Repulsive-Hobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$6.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 04:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

24% 20% $-6

Tech

21% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$9

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	9	$289	169	169	+0	open	—	04-24 19:12
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	20	$267	187	184	+2	open	—	04-24 05:33
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	18	$207	145	145	+0	open	—	02-05 19:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$192	113	113	+0	open	—	04-25 18:38
Nothing Ever Happens: March	14	$142	124	124	+0	open	—	03-31 20:23
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	14	$134	98	98	+0	open	—	03-26 13:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	8	$113	66	66	+0	open	—	02-14 06:29
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	11	$109	66	66	+0	open	—	03-27 04:31
will google have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$105	55	65	-10	open	—	02-28 20:07
will ja morant be traded this season	6	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	02-05 20:31
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	2	$98	0	102	-102	open	—	06-03 03:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$92	53	53	+0	open	—	06-01 08:30
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$91	122	96	+26	open	—	04-27 21:20
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$80	47	47	+0	open	—	04-10 22:56
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	8	$77	43	51	-8	open	—	03-25 02:32
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$76	48	48	+0	open	—	04-24 19:13
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$74	54	54	+0	open	—	04-06 22:11
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	7	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	01-23 01:21
will tequila be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 682	1	$68	0	69	-69	open	—	01-01 20:01
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	02-02 20:35
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$66	39	39	+0	open	—	02-23 07:05
will xai have the 2 ai model at the end of january 2026	7	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	01-30 01:03
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$65	76	75	+1	open	—	04-27 21:10
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	5	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	02-25 00:05
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$54	44	44	+1	open	—	04-26 01:00
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	6	$51	32	36	-3	open	—	02-27 01:12
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$48	52	27	+26	open	—	04-27 21:19
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	8	$47	28	32	-4	open	—	01-08 19:48
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	02-27 01:11
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$45	36	36	+0	open	—	03-29 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 16:52:08	will trump say never seen before during tribute to america rally 20260630160620569	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x9dbed6…
07-02 16:51:59	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620557	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0930dd…
07-02 04:30:46	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xcb7adc…
07-02 00:47:47	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7c4cfe…
07-01 16:26:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x500d70…
07-01 05:06:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x265efd…
07-01 01:48:26	will anyone say free during rick and morty e7 s9 20260630142926989	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5d79a6…
07-01 01:47:19	will trump say never seen before during tribute to america rally 20260630160620569	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb43abf…
07-01 01:46:41	will trump say fake news during tribute to america rally 20260630160620562	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0027a5…
07-01 01:46:25	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620557	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0bef9…
07-01 01:45:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xaa81fd…
06-29 02:43:25	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2864c2…
06-15 00:12:49	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9689cd…
06-15 00:11:43	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xe4d8a6…
06-15 00:10:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x388524…
06-14 17:35:24	will trump say danger this week 20260605142537491	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xb7f39e…
06-13 23:20:25	will anyone say morty 10 times during rick and morty e4 s9 20260609185832865	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe3b93b…
06-13 19:36:43	will the announcers say combination or sequence 5 times during ufc 250 20260610175532892	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x241a5f…
06-13 19:35:31	will the announcers say eye poke during ufc 250 20260610175532910	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x279911…
06-13 19:33:48	will trump say warrior this week 20260605142537478	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf8c2f4…
06-12 17:41:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x15bcab…
06-12 05:05:01	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x83dd40…
06-09 21:33:48	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2ac2e8…
06-09 01:48:09	will trump say danger this week 20260605142537491	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x91d61e…
06-07 22:22:58	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xb39428…
06-07 20:08:25	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7b71e3…
06-06 05:47:48	will anyone say planet during rick and morty e3 s9	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x365d87…
06-06 05:47:03	will anyone say evil during rick and morty e3 s9	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5d2e9e…
06-03 21:28:22	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xcf9df8…
06-03 21:28:10	will tesla be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 1	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbab174…
06-03 15:47:01	will trump say regulation during wisconsin events 20260602174202007	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa69668…
06-03 04:56:09	will trump say regulation during wisconsin events 20260602174202007	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4848af…
06-03 03:03:14	Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x623a59…
06-03 03:02:59	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	91	96¢	$87	0x33bf68…
06-02 23:59:08	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x74d2c7…
06-02 23:56:29	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa7a2e9…
06-02 17:35:34	Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2d0c92…
06-01 08:30:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0x6020c0…
05-31 23:06:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdf7996…
05-31 22:33:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x5a56fa…
05-31 22:33:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x13a0aa…
05-31 20:06:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0c0abb…
05-31 20:06:21	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x946f92…
05-31 20:05:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd928dc…
05-31 18:22:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x165c5b…
05-31 08:05:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfa1c82…
05-31 08:00:33	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ccc81…
05-31 07:55:32	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x17619e…
05-28 04:58:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xe693e2…
05-27 17:40:20	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x03513f…
05-27 04:55:55	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb0d156…
05-27 04:54:50	Will Vance say "Godspeed" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xe97fdc…
05-26 20:01:11	Will Vance say "Godspeed" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6f4275…
05-25 18:54:10	Will Bernie say "Bernie" during Fighting Oligarchy?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x471cef…
05-23 00:21:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xeabb24…
05-23 00:16:18	Will Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe20f4e…
05-22 20:27:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x39c4db…
05-22 20:19:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xbc3833…
05-19 01:03:31	Will NVIDIA say "Self-Driving" during their next earnings call?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x31a5ed…
05-18 22:02:13	Will Trump say "Fake News" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdd2ebb…
05-18 21:49:23	Will Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x143fa9…
05-18 16:48:09	Will Trump say "Fake News" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe23296…
05-16 21:30:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x4541a4…
05-16 21:29:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x9f1185…
05-16 21:29:24	Will Derrick White be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0xbaee64…
05-16 21:24:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x8463b8…
05-16 20:43:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb371fe…
05-16 20:42:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd80a68…
05-16 20:38:49	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x7c4b3e…
05-16 05:28:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2c7eed…
05-16 05:26:33	Will Derrick White be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb1c0df…
05-16 05:20:32	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6ed2cc…
05-06 03:20:02	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	SELL	13	58¢	$7	0xdaa72a…
05-06 03:19:44	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x1f8e0c…
05-06 03:19:40	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x99d246…
05-05 21:15:02	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5b154c…
05-05 05:17:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x0fa486…
05-04 01:04:08	Will Bernie Sanders say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xdb7a30…
05-04 01:04:04	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xf4b571…
05-04 01:03:42	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x893f1a…
05-04 01:03:18	Will Trump say "Daddy" this week?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$6	0x645b5d…
05-04 01:03:06	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x691c08…
05-04 01:03:00	Will Trump say "Harry" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xac13a1…
05-03 17:40:30	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6e7788…
05-03 17:40:04	Will Trump say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" this week?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x31ecd7…
05-03 08:24:10	Will Trump say "Daddy" this week?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x745699…
05-03 08:23:38	Will Trump say "Regarded" this week?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x29c7c7…
05-03 02:45:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc94ebf…
05-03 02:42:06	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x237429…
05-03 02:41:28	Will Bernie Sanders say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xab7e27…
05-03 02:40:56	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0f5cef…
05-03 02:40:18	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	No	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xaf41c7…
05-02 20:10:14	Will Trump say "Regarded" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4cb491…
05-02 00:36:00	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x755ddc…
05-01 21:42:10	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcde52f…
05-01 21:42:02	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe91d92…
05-01 21:41:50	Will Trump say "No No No" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xcb5e88…
05-01 21:01:50	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8fce20…
05-01 21:01:26	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xa84ee6…
05-01 20:50:32	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x6d60d3…