Helpless-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

167

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$3.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-25 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$7

Other

40% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-20 01:01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	08-18 18:53
bitcoin above 84k on april 21	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-21 10:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	09-26 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	10-17 22:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$0	07-26 12:18
will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 4 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-05 00:57
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	10-13 05:04
bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-03 19:44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-10 16:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	10-07 22:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	07-20 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	09-17 13:51
will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 6	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	07-06 18:30
will bitcoin dip to 78k september 14 20 2026 from september 18	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	09-20 19:20
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-27 23:17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	09-14 02:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-29 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-04 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	08-22 22:28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-13 06:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-08 10:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-04 00:14
bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-02 23:06
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-21 20:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-18 16:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-18 14:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-26 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-18 00:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-26 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:09:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbfb044…
10-20 09:20:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3ed48f…
10-20 01:03:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xe8eea8…
10-18 16:54:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2f3e24…
10-17 22:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x4814fc…
10-13 05:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x8c819f…
10-11 14:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2fc925…
10-10 01:52:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e843a…
10-07 22:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x7f4057…
10-04 10:52:19	Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf6255c…
10-04 00:14:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x175664…
10-02 15:38:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1b86cd…
09-27 14:46:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3acd8e…
09-26 14:29:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x751f1a…
09-23 07:47:47	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2a8382…
09-20 19:20:34	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 14 20 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5b7dbe…
09-20 10:33:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2b4e18…
09-17 13:51:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x77cfbc…
09-14 02:21:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6c0e2f…
09-14 01:06:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1a047e…
09-05 00:57:13	will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x423eab…
09-01 02:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8015bc…
08-27 23:17:51	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x719523…
08-27 15:43:04	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x79d187…
08-24 13:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d3f8c…
08-22 22:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x583782…
08-22 06:47:45	ethereum above 2100 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0176c2…
08-18 20:45:54	bitcoin above 62k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x102705…
08-18 18:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x76248a…
08-13 02:47:06	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x72641d…
08-12 16:24:58	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x21ca6d…
08-10 16:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x15e5ba…
08-08 04:50:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x051cca…
07-29 00:14:14	Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2dd5d6…
07-28 17:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7f3a72…
07-27 10:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd59cf2…
07-26 12:18:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0xd4911a…
07-23 04:05:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xddcad3…
07-20 15:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x474635…
07-17 00:20:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1cf65b…
07-15 14:39:14	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x85dfba…
07-13 19:31:29	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 13	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d5423…
07-13 06:23:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb0ea80…
07-13 04:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa075b5…
07-11 18:36:34	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2bbce0…
07-10 09:06:20	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb386d5…
07-10 06:46:59	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0cae80…
07-06 18:30:07	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 6	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8d535d…
07-05 19:23:38	will bitcoin reach 66k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x866a8b…
07-04 17:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcd2607…
07-04 02:00:11	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb70a16…
07-03 23:48:26	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf0c486…
07-03 19:44:29	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc6ab2d…
07-03 01:46:38	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1f757e…
07-02 23:06:40	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd800ff…
07-01 21:51:52	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8c5500…
07-01 07:31:44	will andurils valuation hit high 150b by june 30	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf0464b…
07-01 03:15:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb3abe5…
06-30 16:15:22	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9821dc…
06-29 14:59:47	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa60434…
06-24 19:49:02	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 24	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb472e6…
06-23 13:52:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5e8e21…
06-23 06:18:08	ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c900d…
06-22 21:20:46	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xec3ab6…
06-22 03:18:07	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x656814…
06-21 20:03:20	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x844d3f…
06-07 08:53:52	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ac9ac…
06-02 02:51:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xffe825…
06-01 16:38:27	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8ed9e…
05-31 07:27:26	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7083eb…
05-30 18:26:53	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb50895…
05-30 03:20:42	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1e6d8b…
05-29 18:07:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7ee7c1…
05-28 21:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa78bce…
05-28 18:56:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x53e5ac…
05-28 11:16:07	Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7f0aa7…
05-28 04:50:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x5f15f8…
05-27 21:47:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x56d7f0…
05-27 15:11:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb1988b…
05-26 21:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x643c79…
05-26 19:43:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc0050e…
05-26 12:52:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1d9202…
05-25 13:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9401c0…
05-25 10:14:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x075264…
05-24 07:33:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfe2d02…
05-23 23:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1c756a…
05-23 19:48:08	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb17c36…
05-22 23:29:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5d73e…
05-22 21:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xca47f9…
05-22 03:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc90fc…
05-22 00:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb53d17…
05-21 11:11:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5eba74…
05-21 03:51:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb28909…
05-20 15:39:40	Will "GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb112b3…
05-20 01:01:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x87b282…
05-19 22:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef210c…
05-19 12:12:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbcc221…
05-19 00:03:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x507778…
05-18 14:58:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5590f6…
05-18 00:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5e649e…