Glossy-Balaclava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$142

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-18 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 22% -$8

Politics

17% 0% -$7

Other

16% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:45 UTC	4	$35	31	30	+0	Down	+$3	03-03 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:05 UTC	2	$27	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 22:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$20	62	62	+0	No	$0	03-03 22:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	4	$14	1,007	7	+1,000	Up	$0	03-03 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	4	$8	47	1	+46	Up	-$6	03-04 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	3	$7	55	5	+50	Up	-$1	03-03 22:03
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	4	$3	68	68	+0	No	-$1	03-03 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:40 UTC	2	$2	1,012	0	+1,012	Up	-$2	03-03 21:45
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$2	201	0	+201	Yes	-$1	03-03 22:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-04 15:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-16 23:09
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-03 22:16
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-04 15:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	$0	03-04 15:52
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$2	12	12	+0	No	$0	03-04 15:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	2	$2	79	79	+0	Yes	$0	03-04 15:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	2	$2	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	03-04 15:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$1	17	17	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 15:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$1	7	7	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 15:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$1	8	8	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 15:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	2	$1	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 15:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$1	26	26	+0	No	-$1	05-18 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:25 UTC	1	$1	111	0	+111	Down	-$1	03-03 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:20 UTC	1	$1	111	0	+111	Up	-$1	03-03 21:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	1	$1	9	0	+9	Up	-$1	03-03 21:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	03-03 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:41:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x2166a7…
05-16 23:12:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x24486e…
05-16 23:09:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xd045f4…
05-16 23:08:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x876d5c…
03-04 15:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x784039…
03-04 15:52:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x5b02a4…
03-04 15:52:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x4a4cec…
03-04 15:52:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x08d764…
03-04 15:52:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x407ccc…
03-04 15:52:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	No	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x351566…
03-04 15:52:05	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xbb0ed9…
03-04 15:52:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xa4023a…
03-04 15:52:03	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xfef13a…
03-04 15:52:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xce6e1e…
03-04 15:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc6a4df…
03-04 15:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0503a8…
03-04 15:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5fae0f…
03-04 15:50:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x1762e9…
03-03 22:21:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c3b2f…
03-03 22:16:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xdf4e1c…
03-03 22:15:59	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3ccef2…
03-03 22:15:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf35acd…
03-03 22:15:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9f0c78…
03-03 22:15:03	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x330c98…
03-03 22:13:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8453a8…
03-03 22:13:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9a5238…
03-03 22:12:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x89b9eb…
03-03 22:12:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd62932…
03-03 22:12:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4d78b3…
03-03 22:12:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x86f3f0…
03-03 22:11:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xffbc03…
03-03 22:11:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x9e5e60…
03-03 22:11:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe28f94…
03-03 22:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xdb7093…
03-03 22:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xb88c4c…
03-03 22:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea7e77…
03-03 22:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x8c1f76…
03-03 22:02:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x38d2c3…
03-03 22:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb1b06b…
03-03 21:57:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb3916a…
03-03 21:56:47	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xed974c…
03-03 21:55:21	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc1c1a7…
03-03 21:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x2b2846…
03-03 21:54:23	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xe1c51d…
03-03 21:51:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x02c7de…
03-03 21:50:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x7ce695…
03-03 21:49:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x14698a…
03-03 21:46:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x402084…
03-03 21:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0afdea…
03-03 21:43:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xf0e975…
03-03 21:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2c91ca…
03-03 21:42:23	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x86592f…
03-03 21:38:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2a5ac5…
03-03 21:37:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd34666…
03-03 21:33:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8e208f…
03-03 21:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x870628…
03-03 21:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x340dd1…