Adolescent-Inflation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

150

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$8.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-13 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

57% 95% +$68

Sports

42% 84% +$35

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+13	$12	93¢	$12	+$0	07-05 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl nyi phi 2026 01 26 total 5pt5	6	$127	78	78	+0	Under	+$27	01-27 02:33
nba dal hou 2026 01 31 spread home 10pt5	3	$119	70	70	+0	Mavericks	+$20	02-01 03:52
nhl las mon 2026 01 27	5	$116	66	66	+0	Canadiens	+$16	01-28 02:37
nhl las tor 2026 01 23	2	$115	66	66	+0	Golden Knights	+$15	01-24 02:31
nhl cbj stl 2026 01 31	2	$115	66	66	+0	Blue Jackets	+$15	02-01 02:39
nba den mil 2026 01 23	4	$115	66	66	+0	Nuggets	+$15	01-24 04:44
nba sac cle 2026 01 23 spread home 12pt5	2	$114	65	65	+0	Kings	+$14	01-24 02:55
nba ind okc 2026 01 23	2	$110	61	61	+0	Pacers	+$11	01-24 03:33
nhl nyi nyr 2026 01 29	2	$109	60	60	+0	Islanders	+$10	01-30 02:39
nba orl cle 2026 01 26 spread home 4pt5	5	$108	59	59	+0	Cavaliers	+$8	01-27 02:30
nhl cal min 2026 01 29	2	$108	59	59	+0	Wild	+$8	01-30 03:30
nhl phi col 2026 01 23	2	$105	57	57	+0	Flyers	+$7	01-24 04:28
ucl nap1 cfc 2026 01 28 cfc	5	$105	55	55	+0	Yes	+$5	01-28 21:55
fl1 aja psg 2026 01 23 psg	2	$105	55	55	+0	Yes	+$5	01-23 20:48
nhl ana sea 2026 01 23	2	$105	55	55	+0	Ducks	+$5	01-24 05:36
fl1 rcl hac 2026 01 30 rcl	2	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	01-30 21:45
nhl wsh sea 2026 01 27	2	$103	54	54	+0	Kraken	+$4	01-28 05:30
ucl asm juv 2026 01 28 juv	3	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$4	01-28 21:53
nhl phi cbj 2026 01 28	2	$103	54	54	+0	Blue Jackets	+$4	01-29 03:10
nhl ana edm 2026 01 26	2	$103	54	54	+0	Oilers	+$3	01-27 04:18
epl eve lee 2026 01 26 eve	5	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$3	01-26 21:53
nhl lak buf 2026 01 29	2	$103	54	54	+0	Sabres	+$3	01-30 02:40
epl bur tot 2026 01 24 tot	2	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$3	01-24 16:56
nba mia por 2026 01 22	2	$102	53	53	+0	Trail Blazers	+$3	01-23 05:13
nba gsw min 2026 01 26 spread home 7pt5	2	$102	53	53	+0	Timberwolves	+$3	01-27 04:34
nhl tor sea 2026 01 29	3	$102	53	53	+0	Kraken	+$3	01-30 05:38
cbb elon char 2026 01 24 spread home 3pt5	3	$102	53	53	-0	Charleston Cougars	+$3	01-24 19:05
nba chi mia 2026 01 31 spread home 5pt5	4	$102	53	53	+0	Bulls	+$3	02-01 03:34
nhl buf tor 2026 01 27	6	$102	53	53	+0	Sabres	+$3	01-28 02:31
epl che wes 2026 01 31 wes	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	01-31 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 13:51:31	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x435d09…
07-05 12:34:04	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8fbbc6…
07-05 12:33:53	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x236adc…
07-05 12:33:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xfb5b10…
07-05 12:32:29	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x33b2e2…
05-24 14:16:17	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa0b759…
05-24 04:42:33	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xbc54ab…
05-11 15:02:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0d72cf…
05-11 15:00:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xab43be…
05-11 14:59:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x091669…
05-11 14:57:26	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x871c5a…
03-02 21:56:51	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3288a5…
03-02 21:56:51	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2a17bb…
03-02 21:52:09	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb1c171…
03-01 17:16:59	lal val osa 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x135828…
03-01 17:16:49	lal val osa 2026 03 01 val	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x8cb65b…
03-01 17:12:37	lal val osa 2026 03 01 val	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x383f8e…
03-01 17:10:59	lal val osa 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x82c533…
03-01 15:57:59	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xa7cee5…
03-01 15:57:59	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 sas	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7ec10a…
03-01 15:57:29	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x496249…
03-01 15:56:55	epl ful tot 2026 03 01 ful	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x39192e…
03-01 15:54:53	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x49ae8e…
03-01 15:52:35	epl ful tot 2026 03 01 ful	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xa2c9d2…
03-01 15:51:03	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 sas	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x7ae07a…
03-01 15:49:51	sea sas ata 2026 03 01 draw	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x2b52e1…
03-01 15:01:33	lal elc esp 2026 03 01 elc	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xadb93b…
03-01 14:52:49	tur gen kay 2026 03 01 gen	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xac36a8…
03-01 14:52:07	lal elc esp 2026 03 01 elc	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x50337c…
03-01 14:46:57	tur gen kay 2026 03 01 gen	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x22695c…
03-01 13:54:01	scop ran cel 2026 03 01 cel	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x4e0963…
03-01 13:50:03	scop ran cel 2026 03 01 cel	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6ffce0…
03-01 13:09:47	ere zwo aja 2026 03 01 zwo	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x10c44f…
03-01 13:06:51	ere zwo aja 2026 03 01 zwo	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x21c25c…
02-28 18:55:23	sea ver nap 2026 02 28 ver	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0148f0…
02-28 18:48:41	sea ver nap 2026 02 28 ver	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x57681c…
02-28 17:52:19	fl1 ren tou 2026 02 28 ren	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x856c6c…
02-28 17:49:53	fl1 ren tou 2026 02 28 ren	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1f6b20…
02-28 17:28:13	por avs ama 2026 02 28 ama	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5dd75e…
02-28 17:22:31	por avs ama 2026 02 28 ama	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8fd111…
02-28 16:58:03	epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bur	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf9e44e…
02-28 16:58:03	epl new eve 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xebe9c9…
02-28 16:58:01	epl new eve 2026 02 28 eve	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6b379b…
02-28 16:55:31	epl new eve 2026 02 28 draw	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x556a84…
02-28 16:55:01	epl new eve 2026 02 28 eve	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4062fe…
02-28 16:55:01	epl new eve 2026 02 28 eve	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2dffc8…
02-28 16:52:57	epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bur	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe97e63…
02-28 16:43:55	epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bre	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4986ad…
02-28 16:33:55	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 mai	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x701875…
02-28 16:30:47	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 b04	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x409661…
02-28 16:28:19	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 mai	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1058b9…
02-28 16:27:55	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa03b7e…
02-28 16:27:53	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 draw	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5908e8…
02-28 16:27:11	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf6a519…
02-28 16:23:07	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 draw	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9ba59e…
02-28 16:23:07	bun b04 mai 2026 02 28 b04	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x07c5ee…
02-28 16:21:41	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xfe7147…
02-28 16:21:21	bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xe5ca8b…
02-28 14:57:49	tur koc bes 2026 02 28 bes	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x2d4518…
02-28 14:53:37	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 bil	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6271e2…
02-28 14:53:37	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 ray	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x20e632…
02-28 14:52:11	tur koc bes 2026 02 28 bes	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc8a68b…
02-28 14:50:31	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 bil	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4622d4…
02-28 14:49:15	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 ray	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x99d098…
02-28 14:27:39	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 draw	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x445648…
02-28 14:26:27	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 sun	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x468b61…
02-28 14:25:47	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 draw	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb4c53e…
02-28 14:16:39	epl bou sun 2026 02 28 sun	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf3cfd9…
02-28 09:00:13	aus bri per 2026 02 28 bri	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x97846d…
02-28 08:54:19	aus bri per 2026 02 28 bri	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x2aa2b7…
02-28 08:54:17	aus bri per 2026 02 28 bri	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x06cbb8…
02-27 21:24:09	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 draw	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x30fa57…
02-27 21:21:29	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 draw	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcaf962…
02-27 19:29:45	bl2 dus boc 2026 02 27 dus	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x989f80…
02-27 19:23:47	bl2 dus boc 2026 02 27 dus	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3186d8…
02-27 10:28:05	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 vic	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc65360…
02-27 10:25:29	aus vic ade 2026 02 27 vic	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb87919…
02-25 21:52:32	arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xbe9bd3…
02-25 21:48:52	arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb960bc…
02-25 21:48:52	arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x71ec68…
02-25 21:48:50	arg bar tig 2026 02 25 bar	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x336b07…
02-24 21:50:24	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 oly	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xb24f18…
02-24 21:48:28	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xc0e767…
02-24 21:47:54	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7827c1…
02-24 21:46:16	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 oly	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc78bd7…
02-24 21:45:40	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf702a6…
02-24 21:41:48	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x3f69f0…
02-23 21:59:26	lal ala gir 2026 02 23 ala	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x95628d…
02-23 21:50:12	lal ala gir 2026 02 23 ala	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x87d7b7…
02-23 21:41:56	sea bol udi 2026 02 23 draw	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xe2264c…
02-23 21:37:34	sea bol udi 2026 02 23 draw	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x5b9008…
02-23 19:57:26	den bro sjs 2026 02 23 bro	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xe92c36…
02-23 19:47:50	den bro sjs 2026 02 23 bro	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x685afd…
02-22 20:37:10	nba cle okc 2026 02 22 spread away 2pt5	Thunder	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc76a9d…
02-22 20:33:46	nba cle okc 2026 02 22 spread away 2pt5	Thunder	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6057cf…
02-22 20:27:46	bun hei stu 2026 02 22 stu	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x4233f5…
02-22 20:25:54	nba cle okc 2026 02 22 total 225pt5	Over	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x99c440…
02-22 20:25:36	nba cle okc 2026 02 22 total 223pt5	Over	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x1203c7…
02-22 20:22:34	bun hei stu 2026 02 22 stu	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x670628…
02-22 20:19:54	nba cle okc 2026 02 22 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3f0eff…