Bruised-Conviction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

1,364

Trades

2,325

lifetime

Volume

$4.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-15 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

89% 25% +$147

Sports

5% 47% -$16

Crypto

4% 39% -$8

Politics

1% 10% -$35

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 16c	19	$103	214	137	+77	No	+$9	03-06 14:27
highest temperature in miami on march 21 2026 78 79f	8	$61	84	54	+30	Yes	-$8	03-21 22:34
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 54 55f	4	$53	30	30	+0	No	+$7	03-22 19:13
bitcoin above 66k on march 6	13	$52	1,213	1,458	-245	Yes	+$11	03-05 21:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 4 2026 20c	7	$50	32	32	+0	Yes	+$7	04-04 23:59
highest temperature in paris on april 5 2026 15c	7	$50	23	33	-10	Yes	+$6	04-05 20:52
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 17corhigher	7	$46	23	28	-5	Yes	+$4	04-04 17:51
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 82 83f	4	$43	65	65	+0	No	+$37	03-12 20:48
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	7	$41	30	30	+0	Yes	+$19	04-07 17:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 24c	4	$41	25	25	+0	No	+$9	04-05 17:31
highest temperature in toronto on march 10 2026 18corhigher	11	$38	128	118	+10	Yes	+$12	03-10 15:46
highest temperature in madrid on april 1 2026 19c	4	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	04-01 19:49
highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 17c	8	$35	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 15:36
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 19c	9	$34	60	35	+25	Yes	+$0	04-15 21:27
highest temperature in toronto on march 7 2026 16corhigher	7	$34	27	27	+0	Yes	+$14	03-07 19:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	7	$33	50	50	+0	Yes	+$16	03-08 17:24
highest temperature in toronto on march 10 2026 14c	3	$32	18	18	+0	No	+$3	03-10 14:32
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$28	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	04-08 00:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 18corbelow	5	$27	40	14	+26	No	-$7	04-15 19:02
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 25corhigher	4	$25	60	45	+15	Yes	$0	03-06 14:58
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 82 83f	3	$23	10	20	-10	Yes	+$7	04-08 06:36
highest temperature in toronto on march 7 2026 15c	11	$23	55	38	+18	No	$0	03-07 18:10
highest temperature in paris on april 2 2026 13c	3	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	04-02 20:44
highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 7c	4	$23	27	0	+27	Yes	+$4	04-05 01:53
highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 20c	5	$21	31	0	+31	No	-$21	04-13 20:02
highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 18c	7	$21	22	22	+0	No	+$2	03-06 12:52
highest temperature in seattle on march 17 2026 52 53f	6	$21	29	0	+29	Yes	-$1	03-18 00:51
highest temperature in chengdu on april 14 2026 26c	2	$21	25	0	+25	Yes	+$4	04-14 07:17
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 8?	3	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$19	05-08 12:49
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 18corbelow	3	$21	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	04-11 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 01:18:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf75c56…
06-15 01:16:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf0ba2f…
05-29 12:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa74410…
05-29 11:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6ad06b…
05-29 11:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xac762c…
05-29 11:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x5c2d15…
05-29 11:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4a55e0…
05-21 01:51:51	Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2f2e9d…
05-21 01:51:35	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe277c6…
05-21 01:44:23	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1f5e37…
05-21 01:27:07	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe7dc51…
05-21 00:47:20	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xde05b0…
05-21 00:45:52	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xba0f48…
05-18 21:07:00	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xe8392b…
05-18 21:06:16	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xab3780…
05-18 21:05:52	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xba30c1…
05-18 21:05:01	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xcd957b…
05-18 21:05:01	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3a0131…
05-18 19:30:57	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x20e6db…
05-18 18:45:43	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x7cd9e0…
05-18 18:16:59	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x761543…
05-18 17:55:40	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb1a3f6…
05-18 17:46:41	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x3893eb…
05-18 16:54:39	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xfbd3b2…
05-18 16:52:10	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x6c7d51…
05-18 16:47:55	Will Gabriel Sara be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9c1a04…
05-18 02:37:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e5c1d…
05-17 17:20:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x78b720…
05-15 13:28:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc352c1…
05-15 11:50:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xafc729…
05-15 11:50:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xec26d5…
05-15 11:49:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 17?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x80ea33…
05-15 11:28:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x9a2b9f…
05-15 11:27:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x22e2dc…
05-15 10:52:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x36cae7…
05-15 09:37:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x606241…
05-15 09:34:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x5d40b3…
05-15 09:28:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb336da…
05-15 09:21:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x8720c2…
05-15 09:21:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa25653…
05-15 07:47:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xc0c796…
05-15 04:29:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x4287c8…
05-15 02:38:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5296a5…
05-15 02:33:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd09ce1…
05-14 20:48:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9a1767…
05-14 20:10:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc01a50…
05-14 19:40:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbd380d…
05-14 17:40:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6ae126…
05-14 14:20:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf36bc7…
05-14 13:43:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5159dd…
05-13 22:34:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd065cc…
05-12 21:08:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xdd4e7a…
05-12 21:08:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x494a99…
05-12 21:00:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xf2a9a3…
05-12 20:28:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1699b6…
05-12 20:04:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x4a677c…
05-12 20:04:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x051ddd…
05-12 20:01:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x7c6537…
05-12 20:01:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xba5227…
05-12 19:31:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x587084…
05-12 19:25:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4fd9a7…
05-12 19:08:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa65b9f…
05-12 19:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe64271…
05-12 19:00:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xdc1588…
05-12 18:43:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xf57697…
05-12 18:16:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xeb5b56…
05-12 18:16:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc4a4ce…
05-12 17:32:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x440b58…
05-12 16:51:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x84a018…
05-12 16:50:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x819684…
05-12 16:46:51	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2e53cf…
05-12 16:41:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x3351ff…
05-12 15:14:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x82603c…
05-12 13:39:27	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe16cb8…
05-12 13:07:20	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x10a011…
05-12 12:25:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x34d257…
05-12 11:55:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xde1439…
05-12 11:11:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x09126f…
05-12 10:02:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf76e1b…
05-12 09:04:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6f2b97…
05-12 08:52:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xe91b01…
05-12 08:52:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x7e11c5…
05-12 07:57:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb9b332…
05-12 06:15:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8f11c7…
05-12 04:52:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1d4bfc…
05-12 04:00:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb63383…
05-12 03:18:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x44ed3a…
05-12 02:52:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcb50f3…
05-12 02:14:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x94bace…
05-12 02:13:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfd5861…
05-12 02:05:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8bb599…
05-12 01:13:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xabcb48…
05-12 00:02:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x74afe4…
05-12 00:01:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x3e3a41…
05-11 23:54:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd043c5…
05-11 23:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf8bef3…
05-11 23:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc06fa3…
05-11 23:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb6318b…
05-11 22:37:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9bc52f…
05-11 22:20:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xebf78a…