Single-Overshoot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,078

lifetime

Volume

$37.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-21 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 33% $-199

Other

12% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 11	4	$2.3K	2,905	2,905	+0	open	—	06-11 19:37
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	59	$2.1K	58,926	62,278	-3,351	open	—	02-01 09:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	25	$1.9K	234,322	26,717	+207,605	open	—	02-03 08:50
will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	25	$1.6K	3,114	3,104	+10	open	—	07-01 21:46
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 9	28	$1.0K	2,143	2,099	+44	open	—	04-09 21:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	15	$996	3,941	3,941	+0	open	—	05-23 00:39
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?	18	$813	3,119	3,119	+0	open	—	05-29 16:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	19	$767	8,402	7,938	+465	open	—	06-03 07:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	24	$572	12,099	0	+12,099	open	—	06-01 12:50
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 11	8	$568	5,971	1,000	+4,971	open	—	06-11 19:40
us government funding lapse on january 31	14	$461	23,866	15,706	+8,161	open	—	01-31 05:22
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	3	$347	1,517	1,517	+0	open	—	06-25 11:46
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 9	3	$342	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-09 15:56
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 9	6	$302	8,134	0	+8,134	open	—	07-09 12:46
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 18	8	$297	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-18 15:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	3	$295	2,440	500	+1,940	open	—	05-22 17:35
bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	3	$293	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	06-04 05:33
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	2	$289	528	528	+0	open	—	01-30 14:45
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 10	11	$283	3,294	300	+2,994	open	—	07-10 21:24
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 5	20	$282	2,541	2,541	+0	open	—	06-05 16:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	8	$266	1,152	1,152	+0	Yes	+$13	05-12 12:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	6	$250	3,489	0	+3,489	open	—	06-01 16:24
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 5	2	$247	5,891	0	+5,891	open	—	06-05 16:03
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 9	8	$231	4,979	0	+4,979	open	—	06-09 16:21
bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	5	$224	1,096	1,096	+0	open	—	07-13 03:12
will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	6	$222	3,697	0	+3,697	open	—	06-09 20:18
btc updown 5m 1775373300	4	$217	120	119	+1	open	—	04-05 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 27?	5	$210	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	05-27 13:30
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	20	$207	4,837	2,932	+1,905	open	—	02-02 07:54
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 17	13	$184	2,225	2,210	+15	open	—	04-17 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:41:15	btc updown 5m 1784700900	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x9cee36…
07-21 23:39:46	btc updown 5m 1784700600	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0b9b7e…
07-21 23:39:18	btc updown 5m 1784700300	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x832cca…
07-21 23:39:01	btc updown 5m 1784700000	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x6c9be8…
07-21 23:38:39	btc updown 5m 1784699400	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb93bd4…
07-21 23:38:27	btc updown 5m 1784699100	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x2d8f5b…
07-21 23:38:03	btc updown 5m 1784698500	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x30ad70…
07-21 23:37:55	btc updown 5m 1784698200	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf8db60…
07-21 23:37:22	btc updown 5m 1784697600	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x117432…
07-21 23:37:03	btc updown 5m 1784697000	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x174290…
07-21 23:36:48	btc updown 5m 1784696700	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xaa97a1…
07-21 17:49:36	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	Yes	SELL	474	11¢	$54	0x528970…
07-21 14:09:43	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 21	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x7af5a4…
07-21 11:31:06	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 21	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xe003b8…
07-21 11:22:57	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 21	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0xd94857…
07-21 11:22:10	bitcoin above 64k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0xfb1b65…
07-21 00:10:19	btc updown 5m 1784611200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x22c6a8…
07-21 00:10:07	btc updown 5m 1784610600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb486b5…
07-21 00:09:51	btc updown 5m 1784610300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9d1a4…
07-20 17:32:28	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xbec202…
07-20 17:27:07	bitcoin above 64k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xf2643b…
07-20 16:10:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8b5001…
07-20 16:10:18	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0xb8d633…
07-20 14:54:51	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1140bf…
07-20 14:49:27	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xe9ae78…
07-20 14:45:45	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x1e83ed…
07-20 14:43:00	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xe1c636…
07-20 12:20:07	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xad3511…
07-20 04:18:10	btc updown 5m 1784529000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd40da9…
07-20 04:17:57	btc updown 5m 1784528700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb62a3d…
07-20 04:17:27	btc updown 5m 1784527800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ec3e3…
07-20 04:17:06	btc updown 5m 1784527500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeb15e1…
07-20 04:16:37	btc updown 5m 1784524200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d1157…
07-20 04:16:00	btc updown 5m 1784523900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf0377d…
07-19 12:38:43	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 19	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xbcece8…
07-19 09:20:01	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 19	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2c0168…
07-19 09:08:19	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 19	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x407358…
07-19 06:19:16	btc updown 5m 1784441700	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xad7d2b…
07-19 06:18:07	btc updown 5m 1784441700	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x69017b…
07-19 06:12:15	btc updown 5m 1784441400	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x006644…
07-19 04:48:57	btc updown 5m 1784437800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x512deb…
07-19 04:38:03	btc updown 5m 1784441700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc7f4cc…
07-19 04:37:52	btc updown 5m 1784441400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf06d69…
07-19 04:37:27	btc updown 5m 1784439300	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xebf6e3…
07-19 04:37:00	btc updown 5m 1784440800	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc50508…
07-19 04:35:39	btc updown 5m 1784440800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd98abf…
07-19 04:34:45	btc updown 5m 1784440200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaf3e73…
07-19 04:34:31	btc updown 5m 1784439900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb89b5a…
07-19 04:34:18	btc updown 5m 1784439300	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7be07c…
07-19 04:33:52	btc updown 5m 1784438700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd7f102…
07-19 04:33:25	btc updown 5m 1784437500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4eef3f…
07-18 17:48:48	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 18	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x54d4f0…
07-18 10:49:48	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 18	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x41d3dc…
07-18 04:36:48	btc updown 5m 1784356200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x89cf54…
07-18 04:36:39	btc updown 5m 1784355900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4a067…
07-18 04:36:16	btc updown 5m 1784353800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x28c7e9…
07-18 04:36:00	btc updown 5m 1784353200	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb8e0f1…
07-18 04:35:18	btc updown 5m 1784352900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xff780b…
07-18 04:35:07	btc updown 5m 1784352600	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x22ab65…
07-18 04:34:52	btc updown 5m 1784352000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2ce43a…
07-18 04:34:39	btc updown 5m 1784351700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1822af…
07-18 04:34:12	btc updown 5m 1784351400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d82c8…
07-18 04:34:03	btc updown 5m 1784351100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x162482…
07-17 18:08:58	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 17	Yes	SELL	105	11¢	$11	0xdf6efe…
07-17 17:15:48	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 17	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3e004e…
07-17 11:57:22	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 17	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5dbc83…
07-17 05:55:55	btc updown 5m 1784267700	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcffdd2…
07-17 05:31:10	btc updown 5m 1784271300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8349e7…
07-17 05:30:51	btc updown 5m 1784271000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x426c30…
07-17 05:30:33	btc updown 5m 1784270700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a4ae5…
07-17 05:29:24	btc updown 5m 1784270400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x422eed…
07-17 05:29:00	btc updown 5m 1784269800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa00ee9…
07-17 05:28:39	btc updown 5m 1784269200	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfa89b4…
07-17 05:28:19	btc updown 5m 1784268900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2cedeb…
07-17 05:28:01	btc updown 5m 1784268600	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa99601…
07-17 03:10:51	btc updown 5m 1784267700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b5902…
07-17 03:10:27	btc updown 5m 1784267400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb92a9e…
07-17 03:04:52	btc updown 5m 1784265900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb41198…
07-17 03:04:01	btc updown 5m 1784265000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a01b7…
07-17 03:03:42	btc updown 5m 1784264700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe84bd7…
07-17 03:03:19	btc updown 5m 1784264400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa688e2…
07-17 03:01:01	btc updown 5m 1784264100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1d03fa…
07-17 03:00:46	btc updown 5m 1784263800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9eacac…
07-17 02:58:52	btc updown 5m 1784262600	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8321fe…
07-17 02:58:33	btc updown 5m 1784261700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7e5448…
07-17 02:58:24	btc updown 5m 1784261400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa5ce3a…
07-17 02:58:10	btc updown 5m 1784261100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x91aa24…
07-17 02:57:48	btc updown 5m 1784260200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a5302…
07-17 02:57:37	btc updown 5m 1784259900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x672426…
07-17 02:57:25	btc updown 5m 1784259600	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb969d7…
07-17 02:57:15	btc updown 5m 1784259300	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x037642…
07-17 02:57:01	btc updown 5m 1784258700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9553ee…
07-17 02:56:40	btc updown 5m 1784258100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2427ea…
07-17 02:56:24	btc updown 5m 1784257200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x312414…
07-16 18:22:10	btc updown 5m 1784226000	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9fdc2c…
07-16 18:22:02	btc updown 5m 1784226000	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9e0e1a…
07-16 17:44:28	btc updown 5m 1784223900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2e9f70…
07-16 17:27:41	btc updown 5m 1784223000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc19dd4…
07-16 17:22:25	btc updown 5m 1784222400	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa20502…
07-16 17:11:53	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 16	Yes	SELL	561	3¢	$19	0xf8ab6e…