Naive-Ketch — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

19 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$98

$98 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up		+14	$7	1¢	$0	$-7	05-06 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	05-05 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$6	14	+14	open	—	05-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-04 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x52d4e8…
05-05 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x37af9b…
05-05 16:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x77b0be…
05-05 02:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0625da…
05-05 02:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4a625c…
05-05 02:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd0dc12…
05-05 01:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd575d7…
05-05 01:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3c2118…
05-05 01:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4dcf67…
05-05 00:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x755139…
05-05 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3cd650…
05-05 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc57ff7…
05-04 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdff95d…
05-04 22:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x73f6a3…
05-04 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcfc8e8…
05-04 20:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x31bd45…
05-04 20:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82fd3c…
05-04 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0cbf8f…
05-04 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff07ce…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$2.59K	69	05-06 01:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$1.61K	57	05-06 01:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$1.76K	23	05-06 01:39
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	9	$942	68	05-06 01:39
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$810	57	05-06 01:39
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	7	$912	21	05-06 01:39
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	6	$1.56K	15	05-05 02:44
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	6	$627	8	05-06 01:38