Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

$1.69K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-02 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

62% 44% +$74

Other

37% 69% +$1,039

Crypto

1% 50% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+909	$800	82¢	$741	-$59	08-27 12:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+526	$400	86¢	$450	+$50	09-02 23:10
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+337	$300	91¢	$307	+$7	07-30 14:36
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	-228	-$169	84¢	$-193	-$24	10-02 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$2.1K	1,363	1,363	+0	Yes	-$138	03-01 10:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$2.0K	1,136	1,136	+0	No	+$11	01-07 23:29
will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	1	$2.0K	2,044	0	+2,044	No	+$44	07-30 14:33
us evacuates baghdad embassy by january 31	2	$2.0K	2,083	0	+2,083	No	+$83	01-03 12:54
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,046	0	+2,046	No	+$46	08-27 12:27
iran strike on us military by february 28	4	$1.6K	2,141	0	+2,141	Yes	+$541	02-28 20:36
us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	2	$1.1K	1,375	0	+1,375	No	+$275	01-31 21:07
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	7	$1.1K	1,339	0	+1,339	No	+$250	03-23 11:35
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$1.1K	608	608	+0	No	+$71	03-15 21:02
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	1	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$42	01-04 23:58
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	1	$1000	1,018	0	+1,018	Yes	+$18	03-02 12:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$994	568	568	+0	No	-$6	03-23 00:37
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$976	610	610	+0	No	-$24	03-07 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$800	909	0	+909	open	—	08-27 12:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$708	1,539	1,539	+0	No	-$92	01-16 22:27
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	4	$600	1,284	0	+1,284	No	+$684	01-03 16:52
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$509	342	342	+0	No	+$9	03-07 18:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$481	373	373	+0	No	-$19	03-07 22:36
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	1	$400	538	0	+538	Yes	-$400	09-02 23:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$400	526	0	+526	open	—	09-02 23:10
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	3	$364	648	233	+415	Yes	-$56	01-07 13:36
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$300	484	0	+484	No	+$184	03-06 17:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	1	$300	337	0	+337	open	—	07-30 14:36
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	2	$300	367	0	+367	No	+$67	01-03 17:57
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	9	$280	3,002	0	+3,002	Yes	-$280	02-03 00:31
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	1	$250	453	0	+453	No	+$203	03-31 12:26
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$200	1,269	0	+1,269	No	-$200	01-14 23:32
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	1	$169	0	228	-228	open	—	10-02 09:29
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	1	$100	218	0	+218	No	-$100	02-01 16:30
will there be eleven or more announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats by january 31 2026	1	$100	164	0	+164	No	+$64	01-03 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 09:29:27	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	228	74¢	$169	0xf59b53…
09-02 23:10:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	526	76¢	$400	0xc6b0cb…
09-02 23:07:01	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	538	74¢	$400	0x731c26…
08-27 12:27:21	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,046	98¢	$2,000	0x972217…
08-27 12:26:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	909	88¢	$800	0x58ffe2…
07-30 14:36:00	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x77482b…
07-30 14:33:20	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	2,044	98¢	$2,000	0xca9115…
03-31 12:26:43	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	453	55¢	$250	0xcb4501…
03-23 11:35:23	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xab77ef…
03-23 00:37:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	568	87¢	$494	0x116dbe…
03-23 00:10:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x393152…
03-15 21:02:23	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	608	94¢	$571	0x126f81…
03-07 22:36:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	373	62¢	$231	0xa8c428…
03-07 22:35:49	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	610	78¢	$476	0x32f846…
03-07 19:24:43	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x95d623…
03-07 18:11:35	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	SELL	342	76¢	$259	0xac5466…
03-07 17:26:27	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	608	82¢	$500	0xbdb092…
03-07 12:28:23	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	88	11¢	$10	0xe67e3c…
03-07 12:21:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x3e7778…
03-07 12:19:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0x1f453a…
03-06 17:04:19	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x627140…
03-06 17:00:51	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0x51561b…
03-02 21:39:49	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x697f5e…
03-02 21:39:29	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x0ea38f…
03-02 12:40:33	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xe907bb…
03-02 12:35:31	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	342	73¢	$250	0x3a1875…
03-02 12:31:39	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0xe83d32…
03-01 23:26:37	will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xe28f4a…
03-01 22:38:19	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x26bb73…
03-01 11:00:33	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xef683e…
03-01 10:27:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	282	0¢	$0	0x6dfe9b…
02-28 21:36:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xb7c418…
02-28 20:36:23	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x26902c…
02-28 14:41:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xb8fd54…
02-28 07:25:55	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	404	62¢	$250	0x2780bf…
02-28 07:25:21	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	418	60¢	$250	0xafe024…
02-28 07:25:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,081	90¢	$971	0x2e8587…
02-28 07:13:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,081	92¢	$1,000	0x6b4cb9…
02-21 18:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdc37fb…
02-21 18:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7c0b29…
02-21 18:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4adf48…
02-18 21:01:44	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x9bbbe7…
02-18 21:01:18	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	299	33¢	$100	0x177688…
02-11 01:19:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x5ea5d7…
02-11 01:19:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4e6cdb…
02-11 01:16:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xfe1a68…
02-08 23:10:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x14025b…
02-08 23:07:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9509f…
02-08 22:44:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x735b8e…
02-08 20:53:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xe633b9…
02-08 20:53:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x8eabc5…
02-08 20:51:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x06c66b…
02-08 20:49:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xfbd2b0…
02-08 20:43:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x6a54e3…
02-08 20:42:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf8aab6…
02-08 20:08:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf328e6…
02-08 20:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x9fbfcd…
02-08 20:02:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xc80183…
02-08 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xc5ce0c…
02-08 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x7bbeed…
02-08 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x5bcf8b…
02-08 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x2c8f4b…
02-08 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x1c8c7a…
02-08 19:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0ba8a4…
02-08 19:56:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0a6b82…
02-08 19:55:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2a6f6c…
02-08 19:54:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb25702…
02-08 19:41:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe5885f…
02-08 19:27:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe5b75b…
02-08 19:13:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0xffa543…
02-08 19:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x12f54b…
02-08 19:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x0637ca…
02-08 19:08:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x4d5c85…
02-03 00:31:50	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	850	2¢	$20	0x5736bf…
02-02 23:55:34	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	1,696	3¢	$50	0x1fb450…
02-02 13:43:36	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	No	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xf994aa…
02-01 16:30:58	will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	Yes	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0xd03121…
01-31 21:07:04	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	No	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x60f498…
01-31 21:00:16	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0xa2ae3f…
01-31 20:55:46	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	No	BUY	1,251	80¢	$1,000	0xa9b05b…
01-31 16:32:46	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x57f02a…
01-31 15:42:08	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xff696b…
01-31 15:41:56	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc89f3d…
01-31 15:37:12	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5d3014…
01-31 15:35:58	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xfb295d…
01-31 15:32:58	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2b74e1…
01-31 13:40:14	bitcoin up or down january 31 10am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x09301f…
01-26 19:48:05	federal judge rules against operation metro surge by friday	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x2e3890…
01-23 20:07:30	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	595	4¢	$25	0xe0023b…
01-16 22:27:28	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	1,539	20¢	$308	0x9ba947…
01-14 23:32:20	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x06fc0a…
01-14 20:57:16	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xec6772…
01-07 23:29:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	1,136	89¢	$1,011	0x245f13…
01-07 13:36:29	us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	No	BUY	415	2¢	$10	0xbb6c6e…
01-07 11:23:31	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	967	21¢	$200	0xcfbe71…
01-07 01:13:05	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x79bebb…
01-07 01:05:15	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xa66c6d…
01-06 10:00:11	us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	No	SELL	233	66¢	$154	0xb31866…
01-04 23:58:07	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xb5d76d…
01-04 23:56:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xefe15b…