Single-Overshoot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$565

Unrealized P&L

-$59

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

3,702

Trades

7,143

lifetime

Volume

$54.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-12 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 260 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 43% +$709

Other

9% 7% -$1,262

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 12?	Yes		+414	$39	2¢	$7	-$33	11-12 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	Yes		+498	$30	1¢	$4	-$26	11-12 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 11	4	$2.3K	2,905	2,905	+0	No	+$1,722	06-11 19:37
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	59	$2.1K	58,926	62,278	-3,351	Yes	+$129	02-01 09:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	25	$1.9K	234,322	26,717	+207,605	Yes	-$755	02-03 08:50
will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	25	$1.6K	3,114	3,104	+10	Yes	+$1,234	07-01 21:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	8	$1.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,085	10-29 23:45
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 9	28	$1.0K	2,143	2,099	+44	Yes	+$762	04-09 21:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	15	$996	3,941	3,941	+0	No	+$794	05-23 00:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	7	$896	2,460	1,500	+960	Yes	+$1,504	05-22 18:46
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	18	$813	3,119	3,119	+0	No	+$506	05-29 16:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	19	$767	8,402	7,938	+465	No	-$291	06-03 07:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	24	$572	12,099	0	+12,099	No	-$572	06-01 12:50
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 11	8	$568	5,971	1,000	+4,971	No	-$337	06-11 19:40
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	23	$564	15,600	15,600	+0	No	-$410	07-31 13:56
us government funding lapse on january 31	14	$461	23,866	15,706	+8,161	Yes	-$430	01-31 05:22
will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	6	$368	990	990	+0	No	+$167	07-23 16:38
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13?	2	$357	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$185	06-13 15:05
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	3	$347	1,517	1,517	+0	No	+$132	06-25 11:46
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 9	3	$342	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$202	04-09 15:56
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 9	6	$302	8,134	0	+8,134	No	-$302	07-09 12:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	6	$298	2,000	2,000	-0	Yes	-$22	11-04 06:31
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 18	8	$297	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$265	06-18 15:49
bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	3	$293	1,908	1,908	+0	No	+$121	06-04 05:33
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	2	$289	528	528	+0	No	+$89	01-30 14:45
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 10	11	$283	3,294	300	+2,994	No	-$200	07-10 21:24
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 5	20	$282	2,541	2,541	+0	No	-$216	06-05 16:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	5	$269	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$19	10-27 06:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	8	$266	1,152	1,152	+0	Yes	+$13	05-12 12:42
will bitcoin reach 66k on august 5	8	$251	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$55	08-05 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	6	$250	3,489	0	+3,489	No	-$250	06-01 16:24
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 5	2	$247	5,891	0	+5,891	No	-$247	06-05 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 13:40:31	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x8ce51e…
11-12 13:21:04	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0x846798…
11-12 13:17:00	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x41dd6d…
11-12 13:13:04	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x046953…
11-12 08:50:18	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	418	6¢	$25	0x3ad02e…
11-12 08:47:49	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xadfafd…
11-11 08:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	1,640	3¢	$54	0x3865c3…
11-11 08:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x050349…
11-11 08:19:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0x21a244…
11-10 16:07:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0xf17801…
11-10 15:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x748c39…
11-10 15:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x5537f8…
11-10 15:43:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x3297e2…
11-10 15:37:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x4c4c67…
11-10 15:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$34	0x7a5714…
11-09 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x027e54…
11-04 06:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$138	0x02d969…
11-04 00:20:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	540	6¢	$32	0x50928e…
11-04 00:20:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	460	6¢	$28	0x2c2e8d…
11-03 02:19:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	138	10¢	$14	0x1109a8…
11-03 02:10:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	531	10¢	$53	0x64a3a1…
11-02 23:08:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	331	10¢	$33	0x757097…
11-02 17:34:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9cda5b…
11-02 16:31:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$57	0xd86661…
11-02 16:29:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x78a476…
11-02 16:13:10	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x819d9b…
11-02 16:09:10	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x052663…
11-02 16:08:57	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xff5aa0…
11-02 15:20:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	478	6¢	$29	0x004143…
11-02 11:54:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x3ee61f…
11-02 10:00:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0x1ddef0…
11-02 10:00:43	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x018aa3…
11-02 09:38:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	350	14¢	$49	0x9be25c…
11-02 09:38:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0xcdb0bb…
10-29 23:45:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1,304	80¢	$1,043	0x266684…
10-29 23:45:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	176	80¢	$141	0xdd562f…
10-29 23:45:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x3df96f…
10-29 14:41:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	149	8¢	$12	0xd3cf3f…
10-29 10:54:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	466	6¢	$28	0x064d6a…
10-29 10:07:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x106e86…
10-29 09:08:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xdb9dc9…
10-29 08:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	499	7¢	$35	0xae8303…
10-29 06:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x01942f…
10-29 06:08:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x29281c…
10-28 18:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb69827…
10-28 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x769b5e…
10-28 18:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa61ac6…
10-28 18:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdb48d1…
10-28 18:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x127148…
10-28 18:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb9bcca…
10-28 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d554f…
10-28 18:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x471401…
10-28 18:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97d5f4…
10-28 18:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4ec7e9…
10-28 12:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f8217…
10-28 12:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7e07f0…
10-28 08:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xcf6371…
10-28 08:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x60e4f3…
10-28 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x831739…
10-28 08:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x077431…
10-28 08:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x248b4e…
10-28 08:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfe719d…
10-28 08:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd35321…
10-28 08:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc68d64…
10-28 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x309a37…
10-28 08:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x392d42…
10-28 07:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x26157a…
10-28 07:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x81a857…
10-28 05:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x010414…
10-28 05:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x99268a…
10-28 05:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3b4717…
10-28 05:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8b9fc1…
10-28 05:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4cbb07…
10-28 05:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8c701b…
10-28 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0ddb5f…
10-28 04:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1315ee…
10-28 04:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf51766…
10-28 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5501c3…
10-27 16:56:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0x2e0fbb…
10-27 16:48:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xa3f768…
10-27 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfe19d9…
10-27 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xba8b55…
10-27 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb18a32…
10-27 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3f98e2…
10-27 12:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xff6e6f…
10-27 12:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x22a518…
10-27 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x4fc161…
10-27 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3ba7c9…
10-27 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x119bbe…
10-27 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x003975…
10-27 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7fad10…
10-27 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x59ff85…
10-27 12:39:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	736	6¢	$41	0x2fa299…
10-27 10:30:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	264	15¢	$40	0x36b7ba…
10-27 08:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x7514c0…
10-27 06:49:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	1,853	5¢	$87	0x0a7ccf…
10-27 05:58:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x07bd4c…
10-27 05:58:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x420dcf…
10-27 05:57:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	1,019	3¢	$31	0x3ebc8e…
10-27 04:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	116	6¢	$7	0x936f53…