Unruly-Implementation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$841

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

10,083

Trades

18,354

lifetime

Volume

$73.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-27 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 72% -$671

Other

10% 84% -$179

Politics

1% 37% +$1

Sports

0% 22% +$16

Tech

0% 25% -$8

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 787 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No		+0	$5	10¢	$0	-$5	09-03 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 00:00 UTC	200	$3.5K	6,764	124	+6,641	Up	-$61	08-08 03:40
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	134	$2.4K	3,619	1,336	+2,283	Down	-$64	08-09 02:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 20:00 UTC	134	$2.3K	4,435	117	+4,318	Down	-$56	08-07 23:49
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	84	$1.7K	1,898	1,517	+380	Up	-$46	08-10 03:14
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 04:00 UTC	76	$1.2K	2,159	131	+2,028	Down	-$36	08-08 07:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	40	$683	1,052	479	+573	Up	-$7	08-09 07:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	45	$596	802	720	+82	Up	+$12	08-08 11:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 16:00 UTC	31	$438	548	448	+100	Down	-$15	08-09 19:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	28	$363	484	484	+0	Down	-$15	08-09 22:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC	17	$328	560	100	+460	Up	-$26	08-11 08:40
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC	28	$299	491	252	+239	Down	+$3	08-08 19:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	28	$298	300	300	+0	Up	-$11	08-11 01:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 04:00 UTC	19	$290	335	251	+84	Down	-$8	08-11 05:05
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	17	$263	400	308	+92	Up	+$6	08-09 13:56
will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 110m by august 31 20260721170950174	21	$233	374	374	+0	No	-$33	08-07 14:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC	13	$201	282	200	+82	Up	-$19	08-08 14:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	8	$200	300	100	+200	Down	-$8	08-11 13:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	14	$188	200	200	+0	Up	-$6	08-18 09:21
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	5	$168	150	150	+0	Up	+$4	08-10 17:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 20:00 UTC	69	$167	316	25	+291	Up	-$6	08-18 22:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-23 00:00 UTC	39	$157	259	110	+149	Down	-$3	08-23 03:24
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC	29	$157	259	80	+179	Up	-$7	08-11 09:51
will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	16	$152	120	99	+21	No	-$1	07-10 20:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC	7	$149	204	100	+104	Down	-$1	08-08 21:13
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	13	$129	249	249	+1	Down	-$2	08-10 14:02
crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	12	$128	160	112	+48	Yes	-$17	08-01 14:01
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	10	$128	134	134	+0	Down	-$13	08-10 10:00
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	18	$121	120	120	+0	No	-$2	07-16 18:46
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	4	$113	109	91	+17	Up	-$31	08-09 09:52
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	11	$106	140	140	+0	No	-$9	07-26 16:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xfd737d…
10-27 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x37e087…
10-26 14:54:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xced185…
10-24 16:29:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5862f7…
10-23 16:09:15	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb7158a…
10-23 09:44:08	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7e3514…
10-21 23:54:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb2565f…
10-21 08:44:06	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x166d17…
10-21 07:44:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d1e05…
10-20 11:14:05	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x425d96…
10-20 09:29:05	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6ea6c1…
10-20 09:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc68b6a…
10-20 08:54:02	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc4b4a7…
10-19 07:44:08	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7ace26…
10-19 03:44:05	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x80c1d4…
10-19 00:39:14	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x384a48…
10-19 00:29:12	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x12ae24…
10-17 23:29:03	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e5f8c…
10-16 20:24:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe4d9a5…
10-16 12:09:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf3bd45…
10-16 04:49:07	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xce5b23…
10-16 01:34:03	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe719ff…
10-15 20:09:10	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4ceaa1…
10-15 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xed6790…
10-15 09:24:13	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe31f2c…
10-15 09:09:17	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7b9ee2…
10-15 04:14:04	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3d34ee…
10-15 03:44:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x033019…
10-15 02:14:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x76a9af…
10-15 00:34:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5993af…
10-14 20:14:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7644c7…
10-14 13:44:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9efdfb…
10-14 13:19:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x56fcd2…
10-14 01:34:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4deec8…
10-13 19:59:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdad73e…
10-13 12:34:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x129a02…
10-13 11:09:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc5355c…
10-13 10:49:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3f7e9f…
10-13 09:09:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3a9871…
10-13 07:19:17	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xeb4190…
10-13 06:19:13	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe8cb7b…
10-13 04:09:03	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x186293…
10-12 15:14:03	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12db50…
10-12 00:59:08	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd2dccb…
10-12 00:29:03	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4beaba…
10-11 23:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x41f42e…
10-11 20:29:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x31a467…
10-11 18:44:06	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbcb9af…
10-11 16:29:04	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcd981c…
10-11 06:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x44afbc…
10-11 05:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0fb578…
10-10 04:44:03	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeb9d8a…
10-09 20:29:04	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x372ddf…
10-08 16:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbf61af…
10-08 10:44:14	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x469072…
10-08 05:34:16	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2ab8c1…
10-07 16:59:07	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc681e2…
10-07 11:54:11	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf56e56…
10-06 17:44:03	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xac3f0f…
10-06 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x8f8a81…
10-06 13:29:03	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5c1623…
10-06 00:14:04	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfc3d8…
10-05 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xd04516…
10-05 13:49:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3e1d53…
10-05 01:59:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbb51f7…
10-05 01:14:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe4a2c3…
10-05 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x977f17…
10-04 00:14:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf341c6…
10-02 17:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x990b23…
10-02 16:39:03	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7a0814…
10-02 11:04:03	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7f1db5…
10-02 09:44:06	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xdcb20e…
10-02 09:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x30be0f…
10-02 08:14:03	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcae271…
10-02 02:44:05	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x88c2ff…
10-02 01:29:18	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3d4232…
10-02 00:29:03	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x76b94f…
10-01 22:14:09	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbaed51…
10-01 19:39:03	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd4e764…
10-01 19:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa261c0…
10-01 17:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40eb0d…
10-01 16:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8746af…
10-01 14:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9e4e28…
10-01 07:44:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xde1061…
09-30 18:09:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb212d2…
09-30 13:24:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa52e15…
09-28 14:14:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x961151…
09-28 05:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x789afe…
09-26 14:44:11	Solana Up or Down - September 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x91f3b3…
09-23 23:39:04	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe9c9ac…
09-23 21:14:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe07ad5…
09-23 20:34:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc85eb7…
09-23 19:59:14	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa06e9e…
09-23 19:44:05	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ba59a…
09-23 19:14:11	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc72152…
09-23 19:09:13	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6242f9…
09-23 18:54:07	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7d1d4…
09-23 18:29:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4f796d…
09-23 18:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd867a3…
09-23 18:14:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x84bb3e…