Starry-Knight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$232

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-29 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

51% 69% +$240

Crypto

32% 50% +$0

Sports

10% 50% +$1

Politics

7% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.1K	543	543	+0	No	+$1	03-20 23:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$0	04-29 16:30
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$951	476	476	+0	No	$0	03-28 00:39
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	2	$909	455	455	+0	No	+$0	03-29 20:38
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$899	450	450	+0	No	$0	03-28 22:10
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$541	542	0	+542	No	+$1	02-25 01:39
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$414	208	208	+0	open	—	10-28 09:16
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov	1	$128	400	0	+400	Ugo Humbert	+$272	05-20 12:54
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	0	100	-100	No	$0	05-20 12:36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	7	$97	140	140	+0	Toby Samuel	-$32	05-20 12:52
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	2	$63	46	46	+0	open	—	10-29 11:31
atp kjaer molcan 2026 03 02	2	$21	21	0	+21	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	+$1	03-02 20:07
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-29 16:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-09 05:03
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 18c	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-20 23:19
Will Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	1	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	+$3	05-28 09:23
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-20 23:19
will white house be said at the oscars	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	03-14 23:47
atp pacheco cobolli 2026 02 23	1	$3	12	0	+12	Cobolli	-$3	02-25 01:38
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	6	-6	Yes	-$4	05-20 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:31:17	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	46	71¢	$33	0xb82763…
10-28 09:20:28	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x40293c…
10-28 09:16:28	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x52996f…
06-09 05:03:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2dfbee…
06-09 05:01:52	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x57c4b7…
05-28 09:24:30	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x1a922a…
05-28 09:23:42	Will Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x1614fd…
05-20 12:54:40	Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov	Ugo Humbert	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0x8b6e13…
05-20 12:52:48	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	SELL	76	23¢	$17	0x9cabb4…
05-20 12:52:48	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x43eac7…
05-20 12:52:48	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x3c7675…
05-20 12:52:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x0563ef…
05-20 12:52:20	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x289ca4…
05-20 12:36:05	Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6d8e60…
05-20 12:35:18	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0xae0396…
05-20 12:35:11	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5a6453…
05-20 12:34:54	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x4a8d8f…
04-29 16:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x8ffe83…
04-29 16:30:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x33201d…
04-29 16:30:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc7fe72…
03-29 20:38:02	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	SELL	455	100¢	$455	0x1f7761…
03-29 01:14:54	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x9ca229…
03-28 22:10:12	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	450	100¢	$449	0x477f48…
03-28 03:26:53	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xfce981…
03-28 00:39:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	476	100¢	$475	0x961654…
03-26 19:58:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	476	100¢	$476	0xb24bbe…
03-26 03:08:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$448	0x4e4ec2…
03-20 23:20:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0xfffef6…
03-20 23:19:59	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d3d85…
03-20 23:19:29	highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 18c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc54339…
03-20 23:18:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	543	100¢	$541	0xbfb193…
03-14 23:48:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	543	100¢	$541	0x990a49…
03-14 23:47:59	will white house be said at the oscars	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7577ed…
03-02 20:07:25	atp kjaer molcan 2026 03 02	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc2a49e…
03-02 20:06:57	atp kjaer molcan 2026 03 02	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x75bf4a…
02-25 01:39:56	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0x110d81…
02-25 01:38:54	atp pacheco cobolli 2026 02 23	Pacheco	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x2b9b4c…