Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

252

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$265

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-04 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

61% 36% -$46

Politics

20% 60% -$14

Crypto

14% 23% -$56

Sports

5% 25% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+139	$129	98¢	$136	+$7	09-15 17:59
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$49	99¢	$50	+$1	09-12 14:52
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$45	96¢	$48	+$3	06-15 12:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+50	$16	22¢	$11	-$5	11-04 16:05
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+23	$12	30¢	$7	-$5	11-01 19:34
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$15	11¢	$5	-$10	10-23 07:32
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+107	$4	4¢	$4	$0	10-25 03:24
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	-$1	10-11 09:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	07-02 02:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+16	$4	2¢	$0	-$3	07-05 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$4.0K	5,044	5,044	+0	No	-$50	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,525	1,525	+0	No	-$15	05-25 19:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	14	$509	350	350	+0	Yes	-$37	10-27 18:55
will wti reach 105 in october 2026	23	$428	421	421	+0	Yes	+$73	10-30 22:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	12	$412	301	301	+0	No	-$9	10-27 06:57
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	12	$387	300	300	+0	No	+$4	09-29 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	9	$363	250	200	+50	No	+$5	10-25 07:23
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	15	$250	348	348	+0	No	-$2	09-28 03:50
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	3	$220	155	84	+71	Yes	-$5	06-09 23:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	11	$206	215	215	+0	No	-$7	10-25 10:21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	10	$204	247	197	+50	open	—	10-23 07:32
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$196	300	300	+0	Yes	$0	10-24 11:40
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$196	150	100	+50	open	—	10-11 09:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	6	$181	196	100	+96	Yes	+$20	10-15 13:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	8	$167	201	100	+101	Yes	+$36	10-17 01:19
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	3	$158	87	87	+0	No	-$10	06-10 10:09
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	10	$144	198	175	+23	open	—	11-01 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?	2	$136	79	79	+0	Yes	-$18	06-11 15:53
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	8	$134	161	121	+40	No	-$42	10-28 08:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	5	$132	189	0	+189	open	—	09-15 17:59
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-11 08:39
will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	10	$98	104	104	+0	No	-$1	10-14 21:59
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	06-30 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	06-03 06:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-18 06:22
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	7	$96	250	100	+150	Yes	+$86	10-29 14:47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 9?	1	$93	95	0	+95	Yes	+$2	06-09 13:34
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$1	10-26 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	3	$86	59	59	+0	Yes	-$30	06-10 15:11
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	1	$86	87	0	+87	Yes	+$1	06-08 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:05:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xd4dbd5…
11-04 13:31:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x4f0fac…
11-04 12:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xa887c4…
11-03 10:58:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x5114fc…
11-02 19:05:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x680feb…
11-01 19:34:25	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x1e387f…
10-31 17:02:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x3c437c…
10-31 05:47:46	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xf15e19…
10-31 05:40:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xf9a610…
10-30 22:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xee96a0…
10-30 21:58:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0xb1dde5…
10-30 21:46:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	54	88¢	$48	0xa56b2f…
10-30 21:41:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x011ba3…
10-30 21:30:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	56	60¢	$34	0xbe0d30…
10-30 21:27:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x907bc3…
10-30 21:26:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0x9a29b5…
10-30 19:52:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0xcd0c29…
10-30 18:26:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc5f689…
10-30 17:36:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0xfae3b7…
10-30 16:29:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0xcf6abc…
10-30 13:23:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0xef1696…
10-30 13:03:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x0178c0…
10-30 13:02:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	57	50¢	$29	0xf4e214…
10-30 12:24:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7f69ca…
10-30 05:32:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x16a0ea…
10-29 21:45:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x11a75f…
10-29 20:56:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x96515e…
10-29 20:06:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x7e839a…
10-29 17:47:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf31bd0…
10-29 14:47:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x172783…
10-29 09:50:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4e49ba…
10-29 06:28:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xce0c76…
10-28 19:52:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x5ce808…
10-28 08:09:55	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xb8554d…
10-27 18:55:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x564bd2…
10-27 15:33:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x1951ee…
10-27 14:35:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x458698…
10-27 13:37:05	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe95330…
10-27 06:57:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd9de95…
10-27 04:50:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xec2a2b…
10-26 23:21:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x22dec1…
10-26 23:09:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x9c81b5…
10-26 22:57:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xf7f3e5…
10-26 20:32:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd77a54…
10-26 20:29:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x11d1ba…
10-26 13:32:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x0aca12…
10-26 13:10:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xd50789…
10-25 17:06:54	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x4f23f5…
10-25 16:23:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xd48cf6…
10-25 15:23:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x15475b…
10-25 12:42:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7a2eea…
10-25 10:59:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x2cae16…
10-25 10:53:08	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x015844…
10-25 10:21:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xcd215e…
10-25 07:23:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x0dead5…
10-25 03:24:05	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x731886…
10-25 03:22:03	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x110b37…
10-25 03:02:48	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xd83c9f…
10-24 22:56:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x0ee71b…
10-24 20:11:08	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x07c05e…
10-24 18:47:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa27e85…
10-24 18:13:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1ceb7d…
10-24 14:52:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb91ac4…
10-24 13:18:39	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x28a0e8…
10-24 13:18:36	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xfa980b…
10-24 11:40:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x7b637f…
10-24 09:45:00	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe7d6cc…
10-24 09:44:30	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x319e8d…
10-24 03:49:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xcfee6a…
10-24 01:18:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x60e43b…
10-23 18:43:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xc3d4f4…
10-23 18:40:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xc18a42…
10-23 16:32:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf65cf9…
10-23 16:06:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x6f1f5d…
10-23 12:37:39	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x3747f7…
10-23 12:35:53	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x9d8dd0…
10-23 07:32:45	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x97c41d…
10-23 04:01:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc8b71c…
10-23 02:59:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x3099e7…
10-22 18:02:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x35ee78…
10-22 14:06:08	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x47f635…
10-22 06:27:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x32caea…
10-22 04:57:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x7183b1…
10-22 04:21:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xde6d08…
10-21 22:04:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x7513dd…
10-21 21:09:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xcd0f5f…
10-21 20:57:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xc5ff11…
10-21 16:14:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x0943b3…
10-21 15:25:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x936fbc…
10-21 10:00:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x757c8f…
10-21 09:28:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xcf74b4…
10-21 09:25:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xb4ed7d…
10-21 06:34:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0xac06ce…
10-21 06:24:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x2089f5…
10-20 15:13:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xbf1921…
10-20 12:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xf57b6a…
10-20 10:11:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xac35ca…
10-20 01:28:27	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7ec839…
10-17 01:19:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd9f9ee…
10-16 23:59:03	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x8f5bf5…