Threadbare-Pumpkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$211

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-08 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 13% $-52

Tech

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	9	$22	310	0	+310	Up	$-22	05-10 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$12	140	0	+140	Down	$-12	05-10 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 14:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	1	$8	243	0	+243	open	—	01-20 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$7	50	0	+50	Down	$-7	05-10 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	9	$7	150	0	+150	Up	$-7	05-09 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$6	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$6	21	0	+21	Down	$-6	05-09 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	6	$6	108	0	+108	open	—	05-14 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$6	20	20	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$5	70	0	+70	open	—	04-28 17:33
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	8	$5	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	04-21 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-09 17:54
btc updown 5m 1783524900	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-08 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	8	$5	120	0	+120	Up	$-5	05-09 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$5	30	0	+30	Up	+$25	05-10 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$4	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$4	130	0	+130	Up	$-4	05-07 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$4	40	0	+40	open	—	04-28 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$4	100	0	+100	Down	$-4	05-07 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$3	80	0	+80	Up	$-3	05-07 16:29
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$3	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-21 16:46
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?	1	$3	125	0	+125	open	—	04-27 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?	1	$3	375	0	+375	open	—	04-27 12:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 22	1	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	01-20 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$2	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-09 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 15:39:13	btc updown 5m 1783524900	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa15a4f…
07-08 15:22:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x1d3c1f…
07-08 15:21:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	236	0¢	$1	0x3d2255…
05-20 07:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd2ca59…
05-20 07:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd6bb44…
05-20 06:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe516cf…
05-20 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x608727…
05-16 08:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b5205…
05-14 07:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x08cb50…
05-14 07:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe72d35…
05-14 07:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc3fd65…
05-14 07:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x536ab6…
05-14 07:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7d1315…
05-14 07:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf607f1…
05-13 05:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd0b229…
05-13 05:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xcb4790…
05-13 05:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7a6c37…
05-10 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xcce12f…
05-10 01:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc435f1…
05-10 01:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xcec202…
05-10 01:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x8e77b9…
05-10 01:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x10a3d1…
05-10 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3b7ee9…
05-10 01:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbed10a…
05-10 01:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x7b378b…
05-10 01:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6db398…
05-10 01:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x1cdf72…
05-10 00:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd172e2…
05-10 00:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x55ae38…
05-10 00:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x43892f…
05-10 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x7e2e79…
05-10 00:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x74d8e4…
05-10 00:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x13baff…
05-10 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x47b1bf…
05-10 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0f1c0c…
05-10 00:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf87f89…
05-10 00:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x590bc8…
05-10 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x3cc593…
05-10 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3c5613…
05-10 00:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xed5f79…
05-10 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xde8d1a…
05-10 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0xb143ee…
05-09 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x87e9a0…
05-09 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x812164…
05-09 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5eb6d9…
05-09 23:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xbb1e78…
05-09 23:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd56594…
05-09 23:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xc32467…
05-09 23:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xc6a2f1…
05-09 23:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x61b471…
05-09 23:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x312eda…
05-09 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe65ce2…
05-09 17:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x693138…
05-09 17:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2d51fd…
05-09 17:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x303376…
05-09 17:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x302f56…
05-09 17:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x09f4ae…
05-09 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd4bc6f…
05-09 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9e8d79…
05-09 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x66af83…
05-09 17:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf056e8…
05-09 17:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xc289b7…
05-09 17:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc88fb2…
05-09 17:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x966fdb…
05-09 17:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd89bbb…
05-09 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf73ea6…
05-09 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7457e8…
05-07 16:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd2b649…
05-07 16:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x80728c…
05-07 16:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x15a4b2…
05-07 16:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xfd0997…
05-07 16:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7f9a74…
05-07 16:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x8ce3cf…
05-07 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x3278ee…
05-07 16:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xef9e60…
05-07 16:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x93eeac…
05-07 16:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2bb471…
05-07 16:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0d3fa4…
05-07 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc2bbc2…
05-07 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x6b8b9b…
05-07 16:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xfa946f…
04-29 04:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x762d92…
04-29 03:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x34b669…
04-28 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x87609f…
04-28 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x995bf1…
04-28 17:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8e473c…
04-28 17:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x10380d…
04-28 17:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1b34d3…
04-28 17:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xcad1a2…
04-28 17:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x1636b9…
04-28 17:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd4b57d…
04-28 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xb7674e…
04-28 17:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3adc71…
04-28 17:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x1e7ee8…
04-28 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xebfdf1…
04-28 16:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb7f9a7…
04-28 16:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd8cc34…
04-28 16:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x61cb08…
04-28 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x767bde…
04-28 16:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x719a17…