Average-Craw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.4%

Resolved

314

Trades

769

lifetime

Volume

$9.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-26 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Politics

82% 62% -$1,480

Crypto

12% 100% +$2

Other

7% 92% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	276	$4.4K	441,468	441,468	+0	No	-$804	04-13 13:32
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	45	$2.0K	401,335	401,335	+0	No	-$420	04-26 15:09
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	109	$1.1K	131,567	131,567	+0	No	-$256	04-07 03:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	06-24 02:38
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	3	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	04-03 09:12
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	+$0	10-09 20:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-27 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-08 17:14
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-27 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	-$1	10-08 17:15
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 01:13
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	04-08 02:52
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	05-03 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:37
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-28 19:03
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-29 05:19
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-21 05:39
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-24 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 03:55
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-28 19:02
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-25 00:40
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-01 21:11
Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-14 10:14
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-15 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-23 19:45
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-14 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:23:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6774…
10-26 21:23:00	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8405b…
10-26 21:22:54	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7476fd…
10-24 21:23:51	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfeaa65…
10-24 21:23:44	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cb334…
10-24 21:23:39	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a9ef4…
10-24 21:23:30	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea37b1…
10-24 21:23:23	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4c86d…
10-24 21:23:18	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x453606…
10-23 21:26:06	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b9e02…
10-23 21:26:00	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b4607…
10-23 21:25:54	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5124a0…
10-23 21:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3be666…
10-23 21:25:36	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ecfd2…
10-17 01:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c745f…
10-17 01:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c0889…
10-17 01:06:35	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd5b20…
10-17 01:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68d2a7…
10-17 01:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f0664…
10-17 01:05:47	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e9542…
10-17 01:05:42	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x612cee…
10-17 01:05:35	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4db6c8…
10-17 01:05:29	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb709bb…
10-17 01:05:24	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc549a1…
10-17 01:05:18	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0454ae…
10-14 10:15:47	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x047bcd…
10-14 10:15:35	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e33ef…
10-14 10:15:28	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fffc9…
10-14 10:15:11	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88ce65…
10-14 10:15:04	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f6373…
10-14 10:14:56	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70ecc8…
10-14 10:14:50	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47a1ed…
10-12 19:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1eca4…
10-12 19:13:11	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x112272…
10-12 19:12:54	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x495479…
10-10 19:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e9b04…
10-10 19:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cd4d5…
10-10 19:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecde42…
10-10 19:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb7012c…
10-09 20:57:23	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2edccd…
10-09 20:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf034b0…
10-09 20:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb03e2…
10-09 20:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2135b…
10-08 17:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5dc20f…
10-08 17:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaaa2a9…
10-08 17:17:44	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x228f96…
10-08 17:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb7a403…
10-08 17:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc90cd…
10-08 17:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe82b33…
10-07 08:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc89b64…
10-07 08:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x705be6…
10-07 08:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f08be…
10-07 08:20:26	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0504c7…
10-07 08:20:15	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c48bd…
10-07 08:20:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0eb30…
10-07 08:19:57	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb4108…
10-04 07:14:49	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c29c2…
10-04 07:14:38	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf041fd…
10-04 07:14:26	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf13df4…
10-04 07:14:19	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5ebb9…
10-04 07:14:08	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24d865…
09-30 07:42:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d81cb…
09-30 07:42:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58229d…
09-30 07:42:26	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7809b8…
09-29 05:21:23	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8fd80…
09-29 05:21:09	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x761739…
09-29 05:20:50	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbeb3e…
09-29 05:20:42	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ec181…
09-29 05:20:33	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f0081…
09-29 05:20:24	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x390bf3…
09-29 05:20:17	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0897d6…
09-29 05:19:50	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4852…
09-22 01:50:24	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x691ebb…
09-21 16:58:03	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d4535…
09-21 16:57:56	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc47ec…
09-21 16:57:32	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c0141…
09-18 03:04:04	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23ba1e…
09-18 03:03:55	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc807e…
09-18 03:03:46	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a229c…
09-18 03:03:36	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b39e8…
09-18 03:03:27	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ef614…
09-18 03:03:15	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa91cca…
09-18 03:03:06	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0264c6…
09-18 03:02:55	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde67a8…
09-06 09:09:10	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f89e7…
09-06 09:08:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x183148…
09-06 09:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc198b8…
09-06 09:08:22	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a916a…
09-06 09:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x894a63…
09-06 09:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbad11e…
09-06 09:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc2f96…
09-01 21:11:36	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9522a1…
09-01 21:11:04	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07fe84…
09-01 21:10:54	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa92f13…
09-01 21:10:43	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x551ca1…
09-01 21:10:33	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c61a5…
09-01 21:10:06	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e5dda…
08-30 20:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb0070…
08-28 19:03:52	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12b163…
08-28 19:03:43	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1f0fe…