Realized P&L
-$200
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
1,170
Trades
3,137
lifetime
Volume
$8.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$209
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 10-27 01:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
63% 57% -$143
Crypto
29% 70% -$14
Sports
4% 52% -$34
Politics
3% 62% -$9
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +24 $20 97¢ $23 +$4 10-17 01:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +27 $22 82¢ $22 +$0 10-16 08:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +24 $20 84¢ $20 +$0 10-25 19:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +24 $18 72¢ $17 $0 10-27 09:11
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $16 68¢ $16 +$1 10-19 05:18
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +16 $14 80¢ $13 -$1 10-17 19:48
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +16 $13 76¢ $12 -$1 10-21 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 10-25 03:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +8 $7 89¢ $7 +$0 10-26 03:20
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +8 $7 88¢ $7 +$0 10-23 21:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-17 19:34
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 10-18 08:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-24 04:29
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-18 08:03
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 10-18 08:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30 $5 16¢ $5 $0 10-17 19:31
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-18 08:03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +7 $5 66¢ $5 $0 10-18 06:30
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +14 $5 34¢ $5 $0 10-18 06:29
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7 $5 66¢ $5 $0 10-17 21:29
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$0 10-22 19:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 10-17 01:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +4 $3 68¢ $3 $0 10-16 08:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $0 10-17 02:02