Repulsive-Hobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

504

Trades

1,217

lifetime

Volume

$8.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-27 00:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

49% 49% -$162

Tech

25% 59% +$10

Politics

19% 58% +$25

Sports

4% 53% -$14

Crypto

3% 58% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	9	$289	169	169	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 19:12
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	20	$267	187	184	+2	No	-$1	04-24 05:33
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	18	$207	145	145	+0	No	+$37	02-05 19:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$207	126	126	+0	No	+$27	06-01 08:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	6	$202	121	121	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 07:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$192	113	113	+0	No	+$32	04-25 18:38
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	9	$177	102	102	+0	No	+$19	06-03 03:02
Nothing Ever Happens: March	14	$142	124	124	+0	Nothing	+$22	03-31 20:23
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	14	$134	98	98	+0	Yes	+$12	03-26 13:08
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$132	135	135	+0	Yes	-$48	04-29 01:02
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	10	$128	92	92	+0	Yes	-$12	06-18 05:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$127	85	85	+0	Yes	+$31	05-11 22:17
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	7	$125	74	74	+0	Yes	+$15	06-29 02:38
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	10	$124	83	83	+0	Yes	+$14	06-22 03:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	8	$113	66	66	+0	Yes	+$13	02-14 06:29
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	14	$111	135	135	+0	Yes	-$37	06-22 15:55
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	11	$109	66	66	+0	Yes	+$19	03-27 04:31
Will OpenAI have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$109	60	60	+0	Yes	+$9	04-30 17:13
will google have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$105	55	65	-10	Yes	+$15	02-28 20:07
will ja morant be traded this season	6	$99	56	56	+0	No	+$7	02-05 20:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	7	$90	86	86	+0	Yes	-$46	07-29 19:23
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$87	53	53	+0	Yes	+$7	05-26 03:16
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$85	49	49	+0	Yes	+$5	05-26 20:53
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	2	$83	44	44	+0	Yes	+$3	07-02 20:46
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$80	47	47	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 22:56
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$79	119	119	+0	No	-$21	06-06 07:33
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$78	45	45	+0	Yes	+$10	05-31 05:39
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	8	$77	43	51	-8	Yes	-$1	03-25 02:32
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$76	48	48	+0	Yes	+$6	04-24 19:13
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$74	54	54	+0	No	+$4	04-06 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 00:46:03	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x85b530…
08-10 06:08:06	will hims say platform 10 times during earnings call 20260807205625278	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xe62dbe…
08-07 18:21:27	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x9d1555…
08-06 20:48:30	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x378b0e…
08-06 20:48:18	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0c86ed…
08-06 20:47:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x51e8f6…
08-05 19:52:41	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6e22b8…
08-05 04:11:17	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x6d8484…
08-05 01:34:00	will red be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932771	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7e75a0…
08-05 01:33:39	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x4c86d7…
08-04 14:47:23	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe6c899…
08-04 14:47:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x903f75…
07-31 16:05:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xfa53e4…
07-30 21:46:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xf9dbd0…
07-30 19:25:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa60e0f…
07-30 19:22:33	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xfa277f…
07-29 19:24:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xbf046d…
07-29 19:23:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	69	9¢	$6	0x0f1a35…
07-14 01:48:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb59383…
07-14 01:44:11	Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x7f4817…
07-14 01:43:53	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0xe33067…
07-13 03:39:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xe2f70c…
07-13 02:10:16	will united airlines say passenger 10 times during earnings call 20260709145423402	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd53d99…
07-13 02:08:31	will the announcers say knockout knock out or knocked out during cory sandhagen vs mario bautista 20260708171831756	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x2177f3…
07-11 19:30:17	will the announcers say knockout knock out or knocked out during cory sandhagen vs mario bautista 20260708171831756	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x646126…
07-11 19:27:28	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1ec66f…
07-11 19:27:01	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8bd2d3…
07-11 19:25:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x7e0f89…
07-08 07:27:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x6ad330…
07-08 07:26:58	will vance say resilience or resiliency during milwaukee remarks 20260707232620833	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xf00f73…
07-08 02:27:41	will vance say resilience or resiliency during milwaukee remarks 20260707232620833	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8cad93…
07-08 02:22:56	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	No	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x0e26c3…
07-07 07:07:58	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xc68de9…
07-07 07:07:43	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xf85874…
07-06 18:07:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x265c32…
07-06 18:06:44	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x882856…
07-06 18:06:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xa62e64…
07-06 18:06:17	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x1bbb4f…
07-06 02:18:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdf5c7e…
07-06 01:16:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xb17f14…
07-05 23:44:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3d8539…
07-05 23:43:02	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xfc05e6…
07-04 22:29:11	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x82bbfe…
07-04 21:37:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1f9468…
07-04 21:37:25	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8e6c0c…
07-04 21:36:58	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2d7c72…
07-04 17:13:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xce2598…
07-04 06:12:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	246	0¢	$1	0x08c2a2…
07-04 06:09:44	will trump say fake news during tribute to america rally 20260630160620562	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xa35c7c…
07-04 06:09:14	will trumps remarks not air 20260630160620582 476	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf571ca…
07-04 02:10:43	will trump say hottest during remarks at mount rushmore 20260703143048094	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1e50f3…
07-03 07:15:59	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x10c772…
07-03 02:31:47	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe1310b…
07-03 02:31:20	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x565345…
07-02 22:00:37	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf2e912…
07-02 21:57:25	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x3f3e5e…
07-02 20:47:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xa48159…
07-02 20:46:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xe76d36…
07-02 20:46:31	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xee027e…
07-02 16:52:08	will trump say never seen before during tribute to america rally 20260630160620569	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x9dbed6…
07-02 16:51:59	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620557	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0930dd…
07-02 04:32:11	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xca3dec…
07-02 04:30:46	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xcb7adc…
07-02 02:49:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0a487b…
07-02 02:48:41	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xa683d2…
07-02 00:47:47	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7c4cfe…
07-01 16:26:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x500d70…
07-01 05:06:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x265efd…
07-01 01:48:26	will anyone say free during rick and morty e7 s9 20260630142926989	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5d79a6…
07-01 01:47:19	will trump say never seen before during tribute to america rally 20260630160620569	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb43abf…
07-01 01:46:41	will trump say fake news during tribute to america rally 20260630160620562	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0027a5…
07-01 01:46:25	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620557	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0bef9…
07-01 01:45:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xaa81fd…
07-01 01:42:49	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa1235c…
06-30 23:17:49	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd6bedf…
06-30 23:17:40	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc1a92f…
06-30 23:13:10	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xf08d73…
06-30 23:12:59	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x73c626…
06-29 02:43:25	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2864c2…
06-29 02:39:02	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf73cb3…
06-29 02:38:31	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x13c308…
06-29 02:37:08	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x2eedfc…
06-29 02:36:52	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x9e9d31…
06-28 23:17:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x19a17f…
06-28 23:16:49	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x3a73ed…
06-28 03:52:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x194fab…
06-28 03:51:52	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xb598d6…
06-22 15:56:14	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x8cf7b9…
06-22 15:55:53	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	102	25¢	$26	0x58d2e6…
06-22 03:27:07	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xc80a64…
06-22 03:26:32	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xd06d36…
06-22 03:26:05	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x72d611…
06-21 01:01:22	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x46707b…
06-21 01:01:02	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xc6aaf4…
06-18 05:39:46	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbb5874…
06-18 05:39:28	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0959ff…
06-17 01:02:05	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3de6a4…
06-16 21:38:41	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x45b54a…
06-16 21:38:41	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3b2f3e…
06-16 01:25:48	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbc7fd0…