Staid-Upper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

188

Trades

1,617

lifetime

Volume

$9.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-27 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 70% $-84

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-11	$-0	4¢	$-0	+$0	06-17 21:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775431200	2	$139	93	90	+3	open	—	04-05 23:25
btc updown 5m 1775440200	2	$126	102	97	+5	open	—	04-06 01:55
btc updown 5m 1775442900	2	$121	78	76	+2	open	—	04-06 02:38
btc updown 5m 1775437800	2	$113	88	84	+4	open	—	04-06 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$92	70	42	+28	open	—	05-01 21:35
btc updown 5m 1775443800	2	$86	59	57	+2	open	—	04-06 02:55
btc updown 5m 1775435100	2	$85	58	56	+2	open	—	04-06 00:30
btc updown 5m 1775444100	2	$84	56	55	+2	open	—	04-06 03:00
btc updown 5m 1775436300	3	$83	56	54	+2	open	—	04-06 00:50
btc updown 5m 1775443200	3	$76	116	42	+74	open	—	04-06 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$75	51	51	+0	open	—	04-30 21:13
btc updown 5m 1775432100	2	$65	48	46	+2	open	—	04-05 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$63	35	34	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$61	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$60	48	48	+0	open	—	05-02 14:22
btc updown 5m 1775429400	2	$58	39	38	+1	open	—	04-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	9	$57	45	38	+7	Down	$-3	05-10 20:05
btc updown 5m 1775446200	3	$56	96	46	+51	open	—	04-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$56	57	57	+0	open	—	05-02 11:10
btc updown 5m 1776508800	4	$56	58	56	+2	open	—	04-18 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$55	56	53	+3	open	—	05-02 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$55	75	75	+0	open	—	05-02 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$55	63	52	+11	open	—	05-01 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776086700	3	$53	61	35	+26	open	—	04-13 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	7	$53	35	35	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$53	30	30	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	open	—	05-02 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$53	66	66	+0	open	—	05-01 21:52
btc updown 5m 1775442300	3	$52	68	46	+22	open	—	04-06 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$51	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 20:30:29	btc updown 5m 1782592200	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa9eb59…
06-27 20:30:17	btc updown 5m 1782592200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3b1f79…
06-21 20:04:32	btc updown 5m 1782072000	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x462a53…
06-17 21:40:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xf69102…
06-17 21:37:23	btc updown 5m 1781732100	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8529ea…
06-14 20:54:21	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x1c5301…
06-14 20:52:16	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x842aa7…
06-14 20:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xedc1a1…
06-14 20:50:58	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6f3572…
06-07 14:48:31	btc updown 5m 1780843500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54af95…
06-07 14:46:09	btc updown 5m 1780843500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb4981b…
06-07 14:45:37	btc updown 5m 1780843500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xccf3ef…
06-07 14:42:12	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1d64ac…
06-07 14:42:00	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeca91b…
06-07 07:17:48	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xdae5a8…
06-07 07:17:37	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdeb7bf…
06-07 07:16:57	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x0b8b2e…
06-07 07:16:39	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf5d78f…
06-02 13:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x291178…
05-30 14:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xcae5d0…
05-30 14:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x48f46d…
05-30 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa38771…
05-30 14:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa46a2f…
05-26 08:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6a2c04…
05-26 08:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc6e6d7…
05-26 08:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x097277…
05-24 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab435c…
05-23 21:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x03bb80…
05-21 19:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4d37e9…
05-21 15:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x847e86…
05-21 15:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcd44e6…
05-21 13:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf184fc…
05-21 10:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x181cce…
05-21 10:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2b94ae…
05-20 14:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x07b2cc…
05-20 11:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcb262b…
05-19 17:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeff56b…
05-19 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb5c08d…
05-19 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa1f210…
05-19 17:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x35c737…
05-16 07:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae02eb…
05-16 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8a9bff…
05-15 15:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcd933a…
05-14 08:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x047ecd…
05-13 20:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1e431d…
05-13 20:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x127712…
05-13 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfeb6a1…
05-13 13:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x17d741…
05-13 13:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0079ac…
05-13 07:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x302517…
05-13 07:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xda5cde…
05-13 07:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcb4a53…
05-13 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x68d107…
05-12 20:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x236d9b…
05-12 20:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0a8b23…
05-12 20:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe5f7cb…
05-12 20:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x88fe3a…
05-12 20:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x7f8863…
05-12 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf7a760…
05-12 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b5694…
05-12 19:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8e34cb…
05-12 17:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xf42bad…
05-12 17:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe08bc4…
05-12 17:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcff069…
05-12 17:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0de3eb…
05-12 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x827f69…
05-12 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x433132…
05-12 16:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7d5bdf…
05-12 16:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x29c493…
05-11 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x301771…
05-11 19:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb2067f…
05-11 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1521a8…
05-11 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaedfa5…
05-11 18:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x149d20…
05-11 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x33176a…
05-11 17:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x840614…
05-11 17:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3d2df8…
05-11 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf87645…
05-11 17:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x47b192…
05-11 17:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6a69a2…
05-11 17:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7154d…
05-11 17:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xac0a2a…
05-11 14:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf18ca8…
05-11 14:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc18be5…
05-11 14:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x577e12…
05-11 12:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1d393f…
05-11 12:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xcee504…
05-11 12:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x0549ae…
05-11 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8790a4…
05-11 12:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x293f68…
05-11 09:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x83f330…
05-11 08:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x8c8f20…
05-11 08:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2dc99b…
05-10 20:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x942468…
05-10 20:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9698da…
05-10 20:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x82a8ef…
05-10 20:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x54f8b7…
05-10 20:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe598b1…
05-10 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x27faf7…
05-10 20:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xec6e82…