Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved (30d)

503

Trades (30d)

1,345

3,334 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.60K

$8.90K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-30 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

61% 58% -$146

Crypto

30% 70% -$18

Politics

4% 67% -$9

Sports

4% 52% -$34

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 293 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	12	$117	72	72	+0	Yes	+$16	10-17 18:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	9	$77	48	48	+0	No	-$3	10-19 15:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	8	$73	48	48	+0	open	—	10-23 13:29
wta ito grant 2026 10 17	10	$72	48	48	+0	Aoi Ito	+$1	10-17 05:34
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	12	$61	49	49	-0	Thiago Seyboth Wild	+$1	10-17 23:33
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	10	$58	50	34	+16	Francisco Comesana	-$1	10-16 20:28
Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Maddison Inglis	8	$51	35	23	+12	Claire Liu	+$1	10-18 04:45
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Yulia Putintseva	8	$50	35	24	+11	Yulia Putintseva	+$1	10-18 05:28
Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Dominika Salkova	6	$46	27	27	+0	Bianca Andreescu	+$6	10-18 13:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	5	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	10-27 17:17
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner	5	$44	28	28	+0	Karmine Corp	+$12	10-15 20:37
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	5	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$1	10-17 18:12
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	4	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$4	10-27 17:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	6	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	10-27 17:17
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)	4	$42	28	28	+0	Toledo	+$11	10-17 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	10	$42	48	8	+40	Down	+$4	10-27 20:02
wta gormaz ferro 2026 10 16	7	$41	37	37	+0	Leyre Romero Gormaz	$0	10-16 10:40
European Open, Qualification: Remy Bertola vs Federico Cina	9	$41	49	22	+27	Federico Cina	+$9	10-18 13:02
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-17?	6	$41	34	34	+0	No	+$1	10-17 22:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	4	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	10-27 17:17
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	6	$40	32	32	-0	Kamilla Rakhimova	+$0	10-18 09:59
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	8	$39	34	22	+13	Alycia Parks	-$12	10-24 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	9	$38	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	10-27 20:14
atp serna roncade 2026 10 16	6	$38	35	22	+13	Juan Manuel La Serna	-$4	10-16 22:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	15	$37	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	09-17 17:40
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul	5	$37	24	24	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$0	10-16 11:02
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	8	$36	47	47	+0	open	—	10-30 15:52
atp cadenas moelle 2026 10 16	8	$36	35	35	+0	Gianluca Cadenasso	-$7	10-16 18:07
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?	7	$36	64	0	+64	No	+$28	10-16 17:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$36	24	24	+0	open	—	10-27 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:52:16	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xdf9f5e…
10-30 15:52:13	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xdf6a56…
10-30 15:52:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xa475bc…
10-30 15:52:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xeb3310…
10-30 15:51:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xa75983…
10-30 15:51:40	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xba6d92…
10-30 15:51:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x1a9900…
10-30 15:51:19	Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x07d764…
10-30 15:51:12	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x037854…
10-30 15:50:52	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8c8d32…
10-30 15:50:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xd03013…
10-30 15:50:25	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdcfe2b…
10-30 15:50:18	Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd1f6f4…
10-30 15:50:13	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x075471…
10-30 15:39:13	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x9ed69a…
10-30 12:23:07	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x033eff…
10-30 12:23:03	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xe0f106…
10-30 12:22:58	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x542b73…
10-30 12:22:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa9d7b2…
10-30 12:22:49	Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7b6b56…
10-30 12:22:45	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x53480a…
10-30 12:22:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x322238…
10-29 17:34:56	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x872479…
10-28 13:34:02	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x1f79dd…
10-28 13:33:19	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x80bb19…
10-28 13:33:04	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x53ee70…
10-28 13:26:19	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x1303b0…
10-28 07:06:08	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa9b800…
10-28 00:23:39	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x07431c…
10-28 00:22:47	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0a686c…
10-27 21:00:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb42a3b…
10-27 20:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xff3311…
10-27 20:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x468757…
10-27 20:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xc823de…
10-27 20:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x703e5d…
10-27 20:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x517fd0…
10-27 20:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8bf887…
10-27 20:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd61d49…
10-27 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x1cbe09…
10-27 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf8611b…
10-27 20:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x189b43…
10-27 20:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x48720a…
10-27 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x517e3a…
10-27 20:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x509666…
10-27 20:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf2317…
10-27 20:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a7dbc…
10-27 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89bbd6…
10-27 20:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xa0b0ef…
10-27 20:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x9c7ebf…
10-27 20:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x540e6f…
10-27 20:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2d9eb6…
10-27 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x754820…
10-27 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f52b8…
10-27 20:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4b02c…
10-27 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82cb13…
10-27 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3290f0…
10-27 20:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x341989…
10-27 20:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee450c…
10-27 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab9fbc…
10-27 20:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x69a52f…
10-27 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x40d5f9…
10-27 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x0c2870…
10-27 20:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x71353c…
10-27 20:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9fe697…
10-27 20:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd8bb0a…
10-27 20:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e545d…
10-27 20:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x6fea27…
10-27 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3837f5…
10-27 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0xfe41fd…
10-27 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf62064…
10-27 20:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1eb2ab…
10-27 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb37da3…
10-27 20:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7b60d2…
10-27 20:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x453247…
10-27 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x326ed4…
10-27 20:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xb75095…
10-27 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x468391…
10-27 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x50027f…
10-27 19:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x76f391…
10-27 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x53ad55…
10-27 19:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x75bb6a…
10-27 19:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa1d9e1…
10-27 19:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x520d71…
10-27 19:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x525acf…
10-27 19:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x79b19e…
10-27 19:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x679b94…
10-27 19:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x096c70…
10-27 19:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x28c7a2…
10-27 19:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xea6af8…
10-27 19:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x60f62c…
10-27 19:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x2f3cff…
10-27 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd3eb15…
10-27 19:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1f6c0e…
10-27 19:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc20594…
10-27 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x342aa7…
10-27 19:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe60532…
10-27 19:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8b9631…
10-27 19:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xb93ca4…
10-27 19:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x759579…
10-27 19:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc22914…