Direct-Caviar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-28 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$1

Crypto

33% 80% +$2

Politics

24% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	05-11 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-08 08:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:15 UTC	1	$28	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	01-25 06:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$22	14	14	+0	No	+$2	03-15 05:12
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-15 05:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 14:53
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-28 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:11
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-11 13:32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-10 14:53
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova	1	$1	1	0	+1	Varvara Panshina	+$0	06-02 05:08
penguin listed on binance by march 31	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	01-26 03:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-13 13:33
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen	1	$1	1	0	+1	Emma Navarro	+$0	05-26 10:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-18 14:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-08 08:03
cs2 nem esc1 2026 04 10	1	$1	1	0	+1	Team Nemesis	+$0	04-10 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 12:45 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	01-27 12:59
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva	1	$1	1	0	+1	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$0	05-19 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 15:04:37	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc01521…
06-10 14:53:57	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x81d9ea…
06-10 14:53:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7be07f…
06-05 15:23:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x03d0e5…
06-02 05:08:12	ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova	Varvara Panshina	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c8fb1…
05-26 10:01:17	Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen	Emma Navarro	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd56d4a…
05-19 13:11:53	Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6cc64…
05-19 13:11:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf63746…
05-18 14:10:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb94e7…
05-11 13:33:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x257f32…
05-11 13:32:28	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7d4807…
05-08 08:03:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8d3d10…
05-08 08:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1197c1…
04-13 13:33:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36f527…
04-10 14:12:33	cs2 nem esc1 2026 04 10	Team Nemesis	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6a9bf5…
03-15 05:14:21	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc834c8…
03-15 05:12:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x6f924a…
03-10 13:26:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa90cfe…
01-27 12:59:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36dc0e…
01-26 03:07:00	penguin listed on binance by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x74f98d…
01-25 06:23:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x9a6542…