Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$173

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.1%

Resolved

636

Trades

4,616

lifetime

Volume

$53.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-06 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

88% 0% -$21

Crypto

9% 55% -$152

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2761 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2,200	$42.8K	21,431	21,431	+0	No	-$21	10-04 09:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	210	$4.1K	2,072	2,072	+0	open	—	10-04 09:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	86	$1.7K	866	866	+0	open	—	10-04 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	8	$45	90	0	+90	Down	+$0	10-05 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	11	$41	90	0	+90	Up	+$4	10-05 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$40	80	0	+80	Up	+$0	10-05 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	10-05 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	10-05 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	10-05 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$40	80	0	+80	Up	+$0	10-05 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	4	$40	80	0	+80	Up	+$0	10-05 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$40	80	0	+80	Down	+$0	10-05 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-05 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:45 UTC	7	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-05 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:35 UTC	5	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-05 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	17	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-05 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-05 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	14	$35	70	0	+70	Up	$0	10-05 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$35	70	0	+70	Down	+$0	10-05 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	12	$33	60	0	+60	Up	-$3	10-01 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	8	$27	50	0	+50	Down	-$2	10-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$27	60	0	+60	Down	-$7	10-05 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$26	40	0	+40	Up	-$6	10-05 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	13	$24	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	10-01 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$22	60	0	+60	Up	-$2	10-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	13	$21	40	0	+40	Down	-$1	10-01 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$21	40	0	+40	Up	-$1	10-05 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$20	40	0	+40	Up	$0	10-05 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	8	$20	35	0	+35	Up	+$6	10-02 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	10-05 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 20:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x40ffdc…
10-06 20:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x597f73…
10-06 20:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8448a4…
10-06 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xceb3f0…
10-06 20:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x70e9ec…
10-06 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xd0d6ee…
10-06 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x70b2fe…
10-06 20:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1ee7bc…
10-06 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5af909…
10-06 20:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x76a99f…
10-06 20:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x465135…
10-06 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe51a78…
10-06 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xd3d107…
10-06 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa818ec…
10-06 20:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x00045f…
10-06 19:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x59edf3…
10-06 19:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2dc517…
10-06 19:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x29b27d…
10-06 19:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2849f6…
10-06 19:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8a112c…
10-06 19:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc7c119…
10-06 19:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x159b34…
10-06 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xdc8648…
10-06 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x14e735…
10-06 19:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xde2d06…
10-06 19:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x874766…
10-06 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5ad0e5…
10-06 19:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc6f10f…
10-06 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3d33dd…
10-06 19:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0a3dd1…
10-06 19:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2d27c5…
10-06 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe84e47…
10-06 19:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc55c5e…
10-06 19:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd9825f…
10-06 19:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x61ce98…
10-06 19:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x59707a…
10-06 19:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfc32d8…
10-06 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb82f31…
10-06 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x624d10…
10-06 19:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x30009e…
10-06 19:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x061d96…
10-06 19:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x549d6d…
10-06 18:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1f1126…
10-06 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x576fa9…
10-06 18:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8bd594…
10-06 18:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8ab635…
10-06 18:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x486dcd…
10-06 18:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7fbdde…
10-06 18:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x203ea0…
10-06 18:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2791d8…
10-06 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xb86ba4…
10-06 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7a5f2b…
10-06 18:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x41d5b7…
10-06 18:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7f7f5b…
10-06 18:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xee9cda…
10-06 18:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x253fba…
10-06 18:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0fee91…
10-06 18:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc5c916…
10-06 18:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x53c788…
10-06 18:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdaab63…
10-06 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xc418f8…
10-06 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x83c21b…
10-06 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4bd296…
10-06 18:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcbc54f…
10-06 18:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xaa8c18…
10-06 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc9f1a6…
10-06 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3fb645…
10-06 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4d0ea2…
10-06 18:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x085d97…
10-06 17:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb80730…
10-06 17:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x411970…
10-06 17:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x98e869…
10-06 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xa66045…
10-06 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x351a97…
10-06 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x233751…
10-06 17:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6a3c39…
10-06 17:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x422704…
10-06 17:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8e655e…
10-06 17:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3eafc4…
10-06 17:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x20c86f…
10-06 17:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x307cba…
10-06 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbcbea0…
10-06 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2fce60…
10-06 17:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x46b445…
10-06 17:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x12121b…
10-06 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xee8adc…
10-06 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0bdee1…
10-06 17:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x68afe1…
10-06 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1f2863…
10-06 17:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x70bffe…
10-06 17:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf8959c…
10-06 17:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9ccc6b…
10-06 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa7b9eb…
10-06 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x21ee08…
10-06 17:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xcad221…
10-06 17:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1648ca…
10-06 17:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x65abf4…
10-06 17:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x448f97…
10-06 17:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa899e3…
10-06 17:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x3d06fa…