Shocking-Armament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

179

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-14 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

99% 97% -$212

Crypto

1% 67% -$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No		+50	$48	97¢	$48	+$1	09-16 10:51
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+50	$2	3¢	$1	$0	09-16 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$742	762	381	+381	Down	+$392	05-01 20:10
googl up or down on january 30 2026	5	$500	512	0	+512	Down	+$13	01-30 21:00
rut up or down on february 2 2026	7	$499	3,155	0	+3,155	Up	-$499	02-02 21:19
meta up or down on february 17 2026	3	$327	431	0	+431	Down	-$327	02-17 21:00
nik up or down on february 12 2026	2	$312	318	0	+318	Down	+$6	02-12 06:31
googl up or down on february 5 2026	1	$308	314	0	+314	Down	+$6	02-05 21:00
tsla up or down on february 13 2026	2	$305	345	0	+345	Up	+$40	02-13 21:00
msft up or down on february 10 2026	5	$305	315	0	+315	Down	+$10	02-10 21:00
msft up or down on february 13 2026	1	$305	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	02-13 21:00
nflx up or down on february 17 2026	3	$291	295	0	+295	Up	+$4	02-17 21:00
tsla up or down on february 3 2026	4	$265	270	0	+270	Up	+$5	02-03 21:03
open up or down on january 27 2026	1	$241	243	0	+243	Down	+$2	01-27 21:00
ukx up or down on january 26 2026	1	$238	240	0	+240	Up	+$2	01-26 16:41
aapl up or down on february 5 2026	1	$226	228	0	+228	Down	+$2	02-05 21:00
nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	26	$201	1,309	1,186	+123	Yes	-$162	06-23 21:17
coin up or down on february 17 2026	4	$199	229	0	+229	Up	+$29	02-17 21:00
nvda up or down on january 16 2026	1	$172	174	0	+174	Down	+$2	01-16 21:00
nflx up or down on january 12 2026	4	$171	190	0	+190	Down	+$20	01-12 21:00
meta up or down on january 16 2026	5	$168	180	0	+180	Down	+$12	01-16 21:00
nik up or down on january 27 2026	1	$167	169	0	+169	Up	+$2	01-27 06:31
nflx up or down on january 7 2026	4	$165	171	0	+171	Up	+$5	01-07 21:00
ukx up or down on january 23 2026	1	$161	163	0	+163	Down	+$2	01-23 16:41
msft up or down on january 30 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	Down	+$0	01-30 21:00
nflx up or down on january 26 2026	1	$137	138	0	+138	Down	+$1	01-26 21:00
tsla up or down on january 23 2026	1	$130	131	0	+131	Down	+$1	01-23 21:00
amzn up or down on january 30 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	Down	+$0	01-30 21:01
open up or down on january 30 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	Down	+$0	01-30 21:01
dax up or down on february 2 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	Up	+$0	02-02 16:52
pltr up or down on january 30 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	Down	+$0	01-30 21:01
aapl up or down on january 22 2026	2	$126	126	0	+126	Up	+$0	01-22 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 06:31:07	nik up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa702cc…
10-09 06:31:06	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x74f449…
10-05 16:37:05	BNB Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xb601a5…
10-05 16:36:22	BNB Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb4b958…
10-05 16:25:44	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x080e30…
10-05 16:25:17	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd52e0…
09-16 10:51:27	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa05fcc…
09-16 10:51:00	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xdc9246…
09-16 10:50:00	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xabeccd…
09-15 06:31:10	nik up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x29fe61…
09-10 06:31:16	nik up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x08cb7b…
09-08 16:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x8d6296…
08-04 06:31:06	nik up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x22589e…
07-28 06:54:58	nik up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbb72c4…
07-24 06:31:04	nik up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x96eb67…
07-22 15:41:07	ukx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdba327…
07-20 15:41:12	ukx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc57569…
07-16 15:41:11	ukx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3ae644…
07-16 15:41:07	ukx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x6457d6…
07-16 15:41:07	ukx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x109dd4…
07-15 15:41:05	ukx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xb40c51…
07-15 15:41:05	ukx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9e2e4a…
07-15 15:41:05	ukx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x9be09d…
07-15 15:41:05	ukx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x6eb550…
07-15 15:41:05	ukx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x46c657…
07-13 15:41:08	ukx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xee06b7…
07-13 15:41:08	ukx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xccf186…
07-13 15:41:07	ukx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x5c4489…
07-13 15:41:07	ukx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x3fc840…
07-06 20:00:31	meta close above 600 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xcd250a…
07-06 20:00:31	meta close above 600 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x858d9b…
07-06 20:00:31	meta close above 600 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x0047e1…
07-02 20:00:31	googl close above 360 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9b0bec…
07-02 20:00:22	msft close above 390 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2017e7…
07-01 15:41:02	ukx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x94af36…
06-30 06:42:59	nik up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x1d9a00…
06-29 20:00:28	nvda close above 195 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x754d20…
06-29 20:00:28	nvda close above 195 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x556a70…
06-23 21:17:31	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdb8ca0…
06-23 20:27:14	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x973f99…
06-23 20:20:07	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xce947f…
06-23 20:16:58	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	1,062	1¢	$10	0xd86102…
06-23 20:16:32	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$3	0x11d891…
06-23 20:10:50	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$37	0xff8401…
06-23 20:10:28	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa2d126…
06-23 20:10:22	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x0f9fb9…
06-23 20:07:19	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	327	0¢	$1	0x28541a…
06-23 20:04:20	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x389809…
06-23 20:03:50	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x968c4a…
06-23 20:01:28	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	102	48¢	$48	0x4b0ca5…
06-23 20:01:17	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x45245d…
06-23 20:01:10	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a065a…
06-23 20:01:10	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2446a7…
06-23 20:01:05	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xd75f94…
06-23 20:01:05	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x558c05…
06-23 20:01:01	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcceb22…
06-23 20:01:01	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5717e…
06-23 20:01:01	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3cc2d4…
06-23 20:00:59	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x8a5413…
06-23 20:00:59	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x59cab7…
06-23 20:00:58	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0x864468…
06-23 20:00:55	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xb1af74…
06-23 20:00:53	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x14bf8b…
06-23 20:00:41	nvda close above 200 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x369417…
06-23 15:41:07	ukx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x75c5f2…
06-23 15:41:04	ukx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1a95b4…
06-23 15:41:02	ukx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa88f99…
06-23 15:41:02	ukx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x7cc279…
06-23 15:41:02	ukx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	75	57¢	$43	0x289187…
06-23 15:41:02	ukx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0x10ef15…
06-17 15:38:20	dax up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xbe0474…
06-17 15:38:13	dax up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xd871db…
06-17 15:37:55	dax up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf2062d…
06-11 20:00:25	msft close above 390 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x86303f…
06-05 15:41:06	ukx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x84a123…
06-05 15:41:04	ukx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4286a5…
06-05 15:41:03	ukx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd168f5…
06-05 15:41:03	ukx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0xc9e2f4…
06-05 15:41:03	ukx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x794ccf…
06-04 15:41:06	ukx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x8dc630…
05-29 15:54:39	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xbb383e…
05-29 15:46:06	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2aaab…
05-29 15:46:04	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb7b6e1…
05-29 15:46:04	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x437339…
05-29 15:46:02	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb3e771…
05-29 15:46:02	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9c485d…
05-29 15:46:02	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1a2ed1…
05-29 15:46:02	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x0fc009…
05-28 20:00:23	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x3c731d…
05-27 15:41:03	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x9d1013…
05-20 20:00:28	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xdc5db7…
05-15 20:00:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xbb4521…
05-15 20:00:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa0b481…
05-15 20:00:23	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xfbfd95…
05-15 15:38:32	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xe4a1e6…
05-08 20:00:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x52eb07…
05-06 20:00:31	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 6?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe481ce…
05-06 20:00:29	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 6?	No	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x719e69…
05-04 20:00:28	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x390c14…
05-04 20:00:26	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	35	90¢	$31	0x7b58d9…