7	0x718acf…
03-15 06:16:33	will xrp reach 1pt5 march 9 15	Yes	BUY	1,009	10¢	$100	0x590134…
03-15 01:01:47	solana above 90 on march 16	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x075fe0…
03-14 15:07:01	bitcoin above 74k on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,942	10¢	$200	0x1d5635…
03-14 03:17:35	cbb okl ark 2026 03 13	Arkansas Razorbacks	BUY	180	61¢	$110	0x46c416…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	55	$432.7K	8,709	05-26 17:42
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	51	$855	146	04-17 22:32
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	48	$32.9K	587	05-18 06:00
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	46	$209.9K	5,125	05-15 13:51
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	45	$16.6K	937	03-22 11:57
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	45	$11.6K	2,305	03-22 11:56
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	44	$8.85K	1,875	04-17 22:14
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	44	$8.32K	1,694	04-17 22:14