Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
843
Trades
5,596
lifetime
Volume
$8.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$64
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 09-11 03:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 148 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 60% -$126
Other
23% 78% +$68
Politics
18% 52% -$66
Sports
2% 71% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -29 -$23 86¢ $-25 -$2 08-02 19:44
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -26 -$17 56¢ $-15 +$3 09-11 03:32
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No -23 -$15 55¢ $-13 +$2 09-11 03:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -47 -$7 15¢ $-7 $0 09-11 03:32
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -34 -$3 8¢ $-3 $0 09-11 03:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -30 -$2 5¢ $-2 +$1 09-11 03:32
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 09-11 03:32
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -15 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 01:43