Realized P&L
-$31
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
123
Trades
163
lifetime
Volume
$23.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$1.02K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
53% 81% +$168
Tech
19% 91% +$458
Crypto
15% 91% -$92
Sports
7% 62% -$4
Politics
6% 44% -$561
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +384 $383 100¢ $384 +$1 10-18 14:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +159 $133 92¢ $147 +$15 10-24 09:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +102 $97 99¢ $101 +$4 10-05 17:46
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +99 $97 100¢ $99 +$2 10-05 17:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +110 $73 86¢ $95 +$22 10-05 17:46
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +106 $73 88¢ $93 +$20 10-05 17:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +92 $73 93¢ $86 +$13 10-05 17:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 16¢ $10 -$5 09-05 09:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 09:59
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 07:45
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +56 $20 4¢ $2 -$18 10-05 17:45
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +52 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 10-16 10:56